Victoria Groves Elementary: math

The shaded band is this school's normal range. If nothing about how it works changes, nearly every future year should land inside it. Zero means the typical student just meets the state standard. The small numbers under the years are how many students were tested.

Measured against the grade bars

The state's math test uses one scale for every grade, so a score means the same thing in grade 3 as in grade 5.

3rd The average 3rd grader scores just under the grade 3 bar. 2431 vs. 2436.
4th The average 4th grader meets the grade 4 bar. 2497 vs. 2485.
5th The average 5th grader scores just under the grade 5 bar. 2525 vs. 2528.

2026 results. "Meets standard" is the state's mark for being on track for that grade.

Step 1 · Each year's result

For each grade tested, take the average (mean) scale score from the California Department of Education's results file, and subtract the lowest score that counts as "Standard Met" for that grade. That is the grade's distance from standard. Weight each grade by its share of the students tested, then add the grades up. Grades where the state hides the average because ten or fewer students tested are left out entirely.

2015 from sb_ca2015_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	64,511	2456.9	− 2436	20.9	× 85 / 336	5.3
4	64,512	2470.9	− 2485	−14.1	× 65 / 336	−2.7
5	64,515	2507.2	− 2528	−20.8	× 95 / 336	−5.9
6	64,516	2559.2	− 2552	7.2	× 91 / 336	2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−1

2016 from sb_ca2016_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	59,842	2467.7	− 2436	31.7	× 76 / 331	7.3
4	59,844	2486.9	− 2485	1.9	× 86 / 331	0.5
5	59,845	2522.4	− 2528	−5.6	× 70 / 331	−1.2
6	59,847	2528.2	− 2552	−23.8	× 99 / 331	−7.1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−1

2017 from sb_ca2017_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	61,559	2472.5	− 2436	36.5	× 76 / 317	8.8
4	61,560	2482.4	− 2485	−2.6	× 78 / 317	−0.6
5	61,563	2518.0	− 2528	−10	× 89 / 317	−2.8
6	61,564	2532.4	− 2552	−19.6	× 74 / 317	−4.6
Sum, rounded to a whole point						1

2018 from sb_ca2018_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	61,660	2520.9	− 2436	84.9	× 74 / 331	19
4	61,662	2497.5	− 2485	12.5	× 78 / 331	2.9
5	61,663	2513.9	− 2528	−14.1	× 86 / 331	−3.7
6	61,666	2546.3	− 2552	−5.7	× 93 / 331	−1.6
Sum, rounded to a whole point						17

2019 from sb_ca2019_1_csv_v4.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	61,925	2453.7	− 2436	17.7	× 80 / 331	4.3
4	61,926	2522.8	− 2485	37.8	× 82 / 331	9.4
5	61,927	2537.7	− 2528	9.7	× 79 / 331	2.3
6	61,928	2537.5	− 2552	−14.5	× 90 / 331	−3.9
Sum, rounded to a whole point						12

2022 from sb_ca2022_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	62,010	2461.3	− 2436	25.3	× 85 / 323	6.7
4	62,011	2507.9	− 2485	22.9	× 72 / 323	5.1
5	62,012	2502.9	− 2528	−25.1	× 83 / 323	−6.4
6	62,013	2516.0	− 2552	−36	× 83 / 323	−9.3
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−4

2023 from sb_ca2023_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	61,958	2467.2	− 2436	31.2	× 73 / 315	7.2
4	61,959	2505.7	− 2485	20.7	× 77 / 315	5.1
5	61,960	2520.9	− 2528	−7.1	× 79 / 315	−1.8
6	61,961	2555.3	− 2552	3.3	× 86 / 315	0.9
Sum, rounded to a whole point						11

2024 from sb_ca2024_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	61,913	2466.3	− 2436	30.3	× 68 / 300	6.9
4	61,914	2506.1	− 2485	21.1	× 77 / 300	5.4
5	61,915	2533.2	− 2528	5.2	× 78 / 300	1.4
6	61,916	2551.3	− 2552	−0.7	× 77 / 300	−0.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						13

2025 from sb_ca2025_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	61,676	2441.3	− 2436	5.3	× 77 / 237	1.7
4	61,677	2517.2	− 2485	32.2	× 74 / 237	10.1
5	61,678	2528.1	− 2528	0.1	× 86 / 237	0
Sum, rounded to a whole point						12

2026 from sb_ca2026_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	61,640	2430.7	− 2436	−5.3	× 67 / 226	−1.6
4	61,641	2496.5	− 2485	11.5	× 81 / 226	4.1
5	61,642	2525.2	− 2528	−2.8	× 78 / 226	−1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						2

Step 2 · The average and the normal range

Average: add the yearly results and divide by how many there are. −1, −1, 1, 17, 12, −4, 11, 13, 12, 2 → 6.2
Typical year-to-year change: how far the result moved from each year to the next, ignoring up or down. 2015→2016: 0 · 2016→2017: 2 · 2017→2018: 16 · 2018→2019: 5 · 2019→2022: 16 · 2022→2023: 15 · 2023→2024: 2 · 2024→2025: 1 · 2025→2026: 10 → average 7.4
Normal range: multiply the typical change by 2.66, then add it to the average and subtract it. 7.4 × 2.66 = 19.7. Upper limit 25.9, lower limit −13.5.

Why 2.66? It is the standard factor from quality control, the work of Walter Shewhart and W. Edwards Deming. It turns "how much the result typically changes in a year" into "how far it can wander by chance alone".

Years with no result (no state tests were given in spring 2020) are skipped: the year-to-year change runs from the last year with a result to the next one.

Step 3 · Free or reduced-price meals

The share of enrolled students eligible for free or reduced-price meals. From 2014–15, 2015–16, 2016–17, 2017–18, 2018–19, 2020–21, 2021–22, 2022–23, 2023–24, 2024–25, 2025–26.