Alameda: english · Schoolio

The shaded band is this county's normal range. If nothing about how it works changes, nearly every future year should land inside it. Zero means the typical student just meets the state standard. The small numbers under the years are how many students were tested.

Step 1 · Each year's result

For each grade tested, take the average (mean) scale score from the California Department of Education's results file, and subtract the lowest score that counts as "Standard Met" for that grade. That is the grade's distance from standard. Weight each grade by its share of the students tested, then add the grades up. Grades where the state hides the average because ten or fewer students tested are left out entirely.

2015 from sb_ca2015_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	18	2417.7	− 2432	−14.3	× 17297 / 113652	−2.2
4	20	2462.1	− 2473	−10.9	× 17132 / 113652	−1.6
5	22	2507.5	− 2502	5.5	× 16813 / 113652	0.8
6	24	2527.5	− 2531	−3.5	× 16677 / 113652	−0.5
7	26	2551.3	− 2552	−0.7	× 15987 / 113652	−0.1
8	28	2570.3	− 2567	3.3	× 15761 / 113652	0.5
11	30	2608.0	− 2583	25	× 13985 / 113652	3.1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						0

2016 from sb_ca2016_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	18	2429.4	− 2432	−2.6	× 16984 / 114787	−0.4
4	20	2468.4	− 2473	−4.6	× 17241 / 114787	−0.7
5	23	2512.0	− 2502	10	× 17039 / 114787	1.5
6	24	2536.7	− 2531	5.7	× 16561 / 114787	0.8
7	27	2561.1	− 2552	9.1	× 16454 / 114787	1.3
8	28	2575.3	− 2567	8.3	× 15935 / 114787	1.2
11	31	2614.3	− 2583	31.3	× 14573 / 114787	4
Sum, rounded to a whole point						8

2017 from sb_ca2017_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	18	2426.9	− 2432	−5.1	× 16695 / 116142	−0.7
4	20	2469.9	− 2473	−3.1	× 16936 / 116142	−0.5
5	22	2506.1	− 2502	4.1	× 17192 / 116142	0.6
6	25	2534.9	− 2531	3.9	× 16886 / 116142	0.6
7	27	2561.2	− 2552	9.2	× 16582 / 116142	1.3
8	29	2575.8	− 2567	8.8	× 16481 / 116142	1.2
11	31	2616.9	− 2583	33.9	× 15370 / 116142	4.5
Sum, rounded to a whole point						7

2018 from sb_ca2018_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	18	2437.2	− 2432	5.2	× 16531 / 115733	0.7
4	20	2476.7	− 2473	3.7	× 16737 / 115733	0.5
5	22	2512.9	− 2502	10.9	× 16969 / 115733	1.6
6	24	2532.9	− 2531	1.9	× 17044 / 115733	0.3
7	26	2561.5	− 2552	9.5	× 16845 / 115733	1.4
8	28	2578.3	− 2567	11.3	× 16457 / 115733	1.6
11	30	2610.7	− 2583	27.7	× 15150 / 115733	3.6
Sum, rounded to a whole point						10

2019 from sb_ca2019_1_csv_v4.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	18	2440.4	− 2432	8.4	× 16759 / 115638	1.2
4	19	2481.4	− 2473	8.4	× 16441 / 115638	1.2
5	20	2517.5	− 2502	15.5	× 16720 / 115638	2.2
6	21	2538.6	− 2531	7.6	× 16674 / 115638	1.1
7	22	2562.4	− 2552	10.4	× 16952 / 115638	1.5
8	23	2576.9	− 2567	9.9	× 16699 / 115638	1.4
11	24	2610.8	− 2583	27.8	× 15393 / 115638	3.7
Sum, rounded to a whole point						12

2021 from sb_ca2021_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	18	2442.3	− 2432	10.3	× 2055 / 19887	1.1
4	19	2489.2	− 2473	16.2	× 2038 / 19887	1.7
5	20	2528.9	− 2502	26.9	× 2152 / 19887	2.9
6	21	2535.0	− 2531	4	× 2423 / 19887	0.5
7	22	2572.1	− 2552	20.1	× 2558 / 19887	2.6
8	23	2586.0	− 2567	19	× 2576 / 19887	2.5
11	24	2660.7	− 2583	77.7	× 6085 / 19887	23.8
Sum, rounded to a whole point						35

