San Pasqual Union Elementary: math

The shaded band is this district's normal range. If nothing about how it works changes, nearly every future year should land inside it. Zero means the typical student just meets the state standard. The small numbers under the years are how many students were tested.

Step 1 · Each year's result

For each grade tested, take the average (mean) scale score from the California Department of Education's results file, and subtract the lowest score that counts as "Standard Met" for that grade. That is the grade's distance from standard. Weight each grade by its share of the students tested, then add the grades up. Grades where the state hides the average because ten or fewer students tested are left out entirely.

2015 from sb_ca2015_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	75,492	2455.5	− 2436	19.5	× 61 / 398	3
4	75,494	2481.5	− 2485	−3.5	× 64 / 398	−0.6
5	75,496	2505.8	− 2528	−22.2	× 68 / 398	−3.8
6	75,498	2538.2	− 2552	−13.8	× 54 / 398	−1.9
7	75,500	2594.7	− 2567	27.7	× 84 / 398	5.8
8	75,502	2599.4	− 2586	13.4	× 67 / 398	2.3
Sum, rounded to a whole point						5

2016 from sb_ca2016_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	70,008	2445.6	− 2436	9.6	× 54 / 394	1.3
4	70,011	2491.9	− 2485	6.9	× 66 / 394	1.2
5	70,012	2528.5	− 2528	0.5	× 62 / 394	0.1
6	70,015	2542.4	− 2552	−9.6	× 69 / 394	−1.7
7	70,016	2592.2	− 2567	25.2	× 59 / 394	3.8
8	70,018	2613.5	− 2586	27.5	× 84 / 394	5.9
Sum, rounded to a whole point						11

2017 from sb_ca2017_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	71,853	2443.8	− 2436	7.8	× 57 / 373	1.2
4	71,856	2482.2	− 2485	−2.8	× 56 / 373	−0.4
5	71,857	2514.6	− 2528	−13.4	× 65 / 373	−2.3
6	71,860	2550.8	− 2552	−1.2	× 65 / 373	−0.2
7	71,862	2568.0	− 2567	1	× 69 / 373	0.2
8	71,863	2606.1	− 2586	20.1	× 61 / 373	3.3
Sum, rounded to a whole point						2

2018 from sb_ca2018_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	71,997	2446.2	− 2436	10.2	× 57 / 387	1.5
4	71,999	2495.1	− 2485	10.1	× 63 / 387	1.6
5	72,001	2505.6	− 2528	−22.4	× 58 / 387	−3.4
6	72,003	2550.6	− 2552	−1.4	× 69 / 387	−0.2
7	72,005	2550.7	− 2567	−16.3	× 69 / 387	−2.9
8	72,007	2575.4	− 2586	−10.6	× 71 / 387	−1.9
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−5

2019 from sb_ca2019_1_csv_v4.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	72,487	2466.2	− 2436	30.2	× 69 / 386	5.4
4	72,488	2495.8	− 2485	10.8	× 57 / 386	1.6
5	72,489	2544.2	− 2528	16.2	× 65 / 386	2.7
6	72,490	2528.5	− 2552	−23.5	× 56 / 386	−3.4
7	72,491	2590.6	− 2567	23.6	× 67 / 386	4.1
8	72,492	2560.0	− 2586	−26	× 72 / 386	−4.8
Sum, rounded to a whole point						6

2021 from sb_ca2021_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	70,970	2441.7	− 2436	5.7	× 59 / 325	1
4	70,971	2491.1	− 2485	6.1	× 50 / 325	0.9
5	70,972	2512.8	− 2528	−15.2	× 58 / 325	−2.7
6	70,973	2524.1	− 2552	−27.9	× 55 / 325	−4.7
7	70,974	2554.4	− 2567	−12.6	× 52 / 325	−2
8	70,975	2550.9	− 2586	−35.1	× 51 / 325	−5.5
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−13

2022 from sb_ca2022_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	72,567	2468.8	− 2436	32.8	× 62 / 322	6.3
4	72,568	2471.5	− 2485	−13.5	× 57 / 322	−2.4
5	72,569	2514.9	− 2528	−13.1	× 46 / 322	−1.9
6	72,570	2520.6	− 2552	−31.4	× 59 / 322	−5.8
7	72,571	2544.4	− 2567	−22.6	× 48 / 322	−3.4
8	72,572	2562.9	− 2586	−23.1	× 50 / 322	−3.6
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−11

2023 from sb_ca2023_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	72,563	2461.2	− 2436	25.2	× 61 / 328	4.7
4	72,564	2496.4	− 2485	11.4	× 58 / 328	2
5	72,565	2491.4	− 2528	−36.6	× 56 / 328	−6.2
6	72,566	2546.7	− 2552	−5.3	× 47 / 328	−0.8
7	72,567	2543.5	− 2567	−23.5	× 58 / 328	−4.2
8	72,568	2560.8	− 2586	−25.2	× 48 / 328	−3.7
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−8

2024 from sb_ca2024_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	72,545	2470.5	− 2436	34.5	× 45 / 337	4.6
4	72,546	2485.6	− 2485	0.6	× 62 / 337	0.1
5	72,547	2515.1	− 2528	−12.9	× 61 / 337	−2.3
6	72,548	2503.8	− 2552	−48.2	× 58 / 337	−8.3
7	72,549	2558.4	− 2567	−8.6	× 50 / 337	−1.3
8	72,550	2555.7	− 2586	−30.3	× 61 / 337	−5.5
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−13

2025 from sb_ca2025_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	72,261	2490.8	− 2436	54.8	× 56 / 345	8.9
4	72,262	2503.6	− 2485	18.6	× 54 / 345	2.9
5	72,263	2500.7	− 2528	−27.3	× 71 / 345	−5.6
6	72,264	2537.0	− 2552	−15	× 63 / 345	−2.7
7	72,265	2545.9	− 2567	−21.1	× 55 / 345	−3.4
8	72,266	2582.8	− 2586	−3.2	× 46 / 345	−0.4
Sum, rounded to a whole point						0

Step 2 · The average and the normal range

Average: add the yearly results and divide by how many there are. 5, 11, 2, −5, 6, −13, −11, −8, −13, 0 → −2.6
Typical year-to-year change: how far the result moved from each year to the next, ignoring up or down. 2015→2016: 6 · 2016→2017: 9 · 2017→2018: 7 · 2018→2019: 11 · 2019→2021: 19 · 2021→2022: 2 · 2022→2023: 3 · 2023→2024: 5 · 2024→2025: 13 → average 8.3
Normal range: multiply the typical change by 2.66, then add it to the average and subtract it. 8.3 × 2.66 = 22.1. Upper limit 19.5, lower limit −24.7.

Why 2.66? It is the standard factor from quality control, the work of Walter Shewhart and W. Edwards Deming. It turns "how much the result typically changes in a year" into "how far it can wander by chance alone".

Years with no result (no state tests were given in spring 2020) are skipped: the year-to-year change runs from the last year with a result to the next one.

Step 3 · Free or reduced-price meals

The share of enrolled students eligible for free or reduced-price meals — for a district, the total across its schools. From 2014–15, 2015–16, 2016–17, 2017–18, 2018–19, 2020–21, 2021–22, 2022–23, 2023–24, 2024–25, 2025–26.

Schools in San Pasqual Union Elementary

San Pasqual Union Elementary