Goleta Union Elementary: english

The shaded band is this district's normal range. If nothing about how it works changes, nearly every future year should land inside it. Zero means the typical student just meets the state standard. The small numbers under the years are how many students were tested.

Step 1 · Each year's result

For each grade tested, take the average (mean) scale score from the California Department of Education's results file, and subtract the lowest score that counts as "Standard Met" for that grade. That is the grade's distance from standard. Weight each grade by its share of the students tested, then add the grades up. Grades where the state hides the average because ten or fewer students tested are left out entirely.

2015 from sb_ca2015_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	84,839	2424.5	− 2432	−7.5	× 505 / 2061	−1.8
4	84,842	2467.9	− 2473	−5.1	× 494 / 2061	−1.2
5	84,843	2514.9	− 2502	12.9	× 519 / 2061	3.2
6	84,846	2553.0	− 2531	22	× 543 / 2061	5.8
Sum, rounded to a whole point						6

2016 from sb_ca2016_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	78,659	2438.3	− 2432	6.3	× 481 / 2025	1.5
4	78,661	2478.2	− 2473	5.2	× 522 / 2025	1.3
5	78,662	2528.4	− 2502	26.4	× 496 / 2025	6.5
6	78,664	2556.9	− 2531	25.9	× 526 / 2025	6.7
Sum, rounded to a whole point						16

2017 from sb_ca2017_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	80,814	2442.3	− 2432	10.3	× 486 / 1966	2.5
4	80,815	2476.4	− 2473	3.4	× 477 / 1966	0.8
5	80,817	2519.1	− 2502	17.1	× 513 / 1966	4.5
6	80,820	2565.9	− 2531	34.9	× 490 / 1966	8.7
Sum, rounded to a whole point						17

2018 from sb_ca2018_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	80,967	2456.5	− 2432	24.5	× 467 / 1959	5.8
4	80,968	2493.3	− 2473	20.3	× 492 / 1959	5.1
5	80,971	2526.9	− 2502	24.9	× 493 / 1959	6.3
6	80,972	2559.8	− 2531	28.8	× 507 / 1959	7.5
Sum, rounded to a whole point						25

2019 from sb_ca2019_1_csv_v4.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	81,489	2459.3	− 2432	27.3	× 485 / 1967	6.7
4	81,490	2494.2	− 2473	21.2	× 484 / 1967	5.2
5	81,491	2542.3	− 2502	40.3	× 496 / 1967	10.2
6	81,492	2568.9	− 2531	37.9	× 502 / 1967	9.7
Sum, rounded to a whole point						32

2022 from sb_ca2022_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	81,710	2456.6	− 2432	24.6	× 479 / 1875	6.3
4	81,711	2500.2	− 2473	27.2	× 435 / 1875	6.3
5	81,712	2538.4	− 2502	36.4	× 485 / 1875	9.4
6	81,713	2567.4	− 2531	36.4	× 476 / 1875	9.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						31

2023 from sb_ca2023_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	81,674	2458.2	− 2432	26.2	× 456 / 1859	6.4
4	81,675	2496.5	− 2473	23.5	× 490 / 1859	6.2
5	81,676	2546.1	− 2502	44.1	× 435 / 1859	10.3
6	81,677	2574.9	− 2531	43.9	× 478 / 1859	11.3
Sum, rounded to a whole point						34

2024 from sb_ca2024_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	81,686	2446.0	− 2432	14	× 433 / 1805	3.4
4	81,687	2499.2	− 2473	26.2	× 458 / 1805	6.6
5	81,688	2536.0	− 2502	34	× 491 / 1805	9.2
6	81,689	2574.2	− 2531	43.2	× 423 / 1805	10.1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						29

2025 from sb_ca2025_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	81,354	2459.0	− 2432	27	× 430 / 1776	6.5
4	81,355	2486.2	− 2473	13.2	× 425 / 1776	3.2
5	81,356	2542.8	− 2502	40.8	× 449 / 1776	10.3
6	81,357	2573.8	− 2531	42.8	× 472 / 1776	11.4
Sum, rounded to a whole point						31

2026 from sb_ca2026_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	81,276	2448.0	− 2432	16	× 432 / 1731	4
4	81,277	2500.4	− 2473	27.4	× 430 / 1731	6.8
5	81,278	2529.4	− 2502	27.4	× 432 / 1731	6.8
6	81,279	2571.1	− 2531	40.1	× 437 / 1731	10.1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						28

Step 2 · The average and the normal range

Average: add the yearly results and divide by how many there are. 6, 16, 17, 25, 32, 31, 34, 29, 31, 28 → 24.9
Typical year-to-year change: how far the result moved from each year to the next, ignoring up or down. 2015→2016: 10 · 2016→2017: 1 · 2017→2018: 8 · 2018→2019: 7 · 2019→2022: 1 · 2022→2023: 3 · 2023→2024: 5 · 2024→2025: 2 · 2025→2026: 3 → average 4.4
Normal range: multiply the typical change by 2.66, then add it to the average and subtract it. 4.4 × 2.66 = 11.7. Upper limit 36.6, lower limit 13.2.

Why 2.66? It is the standard factor from quality control, the work of Walter Shewhart and W. Edwards Deming. It turns "how much the result typically changes in a year" into "how far it can wander by chance alone".

Years with no result (no state tests were given in spring 2020) are skipped: the year-to-year change runs from the last year with a result to the next one.

Step 3 · Free or reduced-price meals

The share of enrolled students eligible for free or reduced-price meals — for a district, the total across its schools. From 2014–15, 2015–16, 2016–17, 2017–18, 2018–19, 2020–21, 2021–22, 2022–23, 2023–24, 2024–25, 2025–26.

Goleta Union Elementary