Santa Ynez Elementary: math

The shaded band is this school's normal range. If nothing about how it works changes, nearly every future year should land inside it. Zero means the typical student just meets the state standard. The small numbers under the years are how many students were tested.

Measured against the grade bars

The state's math test uses one scale for every grade, so a score means the same thing in grade 3 as in grade 8.

3rd The average 3rd grader scores just under the grade 3 bar. 2428 vs. 2436.
4th The average 4th grader scores 15 points under the grade 4 bar. 2470 vs. 2485.
5th The average 5th grader scores 43 points under the grade 4 bar. 2442 vs. 2485. The 5th-grade bar is 2528.
6th The average 6th grader scores 14 points under the grade 5 bar. 2514 vs. 2528. The 6th-grade bar is 2552.
7th The average 7th grader scores just under the grade 5 bar. 2522 vs. 2528. The 7th-grade bar is 2567.
8th The average 8th grader scores just under the grade 5 bar. 2520 vs. 2528. The 8th-grade bar is 2586.

2026 results. "Meets standard" is the state's mark for being on track for that grade.

Step 1 · Each year's result

For each grade tested, take the average (mean) scale score from the California Department of Education's results file, and subtract the lowest score that counts as "Standard Met" for that grade. That is the grade's distance from standard. Weight each grade by its share of the students tested, then add the grades up. Grades where the state hides the average because ten or fewer students tested are left out entirely.

2015 from sb_ca2015_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	84,811	2398.6	− 2436	−37.4	× 25 / 158	−5.9
4	84,814	2442.6	− 2485	−42.4	× 26 / 158	−7
5	84,815	2473.3	− 2528	−54.7	× 24 / 158	−8.3
6	84,818	2503.7	− 2552	−48.3	× 19 / 158	−5.8
7	84,819	2547.1	− 2567	−19.9	× 25 / 158	−3.1
8	84,822	2557.1	− 2586	−28.9	× 39 / 158	−7.1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−37

2016 from sb_ca2016_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	78,630	2439.5	− 2436	3.5	× 21 / 139	0.5
4	78,632	2432.4	− 2485	−52.6	× 23 / 139	−8.7
5	78,634	2466.0	− 2528	−62	× 26 / 139	−11.6
6	78,637	2505.9	− 2552	−46.1	× 25 / 139	−8.3
7	78,638	2534.7	− 2567	−32.3	× 18 / 139	−4.2
8	78,641	2546.5	− 2586	−39.5	× 26 / 139	−7.4
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−40

2017 from sb_ca2017_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	80,786	2469.1	− 2436	33.1	× 22 / 143	5.1
4	80,788	2472.5	− 2485	−12.5	× 21 / 143	−1.8
5	80,789	2443.0	− 2528	−85	× 24 / 143	−14.3
6	80,791	2512.0	− 2552	−40	× 27 / 143	−7.6
7	80,794	2528.0	− 2567	−39	× 26 / 143	−7.1
8	80,796	2552.0	− 2586	−34	× 23 / 143	−5.5
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−31

2018 from sb_ca2018_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	80,939	2457.8	− 2436	21.8	× 20 / 133	3.3
4	80,940	2506.8	− 2485	21.8	× 21 / 133	3.4
5	80,943	2505.1	− 2528	−22.9	× 23 / 133	−4
6	80,944	2507.3	− 2552	−44.7	× 18 / 133	−6
7	80,947	2565.2	− 2567	−1.8	× 25 / 133	−0.3
8	80,948	2555.2	− 2586	−30.8	× 26 / 133	−6
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−10

2019 from sb_ca2019_1_csv_v4.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	81,468	2404.8	− 2436	−31.2	× 17 / 127	−4.2
4	81,469	2512.2	− 2485	27.2	× 20 / 127	4.3
5	81,470	2503.6	− 2528	−24.4	× 24 / 127	−4.6
6	81,471	2536.8	− 2552	−15.2	× 24 / 127	−2.9
7	81,472	2505.2	− 2567	−61.8	× 18 / 127	−8.8
8	81,473	2579.3	− 2586	−6.7	× 24 / 127	−1.3
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−17