2022 from sb_ca2022_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	18	2437.3	− 2432	5.3	× 15372 / 105884	0.8
4	19	2479.5	− 2473	6.5	× 15325 / 105884	0.9
5	20	2518.7	− 2502	16.7	× 15449 / 105884	2.4
6	21	2535.7	− 2531	4.7	× 15140 / 105884	0.7
7	22	2568.4	− 2552	16.4	× 15099 / 105884	2.3
8	23	2575.6	− 2567	8.6	× 15405 / 105884	1.3
11	24	2616.4	− 2583	33.4	× 14094 / 105884	4.4
Sum, rounded to a whole point						13

2023 from sb_ca2023_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	18	2433.5	− 2432	1.5	× 15119 / 105589	0.2
4	19	2479.0	− 2473	6	× 15312 / 105589	0.9
5	20	2516.8	− 2502	14.8	× 15312 / 105589	2.1
6	21	2535.0	− 2531	4	× 15139 / 105589	0.6
7	22	2562.1	− 2552	10.1	× 15080 / 105589	1.4
8	23	2573.4	− 2567	6.4	× 14961 / 105589	0.9
11	24	2610.3	− 2583	27.3	× 14666 / 105589	3.8
Sum, rounded to a whole point						10

2024 from sb_ca2024_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	18	2428.5	− 2432	−3.5	× 14898 / 105389	−0.5
4	19	2474.4	− 2473	1.4	× 15200 / 105389	0.2
5	20	2516.7	− 2502	14.7	× 15417 / 105389	2.2
6	21	2535.5	− 2531	4.5	× 15025 / 105389	0.6
7	22	2560.7	− 2552	8.7	× 15082 / 105389	1.2
8	23	2570.6	− 2567	3.6	× 15054 / 105389	0.5
11	24	2606.9	− 2583	23.9	× 14713 / 105389	3.3
Sum, rounded to a whole point						8

2025 from sb_ca2025_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	18	2429.3	− 2432	−2.7	× 14983 / 105783	−0.4
4	19	2475.5	− 2473	2.5	× 15023 / 105783	0.4
5	20	2514.9	− 2502	12.9	× 15352 / 105783	1.9
6	21	2540.5	− 2531	9.5	× 15226 / 105783	1.4
7	22	2564.4	− 2552	12.4	× 15082 / 105783	1.8
8	23	2576.1	− 2567	9.1	× 15197 / 105783	1.3
11	24	2613.5	− 2583	30.5	× 14920 / 105783	4.3
Sum, rounded to a whole point						11

Step 2 · The average and the normal range

Average: add the yearly results and divide by how many there are. 0, 8, 7, 10, 12, 35, 13, 10, 8, 11 → 11.4
Typical year-to-year change: how far the result moved from each year to the next, ignoring up or down. 2015→2016: 8 · 2016→2017: 1 · 2017→2018: 3 · 2018→2019: 2 · 2019→2021: 23 · 2021→2022: 22 · 2022→2023: 3 · 2023→2024: 2 · 2024→2025: 3 → average 7.4
Normal range: multiply the typical change by 2.66, then add it to the average and subtract it. 7.4 × 2.66 = 19.7. Upper limit 31.1, lower limit −8.3.

Why 2.66? It is the standard factor from quality control, the work of Walter Shewhart and W. Edwards Deming. It turns "how much the result typically changes in a year" into "how far it can wander by chance alone".

Years with no result (no state tests were given in spring 2020) are skipped: the year-to-year change runs from the last year with a result to the next one.

Step 3 · Free or reduced-price meals

The share of enrolled students eligible for free or reduced-price meals — for a county, the total across its schools. From 2014–15, 2015–16, 2016–17, 2017–18, 2018–19, 2020–21, 2021–22, 2022–23, 2023–24, 2024–25, 2025–26.