Treeview Elementary: math

The shaded band is this school's normal range. If nothing about how it works changes, nearly every future year should land inside it. Zero means the typical student just meets the state standard. The small numbers under the years are how many students were tested.

Step 1 · Each year's result

For each grade tested, take the average (mean) scale score from the California Department of Education's results file, and subtract the lowest score that counts as "Standard Met" for that grade. That is the grade's distance from standard. Weight each grade by its share of the students tested, then add the grades up. Grades where the state hides the average because ten or fewer students tested are left out entirely.

2015 from sb_ca2015_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	1,552	2397.3	− 2436	−38.7	× 71 / 298	−9.2
4	1,553	2431.2	− 2485	−53.8	× 89 / 298	−16.1
5	1,556	2451.6	− 2528	−76.4	× 76 / 298	−19.5
6	1,557	2493.0	− 2552	−59	× 62 / 298	−12.3
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−57

2016 from sb_ca2016_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	1,357	2380.4	− 2436	−55.6	× 63 / 293	−12
4	1,358	2461.0	− 2485	−24	× 66 / 293	−5.4
5	1,361	2461.9	− 2528	−66.1	× 87 / 293	−19.6
6	1,362	2501.8	− 2552	−50.2	× 77 / 293	−13.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−50

2017 from sb_ca2017_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	1,395	2391.4	− 2436	−44.6	× 74 / 266	−12.4
4	1,397	2428.6	− 2485	−56.4	× 57 / 266	−12.1
5	1,399	2471.0	− 2528	−57	× 63 / 266	−13.5
6	1,400	2505.1	− 2552	−46.9	× 72 / 266	−12.7
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−51

2018 from sb_ca2018_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	1,424	2400.8	− 2436	−35.2	× 80 / 271	−10.4
4	1,426	2431.1	− 2485	−53.9	× 67 / 271	−13.3
5	1,428	2447.4	− 2528	−80.6	× 58 / 271	−17.3
6	1,430	2492.9	− 2552	−59.1	× 66 / 271	−14.4
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−55

2019 from sb_ca2019_1_csv_v4.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	1,451	2350.7	− 2436	−85.3	× 58 / 247	−20
4	1,452	2454.7	− 2485	−30.3	× 77 / 247	−9.4
5	1,453	2438.5	− 2528	−89.5	× 61 / 247	−22.1
6	1,454	2461.2	− 2552	−90.8	× 51 / 247	−18.7
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−70

2022 from sb_ca2022_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	1,435	2391.8	− 2436	−44.2	× 49 / 208	−10.4
4	1,436	2419.9	− 2485	−65.1	× 44 / 208	−13.8
5	1,437	2423.9	− 2528	−104.1	× 62 / 208	−31
6	1,438	2409.6	− 2552	−142.4	× 53 / 208	−36.3
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−91

2023 from sb_ca2023_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	1,431	2353.9	− 2436	−82.1	× 49 / 254	−15.8
4	1,432	2416.4	− 2485	−68.6	× 64 / 254	−17.3
5	1,433	2391.0	− 2528	−137	× 62 / 254	−33.4
6	1,434	2459.0	− 2552	−93	× 79 / 254	−28.9
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−95

2024 from sb_ca2024_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	1,399	2376.4	− 2436	−59.6	× 63 / 243	−15.5
4	1,400	2367.0	− 2485	−118	× 55 / 243	−26.7
5	1,401	2390.7	− 2528	−137.3	× 63 / 243	−35.6
6	1,402	2410.3	− 2552	−141.7	× 62 / 243	−36.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−114

2025 from sb_ca2025_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	1,391	2352.3	− 2436	−83.7	× 72 / 246	−24.5
4	1,392	2393.2	− 2485	−91.8	× 64 / 246	−23.9
5	1,393	2400.9	− 2528	−127.1	× 48 / 246	−24.8
6	1,394	2430.6	− 2552	−121.4	× 62 / 246	−30.6
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−104

Step 2 · The average and the normal range

Average: add the yearly results and divide by how many there are. −57, −50, −51, −55, −70, −91, −95, −114, −104 → −76.3
Typical year-to-year change: how far the result moved from each year to the next, ignoring up or down. 2015→2016: 7 · 2016→2017: 1 · 2017→2018: 4 · 2018→2019: 15 · 2019→2022: 21 · 2022→2023: 4 · 2023→2024: 19 · 2024→2025: 10 → average 10.1
Normal range: multiply the typical change by 2.66, then add it to the average and subtract it. 10.1 × 2.66 = 26.9. Upper limit −49.4, lower limit −103.2.

Why 2.66? It is the standard factor from quality control, the work of Walter Shewhart and W. Edwards Deming. It turns "how much the result typically changes in a year" into "how far it can wander by chance alone".

Years with no result (no state tests were given in spring 2020) are skipped: the year-to-year change runs from the last year with a result to the next one.

Step 3 · Free or reduced-price meals

The share of enrolled students eligible for free or reduced-price meals. From 2014–15, 2015–16, 2016–17, 2017–18, 2018–19, 2020–21, 2021–22, 2022–23, 2023–24, 2024–25, 2025–26.