Richard Haynes Elementary: english

The shaded band is this school's normal range. If nothing about how it works changes, nearly every future year should land inside it. Zero means the typical student just meets the state standard. The small numbers under the years are how many students were tested.

Step 1 · Each year's result

For each grade tested, take the average (mean) scale score from the California Department of Education's results file, and subtract the lowest score that counts as "Standard Met" for that grade. That is the grade's distance from standard. Weight each grade by its share of the students tested, then add the grades up. Grades where the state hides the average because ten or fewer students tested are left out entirely.

2015 from sb_ca2015_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	66,637	2387.8	− 2432	−44.2	× 115 / 442	−11.5
4	66,638	2418.8	− 2473	−54.2	× 114 / 442	−14
5	66,641	2477.0	− 2502	−25	× 97 / 442	−5.5
6	66,642	2497.8	− 2531	−33.2	× 116 / 442	−8.7
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−40

2016 from sb_ca2016_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	61,809	2394.2	− 2432	−37.8	× 106 / 433	−9.3
4	61,811	2453.3	− 2473	−19.7	× 112 / 433	−5.1
5	61,814	2489.2	− 2502	−12.8	× 114 / 433	−3.4
6	61,816	2525.0	− 2531	−6	× 101 / 433	−1.4
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−19

2017 from sb_ca2017_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	63,599	2395.9	− 2432	−36.1	× 110 / 450	−8.8
4	63,601	2444.9	− 2473	−28.1	× 105 / 450	−6.6
5	63,603	2498.5	− 2502	−3.5	× 115 / 450	−0.9
6	63,606	2508.7	− 2531	−22.3	× 120 / 450	−5.9
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−22

2018 from sb_ca2018_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	63,702	2414.4	− 2432	−17.6	× 122 / 460	−4.7
4	63,705	2450.1	− 2473	−22.9	× 109 / 460	−5.4
5	63,706	2474.9	− 2502	−27.1	× 106 / 460	−6.2
6	63,709	2516.7	− 2531	−14.3	× 123 / 460	−3.8
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−20

2019 from sb_ca2019_1_csv_v4.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	63,968	2398.5	− 2432	−33.5	× 121 / 480	−8.4
4	63,969	2445.2	− 2473	−27.8	× 123 / 480	−7.1
5	63,970	2482.7	− 2502	−19.3	× 123 / 480	−4.9
6	63,971	2503.3	− 2531	−27.7	× 113 / 480	−6.5
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−27

2022 from sb_ca2022_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	64,057	2381.0	− 2432	−51	× 89 / 439	−10.3
4	64,058	2430.2	− 2473	−42.8	× 103 / 439	−10
5	64,059	2481.9	− 2502	−20.1	× 147 / 439	−6.7
6	64,060	2471.0	− 2531	−60	× 100 / 439	−13.7
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−41

2023 from sb_ca2023_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	64,040	2395.6	− 2432	−36.4	× 99 / 396	−9.1
4	64,041	2432.3	− 2473	−40.7	× 96 / 396	−9.9
5	64,042	2493.1	− 2502	−8.9	× 98 / 396	−2.2
6	64,043	2515.7	− 2531	−15.3	× 103 / 396	−4
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−25

2024 from sb_ca2024_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	64,014	2368.7	− 2432	−63.3	× 101 / 394	−16.2
4	64,015	2424.4	− 2473	−48.6	× 98 / 394	−12.1
5	64,016	2480.0	− 2502	−22	× 91 / 394	−5.1
6	64,017	2522.3	− 2531	−8.7	× 104 / 394	−2.3
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−36

2025 from sb_ca2025_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	63,776	2379.8	− 2432	−52.2	× 88 / 389	−11.8
4	63,777	2414.1	− 2473	−58.9	× 109 / 389	−16.5
5	63,778	2487.7	− 2502	−14.3	× 100 / 389	−3.7
6	63,779	2518.2	− 2531	−12.8	× 92 / 389	−3
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−35

Step 2 · The average and the normal range

Average: add the yearly results and divide by how many there are. −40, −19, −22, −20, −27, −41, −25, −36, −35 → −29.4
Typical year-to-year change: how far the result moved from each year to the next, ignoring up or down. 2015→2016: 21 · 2016→2017: 3 · 2017→2018: 2 · 2018→2019: 7 · 2019→2022: 14 · 2022→2023: 16 · 2023→2024: 11 · 2024→2025: 1 → average 9.4
Normal range: multiply the typical change by 2.66, then add it to the average and subtract it. 9.4 × 2.66 = 25. Upper limit −4.4, lower limit −54.4.

Why 2.66? It is the standard factor from quality control, the work of Walter Shewhart and W. Edwards Deming. It turns "how much the result typically changes in a year" into "how far it can wander by chance alone".

Years with no result (no state tests were given in spring 2020) are skipped: the year-to-year change runs from the last year with a result to the next one.

Step 3 · Free or reduced-price meals

The share of enrolled students eligible for free or reduced-price meals. From 2014–15, 2015–16, 2016–17, 2017–18, 2018–19, 2020–21, 2021–22, 2022–23, 2023–24, 2024–25, 2025–26.