Mitchell Elementary: english

The shaded band is this school's normal range. If nothing about how it works changes, nearly every future year should land inside it. Zero means the typical student just meets the state standard. The small numbers under the years are how many students were tested.

Step 1 · Each year's result

For each grade tested, take the average (mean) scale score from the California Department of Education's results file, and subtract the lowest score that counts as "Standard Met" for that grade. That is the grade's distance from standard. Weight each grade by its share of the students tested, then add the grades up. Grades where the state hides the average because ten or fewer students tested are left out entirely.

2015 from sb_ca2015_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	49,925	2391.1	− 2432	−40.9	× 65 / 256	−10.4
4	49,926	2425.8	− 2473	−47.2	× 70 / 256	−12.9
5	49,929	2486.9	− 2502	−15.1	× 58 / 256	−3.4
6	49,930	2510.1	− 2531	−20.9	× 63 / 256	−5.1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−32

2016 from sb_ca2016_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	46,393	2399.3	− 2432	−32.7	× 63 / 250	−8.2
4	46,396	2444.0	− 2473	−29	× 60 / 250	−7
5	46,398	2493.4	− 2502	−8.6	× 73 / 250	−2.5
6	46,400	2524.5	− 2531	−6.5	× 54 / 250	−1.4
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−19

2017 from sb_ca2017_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	47,638	2409.8	− 2432	−22.2	× 61 / 259	−5.2
4	47,640	2449.6	− 2473	−23.4	× 63 / 259	−5.7
5	47,642	2476.3	− 2502	−25.7	× 62 / 259	−6.2
6	47,644	2529.9	− 2531	−1.1	× 73 / 259	−0.3
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−17

2018 from sb_ca2018_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	47,642	2419.7	− 2432	−12.3	× 64 / 258	−3.1
4	47,644	2459.3	− 2473	−13.7	× 64 / 258	−3.4
5	47,646	2488.7	− 2502	−13.3	× 67 / 258	−3.5
6	47,648	2506.5	− 2531	−24.5	× 63 / 258	−6
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−16

2019 from sb_ca2019_1_csv_v4.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	47,820	2412.6	− 2432	−19.4	× 60 / 250	−4.7
4	47,821	2462.6	− 2473	−10.4	× 67 / 250	−2.8
5	47,822	2487.9	− 2502	−14.1	× 63 / 250	−3.6
6	47,823	2517.8	− 2531	−13.2	× 60 / 250	−3.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−14

2022 from sb_ca2022_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	47,680	2411.1	− 2432	−20.9	× 55 / 221	−5.2
4	47,681	2451.2	− 2473	−21.8	× 61 / 221	−6
5	47,682	2463.7	− 2502	−38.3	× 46 / 221	−8
6	47,683	2523.3	− 2531	−7.7	× 59 / 221	−2.1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−21

2023 from sb_ca2023_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	47,662	2433.6	− 2432	1.6	× 45 / 203	0.4
4	47,663	2450.0	− 2473	−23	× 53 / 203	−6
5	47,664	2481.3	− 2502	−20.7	× 59 / 203	−6
6	47,665	2483.0	− 2531	−48	× 46 / 203	−10.9
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−23

2024 from sb_ca2024_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	47,515	2409.5	− 2432	−22.5	× 50 / 211	−5.3
4	47,516	2434.0	− 2473	−39	× 50 / 211	−9.2
5	47,517	2483.9	− 2502	−18.1	× 54 / 211	−4.6
6	47,518	2507.2	− 2531	−23.8	× 57 / 211	−6.4
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−26

2025 from sb_ca2025_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	47,271	2385.5	− 2432	−46.5	× 59 / 214	−12.8
4	47,272	2460.0	− 2473	−13	× 49 / 214	−3
5	47,273	2499.1	− 2502	−2.9	× 49 / 214	−0.7
6	47,274	2519.1	− 2531	−11.9	× 57 / 214	−3.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−20

Step 2 · The average and the normal range

Average: add the yearly results and divide by how many there are. −32, −19, −17, −16, −14, −21, −23, −26, −20 → −20.9
Typical year-to-year change: how far the result moved from each year to the next, ignoring up or down. 2015→2016: 13 · 2016→2017: 2 · 2017→2018: 1 · 2018→2019: 2 · 2019→2022: 7 · 2022→2023: 2 · 2023→2024: 3 · 2024→2025: 6 → average 4.5
Normal range: multiply the typical change by 2.66, then add it to the average and subtract it. 4.5 × 2.66 = 12. Upper limit −8.9, lower limit −32.9.

Why 2.66? It is the standard factor from quality control, the work of Walter Shewhart and W. Edwards Deming. It turns "how much the result typically changes in a year" into "how far it can wander by chance alone".

Years with no result (no state tests were given in spring 2020) are skipped: the year-to-year change runs from the last year with a result to the next one.

Step 3 · Free or reduced-price meals

The share of enrolled students eligible for free or reduced-price meals. From 2014–15, 2015–16, 2016–17, 2017–18, 2018–19, 2020–21, 2021–22, 2022–23, 2023–24, 2024–25, 2025–26.