Dan O. Root Elementary: english

The shaded band is this school's normal range. If nothing about how it works changes, nearly every future year should land inside it. Zero means the typical student just meets the state standard. The small numbers under the years are how many students were tested.

Step 1 · Each year's result

For each grade tested, take the average (mean) scale score from the California Department of Education's results file, and subtract the lowest score that counts as "Standard Met" for that grade. That is the grade's distance from standard. Weight each grade by its share of the students tested, then add the grades up. Grades where the state hides the average because ten or fewer students tested are left out entirely.

2015 from sb_ca2015_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	93,163	2405.1	− 2432	−26.9	× 97 / 304	−8.6
4	93,166	2463.0	− 2473	−10	× 110 / 304	−3.6
5	93,167	2489.7	− 2502	−12.3	× 97 / 304	−3.9
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−16

2016 from sb_ca2016_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	86,582	2402.7	− 2432	−29.3	× 99 / 288	−10.1
4	86,583	2458.8	− 2473	−14.2	× 93 / 288	−4.6
5	86,585	2463.4	− 2502	−38.6	× 96 / 288	−12.9
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−28

2017 from sb_ca2017_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	88,977	2409.7	− 2432	−22.3	× 99 / 281	−7.9
4	88,979	2457.8	− 2473	−15.2	× 96 / 281	−5.2
5	88,980	2457.2	− 2502	−44.8	× 86 / 281	−13.7
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−27

2018 from sb_ca2018_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	89,195	2420.2	− 2432	−11.8	× 107 / 346	−3.6
4	89,196	2460.9	− 2473	−12.1	× 95 / 346	−3.3
5	89,199	2486.3	− 2502	−15.7	× 82 / 346	−3.7
6	89,200	2491.3	− 2531	−39.7	× 62 / 346	−7.1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−18

2019 from sb_ca2019_1_csv_v4.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	89,797	2417.1	− 2432	−14.9	× 116 / 473	−3.7
4	89,798	2430.2	− 2473	−42.8	× 98 / 473	−8.9
5	89,799	2488.1	− 2502	−13.9	× 98 / 473	−2.9
6	89,800	2475.9	− 2531	−55.1	× 95 / 473	−11.1
7	89,801	2523.2	− 2552	−28.8	× 66 / 473	−4
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−30

2022 from sb_ca2022_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	90,063	2401.9	− 2432	−30.1	× 88 / 487	−5.4
4	90,064	2427.3	− 2473	−45.7	× 80 / 487	−7.5
5	90,065	2470.7	− 2502	−31.3	× 77 / 487	−4.9
6	90,066	2494.7	− 2531	−36.3	× 91 / 487	−6.8
7	90,067	2530.2	− 2552	−21.8	× 79 / 487	−3.5
8	90,068	2528.7	− 2567	−38.3	× 72 / 487	−5.7
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−34

2023 from sb_ca2023_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	89,957	2400.3	− 2432	−31.7	× 80 / 502	−5.1
4	89,958	2430.3	− 2473	−42.7	× 83 / 502	−7.1
5	89,959	2433.2	− 2502	−68.8	× 75 / 502	−10.3
6	89,960	2449.5	− 2531	−81.5	× 95 / 502	−15.4
7	89,961	2511.5	− 2552	−40.5	× 90 / 502	−7.3
8	89,962	2529.9	− 2567	−37.1	× 79 / 502	−5.8
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−51

2024 from sb_ca2024_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	89,916	2398.9	− 2432	−33.1	× 81 / 519	−5.2
4	89,917	2432.0	− 2473	−41	× 82 / 519	−6.5
5	89,918	2467.7	− 2502	−34.3	× 88 / 519	−5.8
6	89,919	2458.6	− 2531	−72.4	× 90 / 519	−12.6
7	89,920	2497.3	− 2552	−54.7	× 95 / 519	−10
8	89,921	2525.7	− 2567	−41.3	× 83 / 519	−6.6
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−47

2025 from sb_ca2025_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	89,612	2390.2	− 2432	−41.8	× 66 / 211	−13.1
4	89,613	2428.6	− 2473	−44.4	× 84 / 211	−17.7
5	89,614	2477.4	− 2502	−24.6	× 61 / 211	−7.1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−38

Step 2 · The average and the normal range

Average: add the yearly results and divide by how many there are. −16, −28, −27, −18, −30, −34, −51, −47, −38 → −32.1
Typical year-to-year change: how far the result moved from each year to the next, ignoring up or down. 2015→2016: 12 · 2016→2017: 1 · 2017→2018: 9 · 2018→2019: 12 · 2019→2022: 4 · 2022→2023: 17 · 2023→2024: 4 · 2024→2025: 9 → average 8.5
Normal range: multiply the typical change by 2.66, then add it to the average and subtract it. 8.5 × 2.66 = 22.6. Upper limit −9.5, lower limit −54.7.

Why 2.66? It is the standard factor from quality control, the work of Walter Shewhart and W. Edwards Deming. It turns "how much the result typically changes in a year" into "how far it can wander by chance alone".

Years with no result (no state tests were given in spring 2020) are skipped: the year-to-year change runs from the last year with a result to the next one.

Step 3 · Free or reduced-price meals

The share of enrolled students eligible for free or reduced-price meals. From 2014–15, 2015–16, 2016–17, 2017–18, 2018–19, 2020–21, 2021–22, 2022–23, 2023–24, 2024–25, 2025–26.