San Pasqual Valley Unified: math

The shaded band is this district's normal range. If nothing about how it works changes, nearly every future year should land inside it. Zero means the typical student just meets the state standard. The small numbers under the years are how many students were tested.

Step 1 · Each year's result

For each grade tested, take the average (mean) scale score from the California Department of Education's results file, and subtract the lowest score that counts as "Standard Met" for that grade. That is the grade's distance from standard. Weight each grade by its share of the students tested, then add the grades up. Grades where the state hides the average because ten or fewer students tested are left out entirely.

2015 from sb_ca2015_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	15,268	2394.9	− 2436	−41.1	× 46 / 342	−5.5
4	15,271	2421.3	− 2485	−63.7	× 52 / 342	−9.7
5	15,272	2424.8	− 2528	−103.2	× 64 / 342	−19.3
6	15,275	2434.4	− 2552	−117.6	× 56 / 342	−19.3
7	15,276	2453.3	− 2567	−113.7	× 53 / 342	−17.6
8	15,279	2463.3	− 2586	−122.7	× 39 / 342	−14
11	15,280	2450.1	− 2628	−177.9	× 32 / 342	−16.6
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−102

2016 from sb_ca2016_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	14,290	2396.7	− 2436	−39.3	× 62 / 385	−6.3
4	14,292	2428.8	− 2485	−56.2	× 49 / 385	−7.2
5	14,295	2426.2	− 2528	−101.8	× 59 / 385	−15.6
6	14,297	2405.9	− 2552	−146.1	× 64 / 385	−24.3
7	14,298	2399.3	− 2567	−167.7	× 55 / 385	−24
8	14,301	2457.4	− 2586	−128.6	× 57 / 385	−19
11	14,303	2475.9	− 2628	−152.1	× 39 / 385	−15.4
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−112

2017 from sb_ca2017_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	14,626	2400.6	− 2436	−35.4	× 64 / 384	−5.9
4	14,628	2423.7	− 2485	−61.3	× 53 / 384	−8.5
5	14,630	2430.1	− 2528	−97.9	× 46 / 384	−11.7
6	14,631	2427.4	− 2552	−124.6	× 55 / 384	−17.8
7	14,634	2425.9	− 2567	−141.1	× 61 / 384	−22.4
8	14,635	2461.3	− 2586	−124.7	× 60 / 384	−19.5
11	14,638	2467.0	− 2628	−161	× 45 / 384	−18.9
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−105

2018 from sb_ca2018_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	14,634	2382.5	− 2436	−53.5	× 45 / 368	−6.5
4	14,635	2430.7	− 2485	−54.3	× 63 / 368	−9.3
5	14,638	2438.4	− 2528	−89.6	× 54 / 368	−13.1
6	14,639	2436.0	− 2552	−116	× 51 / 368	−16.1
7	14,642	2462.9	− 2567	−104.1	× 53 / 368	−15
8	14,643	2460.7	− 2586	−125.3	× 59 / 368	−20.1
11	14,646	2465.3	− 2628	−162.7	× 43 / 368	−19
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−99

2019 from sb_ca2019_1_csv_v4.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	14,730	2382.6	− 2436	−53.4	× 54 / 366	−7.9
4	14,731	2414.5	− 2485	−70.5	× 42 / 366	−8.1
5	14,732	2430.8	− 2528	−97.2	× 68 / 366	−18.1
6	14,733	2430.9	− 2552	−121.1	× 53 / 366	−17.5
7	14,734	2458.3	− 2567	−108.7	× 47 / 366	−14
8	14,735	2494.6	− 2586	−91.4	× 50 / 366	−12.5
11	14,736	2462.3	− 2628	−165.7	× 52 / 366	−23.5
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−102

2021 from sb_ca2021_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	14,410	2316.9	− 2436	−119.1	× 32 / 266	−14.3
4	14,411	2353.3	− 2485	−131.7	× 47 / 266	−23.3
5	14,412	2369.1	− 2528	−158.9	× 53 / 266	−31.7
6	14,413	2413.0	− 2552	−139	× 37 / 266	−19.3
7	14,414	2422.5	− 2567	−144.5	× 55 / 266	−29.9
8	14,415	2436.0	− 2586	−150	× 42 / 266	−23.7
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−142

