Bardin Elementary: english

The shaded band is this school's normal range. If nothing about how it works changes, nearly every future year should land inside it. Zero means the typical student just meets the state standard. The small numbers under the years are how many students were tested.

Step 1 · Each year's result

For each grade tested, take the average (mean) scale score from the California Department of Education's results file, and subtract the lowest score that counts as "Standard Met" for that grade. That is the grade's distance from standard. Weight each grade by its share of the students tested, then add the grades up. Grades where the state hides the average because ten or fewer students tested are left out entirely.

2015 from sb_ca2015_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	45,379	2325.3	− 2432	−106.7	× 100 / 418	−25.5
4	45,382	2401.4	− 2473	−71.6	× 113 / 418	−19.4
5	45,383	2408.6	− 2502	−93.4	× 108 / 418	−24.1
6	45,386	2452.3	− 2531	−78.7	× 97 / 418	−18.3
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−87

2016 from sb_ca2016_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	42,081	2354.2	− 2432	−77.8	× 114 / 444	−20
4	42,084	2367.6	− 2473	−105.4	× 96 / 444	−22.8
5	42,086	2433.8	− 2502	−68.2	× 118 / 444	−18.1
6	42,088	2419.7	− 2531	−111.3	× 116 / 444	−29.1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−90

2017 from sb_ca2017_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	43,122	2339.8	− 2432	−92.2	× 91 / 431	−19.5
4	43,124	2400.0	− 2473	−73	× 103 / 431	−17.4
5	43,126	2405.5	− 2502	−96.5	× 101 / 431	−22.6
6	43,129	2470.2	− 2531	−60.8	× 136 / 431	−19.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−79

2018 from sb_ca2018_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	43,129	2362.7	− 2432	−69.3	× 77 / 354	−15.1
4	43,132	2385.3	− 2473	−87.7	× 88 / 354	−21.8
5	43,133	2454.6	− 2502	−47.4	× 95 / 354	−12.7
6	43,136	2484.9	− 2531	−46.1	× 94 / 354	−12.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−62

2019 from sb_ca2019_1_csv_v4.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	43,248	2373.7	− 2432	−58.3	× 81 / 352	−13.4
4	43,249	2429.9	− 2473	−43.1	× 81 / 352	−9.9
5	43,250	2458.0	− 2502	−44	× 87 / 352	−10.9
6	43,251	2478.8	− 2531	−52.2	× 103 / 352	−15.3
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−49

2022 from sb_ca2022_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	42,988	2326.0	− 2432	−106	× 94 / 353	−28.2
4	42,989	2382.9	− 2473	−90.1	× 84 / 353	−21.4
5	42,990	2410.8	− 2502	−91.2	× 94 / 353	−24.3
6	42,991	2463.8	− 2531	−67.2	× 81 / 353	−15.4
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−89

2023 from sb_ca2023_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	43,006	2327.7	− 2432	−104.3	× 79 / 341	−24.2
4	43,007	2363.8	− 2473	−109.2	× 92 / 341	−29.5
5	43,008	2431.2	− 2502	−70.8	× 78 / 341	−16.2
6	43,009	2447.4	− 2531	−83.6	× 92 / 341	−22.6
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−92

2024 from sb_ca2024_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	42,834	2370.8	− 2432	−61.2	× 77 / 301	−15.7
4	42,835	2392.0	− 2473	−81	× 72 / 301	−19.4
5	42,836	2415.2	− 2502	−86.8	× 82 / 301	−23.6
6	42,837	2487.0	− 2531	−44	× 70 / 301	−10.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−69

2025 from sb_ca2025_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	42,589	2366.0	− 2432	−66	× 77 / 305	−16.7
4	42,590	2393.7	− 2473	−79.3	× 73 / 305	−19
5	42,591	2442.9	− 2502	−59.1	× 70 / 305	−13.6
6	42,592	2455.0	− 2531	−76	× 85 / 305	−21.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−70

Step 2 · The average and the normal range

Average: add the yearly results and divide by how many there are. −87, −90, −79, −62, −49, −89, −92, −69, −70 → −76.3
Typical year-to-year change: how far the result moved from each year to the next, ignoring up or down. 2015→2016: 3 · 2016→2017: 11 · 2017→2018: 17 · 2018→2019: 13 · 2019→2022: 40 · 2022→2023: 3 · 2023→2024: 23 · 2024→2025: 1 → average 13.9
Normal range: multiply the typical change by 2.66, then add it to the average and subtract it. 13.9 × 2.66 = 37. Upper limit −39.3, lower limit −113.3.

Why 2.66? It is the standard factor from quality control, the work of Walter Shewhart and W. Edwards Deming. It turns "how much the result typically changes in a year" into "how far it can wander by chance alone".

Years with no result (no state tests were given in spring 2020) are skipped: the year-to-year change runs from the last year with a result to the next one.

Step 3 · Free or reduced-price meals

The share of enrolled students eligible for free or reduced-price meals. From 2014–15, 2015–16, 2016–17, 2017–18, 2018–19, 2020–21, 2021–22, 2022–23, 2023–24, 2024–25, 2025–26.