Boronda Meadows: math

The shaded band is this school's normal range. If nothing about how it works changes, nearly every future year should land inside it. Zero means the typical student just meets the state standard. The small numbers under the years are how many students were tested.

Step 1 · Each year's result

For each grade tested, take the average (mean) scale score from the California Department of Education's results file, and subtract the lowest score that counts as "Standard Met" for that grade. That is the grade's distance from standard. Weight each grade by its share of the students tested, then add the grades up. Grades where the state hides the average because ten or fewer students tested are left out entirely.

2015 from sb_ca2015_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	46,048	2358.7	− 2436	−77.3	× 114 / 468	−18.8
4	46,049	2392.4	− 2485	−92.6	× 123 / 468	−24.3
5	46,052	2422.4	− 2528	−105.6	× 122 / 468	−27.5
6	46,054	2437.5	− 2552	−114.5	× 109 / 468	−26.7
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−97

2016 from sb_ca2016_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	42,750	2366.7	− 2436	−69.3	× 108 / 465	−16.1
4	42,752	2394.4	− 2485	−90.6	× 117 / 465	−22.8
5	42,753	2428.0	− 2528	−100	× 114 / 465	−24.5
6	42,756	2440.9	− 2552	−111.1	× 126 / 465	−30.1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−94

2017 from sb_ca2017_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	43,819	2403.5	− 2436	−32.5	× 124 / 460	−8.8
4	43,821	2390.7	− 2485	−94.3	× 109 / 460	−22.3
5	43,823	2423.8	− 2528	−104.2	× 114 / 460	−25.8
6	43,824	2432.5	− 2552	−119.5	× 113 / 460	−29.4
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−86

2018 from sb_ca2018_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	43,842	2400.1	− 2436	−35.9	× 96 / 459	−7.5
4	43,843	2421.5	− 2485	−63.5	× 133 / 459	−18.4
5	43,846	2397.5	− 2528	−130.5	× 115 / 459	−32.7
6	43,847	2425.0	− 2552	−127	× 115 / 459	−31.8
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−90

2019 from sb_ca2019_1_csv_v4.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	43,969	2401.8	− 2436	−34.2	× 103 / 452	−7.8
4	43,970	2432.8	− 2485	−52.2	× 93 / 452	−10.7
5	43,971	2444.6	− 2528	−83.4	× 141 / 452	−26
6	43,972	2430.1	− 2552	−121.9	× 115 / 452	−31
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−76

2022 from sb_ca2022_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	43,703	2376.7	− 2436	−59.3	× 89 / 346	−15.3
4	43,704	2409.1	− 2485	−75.9	× 67 / 346	−14.7
5	43,705	2440.9	− 2528	−87.1	× 93 / 346	−23.4
6	43,706	2445.3	− 2552	−106.7	× 97 / 346	−29.9
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−83

2023 from sb_ca2023_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	43,695	2389.4	− 2436	−46.6	× 97 / 355	−12.7
4	43,696	2426.5	− 2485	−58.5	× 92 / 355	−15.2
5	43,697	2409.9	− 2528	−118.1	× 78 / 355	−25.9
6	43,698	2470.5	− 2552	−81.5	× 88 / 355	−20.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−74

2024 from sb_ca2024_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	43,517	2374.8	− 2436	−61.2	× 87 / 354	−15
4	43,518	2389.9	− 2485	−95.1	× 93 / 354	−25
5	43,519	2452.1	− 2528	−75.9	× 98 / 354	−21
6	43,520	2465.7	− 2552	−86.3	× 76 / 354	−18.5
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−80

2025 from sb_ca2025_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	43,266	2378.4	− 2436	−57.6	× 96 / 381	−14.5
4	43,267	2398.8	− 2485	−86.2	× 93 / 381	−21
5	43,268	2427.8	− 2528	−100.2	× 89 / 381	−23.4
6	43,269	2480.3	− 2552	−71.7	× 103 / 381	−19.4
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−78

Step 2 · The average and the normal range

Average: add the yearly results and divide by how many there are. −97, −94, −86, −90, −76, −83, −74, −80, −78 → −84.2
Typical year-to-year change: how far the result moved from each year to the next, ignoring up or down. 2015→2016: 3 · 2016→2017: 8 · 2017→2018: 4 · 2018→2019: 14 · 2019→2022: 7 · 2022→2023: 9 · 2023→2024: 6 · 2024→2025: 2 → average 6.6
Normal range: multiply the typical change by 2.66, then add it to the average and subtract it. 6.6 × 2.66 = 17.6. Upper limit −66.6, lower limit −101.8.

Why 2.66? It is the standard factor from quality control, the work of Walter Shewhart and W. Edwards Deming. It turns "how much the result typically changes in a year" into "how far it can wander by chance alone".

Years with no result (no state tests were given in spring 2020) are skipped: the year-to-year change runs from the last year with a result to the next one.

Step 3 · Free or reduced-price meals

The share of enrolled students eligible for free or reduced-price meals. From 2014–15, 2015–16, 2016–17, 2017–18, 2018–19, 2020–21, 2021–22, 2022–23, 2023–24, 2024–25, 2025–26.