San Pasqual Union Elementary: english

The shaded band is this district's normal range. If nothing about how it works changes, nearly every future year should land inside it. Zero means the typical student just meets the state standard. The small numbers under the years are how many students were tested.

Step 1 · Each year's result

For each grade tested, take the average (mean) scale score from the California Department of Education's results file, and subtract the lowest score that counts as "Standard Met" for that grade. That is the grade's distance from standard. Weight each grade by its share of the students tested, then add the grades up. Grades where the state hides the average because ten or fewer students tested are left out entirely.

2015 from sb_ca2015_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	75,493	2461.5	− 2432	29.5	× 61 / 397	4.5
4	75,495	2498.5	− 2473	25.5	× 64 / 397	4.1
5	75,497	2522.7	− 2502	20.7	× 68 / 397	3.5
6	75,499	2538.9	− 2531	7.9	× 53 / 397	1.1
7	75,501	2578.0	− 2552	26	× 84 / 397	5.5
8	75,503	2601.7	− 2567	34.7	× 67 / 397	5.9
Sum, rounded to a whole point						25

2016 from sb_ca2016_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	70,009	2449.9	− 2432	17.9	× 54 / 394	2.5
4	70,010	2510.8	− 2473	37.8	× 66 / 394	6.3
5	70,013	2554.9	− 2502	52.9	× 62 / 394	8.3
6	70,014	2554.7	− 2531	23.7	× 69 / 394	4.2
7	70,017	2601.3	− 2552	49.3	× 59 / 394	7.4
8	70,019	2601.8	− 2567	34.8	× 84 / 394	7.4
Sum, rounded to a whole point						36

2017 from sb_ca2017_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	71,854	2452.5	− 2432	20.5	× 56 / 372	3.1
4	71,855	2485.1	− 2473	12.1	× 56 / 372	1.8
5	71,858	2546.3	− 2502	44.3	× 65 / 372	7.7
6	71,859	2563.2	− 2531	32.2	× 65 / 372	5.6
7	71,861	2577.8	− 2552	25.8	× 69 / 372	4.8
8	71,864	2596.6	− 2567	29.6	× 61 / 372	4.9
Sum, rounded to a whole point						28

2018 from sb_ca2018_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	71,996	2437.7	− 2432	5.7	× 57 / 387	0.8
4	71,998	2493.8	− 2473	20.8	× 63 / 387	3.4
5	72,000	2494.4	− 2502	−7.6	× 58 / 387	−1.1
6	72,002	2558.7	− 2531	27.7	× 69 / 387	4.9
7	72,004	2558.7	− 2552	6.7	× 69 / 387	1.2
8	72,006	2572.9	− 2567	5.9	× 71 / 387	1.1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						10

2019 from sb_ca2019_1_csv_v4.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	72,480	2445.6	− 2432	13.6	× 69 / 388	2.4
4	72,481	2501.8	− 2473	28.8	× 57 / 388	4.2
5	72,482	2558.4	− 2502	56.4	× 65 / 388	9.4
6	72,483	2528.7	− 2531	−2.3	× 56 / 388	−0.3
7	72,484	2612.2	− 2552	60.2	× 68 / 388	10.6
8	72,485	2583.2	− 2567	16.2	× 73 / 388	3
Sum, rounded to a whole point						29

2021 from sb_ca2021_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	70,963	2423.6	− 2432	−8.4	× 59 / 322	−1.5
4	70,964	2480.6	− 2473	7.6	× 50 / 322	1.2
5	70,965	2514.1	− 2502	12.1	× 58 / 322	2.2
6	70,966	2523.9	− 2531	−7.1	× 55 / 322	−1.2
7	70,967	2577.2	− 2552	25.2	× 52 / 322	4.1
8	70,968	2577.9	− 2567	10.9	× 48 / 322	1.6
Sum, rounded to a whole point						6

2022 from sb_ca2022_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	72,560	2459.2	− 2432	27.2	× 62 / 322	5.2
4	72,561	2462.8	− 2473	−10.2	× 57 / 322	−1.8
5	72,562	2528.2	− 2502	26.2	× 46 / 322	3.7
6	72,563	2522.7	− 2531	−8.3	× 59 / 322	−1.5
7	72,564	2545.4	− 2552	−6.6	× 49 / 322	−1
8	72,565	2583.9	− 2567	16.9	× 49 / 322	2.6
Sum, rounded to a whole point						7

2023 from sb_ca2023_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	72,556	2437.0	− 2432	5	× 61 / 328	0.9
4	72,557	2484.0	− 2473	11	× 58 / 328	1.9
5	72,558	2504.0	− 2502	2	× 56 / 328	0.3
6	72,559	2519.0	− 2531	−12	× 47 / 328	−1.7
7	72,560	2547.3	− 2552	−4.7	× 58 / 328	−0.8
8	72,561	2570.3	− 2567	3.3	× 48 / 328	0.5
Sum, rounded to a whole point						1

2024 from sb_ca2024_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	72,538	2431.1	− 2432	−0.9	× 45 / 335	−0.1
4	72,539	2476.6	− 2473	3.6	× 60 / 335	0.6
5	72,540	2513.3	− 2502	11.3	× 62 / 335	2.1
6	72,541	2524.6	− 2531	−6.4	× 58 / 335	−1.1
7	72,542	2561.6	− 2552	9.6	× 50 / 335	1.4
8	72,543	2572.3	− 2567	5.3	× 60 / 335	0.9
Sum, rounded to a whole point						4

2025 from sb_ca2025_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	72,254	2490.4	− 2432	58.4	× 55 / 341	9.4
4	72,255	2497.4	− 2473	24.4	× 53 / 341	3.8
5	72,256	2522.1	− 2502	20.1	× 70 / 341	4.1
6	72,257	2551.2	− 2531	20.2	× 63 / 341	3.7
7	72,258	2590.4	− 2552	38.4	× 54 / 341	6.1
8	72,259	2597.2	− 2567	30.2	× 46 / 341	4.1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						31

Step 2 · The average and the normal range

Average: add the yearly results and divide by how many there are. 25, 36, 28, 10, 29, 6, 7, 1, 4, 31 → 17.7
Typical year-to-year change: how far the result moved from each year to the next, ignoring up or down. 2015→2016: 11 · 2016→2017: 8 · 2017→2018: 18 · 2018→2019: 19 · 2019→2021: 23 · 2021→2022: 1 · 2022→2023: 6 · 2023→2024: 3 · 2024→2025: 27 → average 12.9
Normal range: multiply the typical change by 2.66, then add it to the average and subtract it. 12.9 × 2.66 = 34.3. Upper limit 52, lower limit −16.6.

Why 2.66? It is the standard factor from quality control, the work of Walter Shewhart and W. Edwards Deming. It turns "how much the result typically changes in a year" into "how far it can wander by chance alone".

Years with no result (no state tests were given in spring 2020) are skipped: the year-to-year change runs from the last year with a result to the next one.

Step 3 · Free or reduced-price meals

The share of enrolled students eligible for free or reduced-price meals — for a district, the total across its schools. From 2014–15, 2015–16, 2016–17, 2017–18, 2018–19, 2020–21, 2021–22, 2022–23, 2023–24, 2024–25, 2025–26.

Schools in San Pasqual Union Elementary

San Pasqual Union Elementary