2021 from sb_ca2021_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	79,822	2388.5	− 2436	−47.5	× 24 / 129	−8.8
4	79,823	2448.5	− 2485	−36.5	× 21 / 129	−5.9
5	79,824	2431.1	− 2528	−96.9	× 16 / 129	−12
6	79,825	2462.6	− 2552	−89.4	× 16 / 129	−11.1
7	79,826	2508.6	− 2567	−58.4	× 22 / 129	−10
8	79,827	2554.1	− 2586	−31.9	× 30 / 129	−7.4
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−55

2022 from sb_ca2022_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	81,689	2462.7	− 2436	26.7	× 15 / 119	3.4
4	81,690	2510.3	− 2485	25.3	× 23 / 119	4.9
5	81,691	2465.0	− 2528	−63	× 21 / 119	−11.1
6	81,692	2580.2	− 2552	28.2	× 14 / 119	3.3
7	81,693	2488.7	− 2567	−78.3	× 22 / 119	−14.5
8	81,694	2538.9	− 2586	−47.1	× 24 / 119	−9.5
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−24

2023 from sb_ca2023_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	81,653	2447.5	− 2436	11.5	× 23 / 134	2
4	81,654	2491.8	− 2485	6.8	× 16 / 134	0.8
5	81,655	2481.7	− 2528	−46.3	× 24 / 134	−8.3
6	81,656	2549.8	− 2552	−2.2	× 27 / 134	−0.4
7	81,657	2498.4	− 2567	−68.6	× 22 / 134	−11.3
8	81,658	2482.3	− 2586	−103.7	× 22 / 134	−17
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−34

2024 from sb_ca2024_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	81,665	2467.4	− 2436	31.4	× 13 / 117	3.5
4	81,666	2469.3	− 2485	−15.7	× 24 / 117	−3.2
5	81,667	2513.0	− 2528	−15	× 14 / 117	−1.8
6	81,668	2499.4	− 2552	−52.6	× 23 / 117	−10.3
7	81,669	2521.2	− 2567	−45.8	× 26 / 117	−10.2
8	81,670	2543.8	− 2586	−42.2	× 17 / 117	−6.1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−28

2025 from sb_ca2025_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	81,333	2444.3	− 2436	8.3	× 16 / 112	1.2
4	81,334	2476.9	− 2485	−8.1	× 14 / 112	−1
5	81,335	2479.8	− 2528	−48.2	× 20 / 112	−8.6
6	81,336	2545.8	− 2552	−6.2	× 15 / 112	−0.8
7	81,337	2529.6	− 2567	−37.4	× 21 / 112	−7
8	81,338	2538.5	− 2586	−47.5	× 26 / 112	−11
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−27

2026 from sb_ca2026_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	81,255	2427.9	− 2436	−8.1	× 21 / 116	−1.5
4	81,256	2469.9	− 2485	−15.1	× 18 / 116	−2.3
5	81,257	2442.1	− 2528	−85.9	× 15 / 116	−11.1
6	81,258	2513.7	− 2552	−38.3	× 20 / 116	−6.6
7	81,259	2522.3	− 2567	−44.7	× 19 / 116	−7.3
8	81,260	2519.8	− 2586	−66.2	× 23 / 116	−13.1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−42

Step 2 · The average and the normal range

Average: add the yearly results and divide by how many there are. −37, −40, −31, −10, −17, −55, −24, −34, −28, −27, −42 → −31.4
Typical year-to-year change: how far the result moved from each year to the next, ignoring up or down. 2015→2016: 3 · 2016→2017: 9 · 2017→2018: 21 · 2018→2019: 7 · 2019→2021: 38 · 2021→2022: 31 · 2022→2023: 10 · 2023→2024: 6 · 2024→2025: 1 · 2025→2026: 15 → average 14.1
Normal range: multiply the typical change by 2.66, then add it to the average and subtract it. 14.1 × 2.66 = 37.5. Upper limit 6.1, lower limit −68.9.

Why 2.66? It is the standard factor from quality control, the work of Walter Shewhart and W. Edwards Deming. It turns "how much the result typically changes in a year" into "how far it can wander by chance alone".

Years with no result (no state tests were given in spring 2020) are skipped: the year-to-year change runs from the last year with a result to the next one.

Step 3 · Free or reduced-price meals

The share of enrolled students eligible for free or reduced-price meals. From 2014–15, 2015–16, 2016–17, 2017–18, 2018–19, 2020–21, 2021–22, 2022–23, 2023–24, 2024–25, 2025–26.