2022 from sb_ca2022_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	14,747	2344.8	− 2436	−91.2	× 40 / 323	−11.3
4	14,748	2386.8	− 2485	−98.2	× 32 / 323	−9.7
5	14,749	2384.7	− 2528	−143.3	× 42 / 323	−18.6
6	14,750	2392.9	− 2552	−159.1	× 51 / 323	−25.1
7	14,751	2435.7	− 2567	−131.3	× 42 / 323	−17.1
8	14,752	2435.1	− 2586	−150.9	× 70 / 323	−32.7
11	14,753	2474.9	− 2628	−153.1	× 46 / 323	−21.8
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−136

2023 from sb_ca2023_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	14,706	2350.5	− 2436	−85.5	× 43 / 285	−12.9
4	14,707	2389.0	− 2485	−96	× 42 / 285	−14.1
5	14,708	2394.4	− 2528	−133.6	× 32 / 285	−15
6	14,709	2381.6	− 2552	−170.4	× 44 / 285	−26.3
7	14,710	2401.8	− 2567	−165.2	× 48 / 285	−27.8
8	14,711	2412.7	− 2586	−173.3	× 40 / 285	−24.3
11	14,712	2468.3	− 2628	−159.7	× 36 / 285	−20.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−141

2024 from sb_ca2024_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	14,663	2333.9	− 2436	−102.1	× 46 / 306	−15.3
4	14,664	2389.9	− 2485	−95.1	× 45 / 306	−14
5	14,665	2407.7	− 2528	−120.3	× 40 / 306	−15.7
6	14,666	2381.2	− 2552	−170.8	× 35 / 306	−19.5
7	14,667	2411.4	− 2567	−155.6	× 45 / 306	−22.9
8	14,668	2396.2	− 2586	−189.8	× 51 / 306	−31.6
11	14,669	2453.2	− 2628	−174.8	× 44 / 306	−25.1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−144

2025 from sb_ca2025_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	14,627	2349.2	− 2436	−86.8	× 36 / 296	−10.6
4	14,628	2372.4	− 2485	−112.6	× 46 / 296	−17.5
5	14,629	2432.1	− 2528	−95.9	× 45 / 296	−14.6
6	14,630	2378.6	− 2552	−173.4	× 39 / 296	−22.8
7	14,631	2400.6	− 2567	−166.4	× 32 / 296	−18
8	14,632	2395.4	− 2586	−190.6	× 43 / 296	−27.7
11	14,633	2452.8	− 2628	−175.2	× 55 / 296	−32.6
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−144

Step 2 · The average and the normal range

Average: add the yearly results and divide by how many there are. −102, −112, −105, −99, −102, −142, −136, −141, −144, −144 → −122.7
Typical year-to-year change: how far the result moved from each year to the next, ignoring up or down. 2015→2016: 10 · 2016→2017: 7 · 2017→2018: 6 · 2018→2019: 3 · 2019→2021: 40 · 2021→2022: 6 · 2022→2023: 5 · 2023→2024: 3 · 2024→2025: 0 → average 8.9
Normal range: multiply the typical change by 2.66, then add it to the average and subtract it. 8.9 × 2.66 = 23.7. Upper limit −99, lower limit −146.4.

Why 2.66? It is the standard factor from quality control, the work of Walter Shewhart and W. Edwards Deming. It turns "how much the result typically changes in a year" into "how far it can wander by chance alone".

Years with no result (no state tests were given in spring 2020) are skipped: the year-to-year change runs from the last year with a result to the next one.

Step 3 · Free or reduced-price meals

The share of enrolled students eligible for free or reduced-price meals — for a district, the total across its schools. From 2014–15, 2015–16, 2016–17, 2017–18, 2018–19, 2020–21, 2021–22, 2022–23, 2023–24, 2024–25, 2025–26.