Palm Vista Elementary: math

The shaded band is this school's normal range. If nothing about how it works changes, nearly every future year should land inside it. Zero means the typical student just meets the state standard. The small numbers under the years are how many students were tested.

Measured against the grade 3 bar

The state's math test uses one scale for every grade, so a score means the same thing in grade 3 as in grade 5.

3rd The average 3rd grader scores 101 points under the grade 3 bar. 2335 vs. 2436.
4th The average 4th grader scores 48 points under the grade 3 bar. 2389 vs. 2436. The 4th-grade bar is 2485.
5th The average 5th grader scores 20 points under the grade 3 bar. 2416 vs. 2436. The 5th-grade bar is 2528.

2026 results. "Meets standard" is the state's mark for being on track for that grade.

Step 1 · Each year's result

For each grade tested, take the average (mean) scale score from the California Department of Education's results file, and subtract the lowest score that counts as "Standard Met" for that grade. That is the grade's distance from standard. Weight each grade by its share of the students tested, then add the grades up. Grades where the state hides the average because ten or fewer students tested are left out entirely.

2015 from sb_ca2015_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	66,312	2403.9	− 2436	−32.1	× 44 / 167	−8.5
4	66,315	2410.6	− 2485	−74.4	× 41 / 167	−18.3
5	66,316	2475.1	− 2528	−52.9	× 41 / 167	−13
6	66,319	2471.1	− 2552	−80.9	× 41 / 167	−19.9
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−60

2016 from sb_ca2016_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	61,487	2367.6	− 2436	−68.4	× 62 / 205	−20.7
4	61,489	2407.9	− 2485	−77.1	× 48 / 205	−18.1
5	61,491	2440.8	− 2528	−87.2	× 46 / 205	−19.6
6	61,494	2499.1	− 2552	−52.9	× 49 / 205	−12.6
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−71

2017 from sb_ca2017_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	63,268	2381.1	− 2436	−54.9	× 58 / 213	−14.9
4	63,270	2417.1	− 2485	−67.9	× 55 / 213	−17.5
5	63,272	2431.0	− 2528	−97	× 54 / 213	−24.6
6	63,274	2456.0	− 2552	−96	× 46 / 213	−20.7
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−78

2018 from sb_ca2018_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	63,366	2358.8	− 2436	−77.2	× 58 / 207	−21.6
4	63,369	2416.2	− 2485	−68.8	× 51 / 207	−17
5	63,370	2414.4	− 2528	−113.6	× 55 / 207	−30.2
6	63,372	2473.7	− 2552	−78.3	× 43 / 207	−16.3
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−85

2019 from sb_ca2019_1_csv_v4.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	63,624	2379.3	− 2436	−56.7	× 49 / 223	−12.5
4	63,625	2416.3	− 2485	−68.7	× 64 / 223	−19.7
5	63,626	2404.0	− 2528	−124	× 58 / 223	−32.3
6	63,627	2445.0	− 2552	−107	× 52 / 223	−25
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−89

2022 from sb_ca2022_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	63,712	2344.5	− 2436	−91.5	× 57 / 200	−26.1
4	63,713	2383.2	− 2485	−101.8	× 46 / 200	−23.4
5	63,714	2412.4	− 2528	−115.6	× 54 / 200	−31.2
6	63,715	2400.7	− 2552	−151.3	× 43 / 200	−32.5
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−113

2023 from sb_ca2023_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	63,655	2362.0	− 2436	−74	× 47 / 193	−18
4	63,656	2384.4	− 2485	−100.6	× 45 / 193	−23.5
5	63,657	2413.9	− 2528	−114.1	× 45 / 193	−26.6
6	63,658	2426.6	− 2552	−125.4	× 56 / 193	−36.4
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−104

2024 from sb_ca2024_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	63,631	2374.7	− 2436	−61.3	× 40 / 184	−13.3
4	63,632	2418.0	− 2485	−67	× 44 / 184	−16
5	63,633	2411.2	− 2528	−116.8	× 46 / 184	−29.2
6	63,634	2445.5	− 2552	−106.5	× 54 / 184	−31.3
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−90

2025 from sb_ca2025_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	63,393	2363.4	− 2436	−72.6	× 57 / 195	−21.2
4	63,394	2400.0	− 2485	−85	× 43 / 195	−18.7
5	63,395	2396.9	− 2528	−131.1	× 45 / 195	−30.3
6	63,396	2427.3	− 2552	−124.7	× 50 / 195	−32
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−102

2026 from sb_ca2026_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	63,358	2335.4	− 2436	−100.6	× 44 / 144	−30.7
4	63,359	2388.5	− 2485	−96.5	× 55 / 144	−36.9
5	63,360	2416.0	− 2528	−112	× 45 / 144	−35
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−103

Step 2 · The average and the normal range

Average: add the yearly results and divide by how many there are. −60, −71, −78, −85, −89, −113, −104, −90, −102, −103 → −89.5
Typical year-to-year change: how far the result moved from each year to the next, ignoring up or down. 2015→2016: 11 · 2016→2017: 7 · 2017→2018: 7 · 2018→2019: 4 · 2019→2022: 24 · 2022→2023: 9 · 2023→2024: 14 · 2024→2025: 12 · 2025→2026: 1 → average 9.9
Normal range: multiply the typical change by 2.66, then add it to the average and subtract it. 9.9 × 2.66 = 26.3. Upper limit −63.2, lower limit −115.8.

Why 2.66? It is the standard factor from quality control, the work of Walter Shewhart and W. Edwards Deming. It turns "how much the result typically changes in a year" into "how far it can wander by chance alone".

Years with no result (no state tests were given in spring 2020) are skipped: the year-to-year change runs from the last year with a result to the next one.

Step 3 · Free or reduced-price meals

The share of enrolled students eligible for free or reduced-price meals. From 2014–15, 2015–16, 2016–17, 2017–18, 2018–19, 2020–21, 2021–22, 2022–23, 2023–24, 2024–25, 2025–26.