College Elementary: english

The shaded band is this district's normal range. If nothing about how it works changes, nearly every future year should land inside it. Zero means the typical student just meets the state standard. The small numbers under the years are how many students were tested.

Step 1 · Each year's result

For each grade tested, take the average (mean) scale score from the California Department of Education's results file, and subtract the lowest score that counts as "Standard Met" for that grade. That is the grade's distance from standard. Weight each grade by its share of the students tested, then add the grades up. Grades where the state hides the average because ten or fewer students tested are left out entirely.

2015 from sb_ca2015_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	84,797	2408.0	− 2432	−24	× 25 / 157	−3.8
4	84,800	2471.7	− 2473	−1.3	× 26 / 157	−0.2
5	84,801	2512.1	− 2502	10.1	× 24 / 157	1.5
6	84,804	2520.3	− 2531	−10.7	× 18 / 157	−1.2
7	84,805	2566.7	− 2552	14.7	× 25 / 157	2.3
8	84,808	2599.6	− 2567	32.6	× 39 / 157	8.1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						7

2016 from sb_ca2016_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	78,616	2422.3	− 2432	−9.7	× 21 / 140	−1.5
4	78,618	2466.7	− 2473	−6.3	× 23 / 140	−1
5	78,621	2509.5	− 2502	7.5	× 26 / 140	1.4
6	78,623	2515.8	− 2531	−15.2	× 25 / 140	−2.7
7	78,625	2556.8	− 2552	4.8	× 19 / 140	0.7
8	78,626	2592.5	− 2567	25.5	× 26 / 140	4.7
Sum, rounded to a whole point						2

2017 from sb_ca2017_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	80,771	2456.2	− 2432	24.2	× 22 / 143	3.7
4	80,774	2473.0	− 2473	0	× 21 / 143	0
5	80,776	2458.5	− 2502	−43.5	× 24 / 143	−7.3
6	80,777	2538.1	− 2531	7.1	× 27 / 143	1.3
7	80,780	2568.8	− 2552	16.8	× 26 / 143	3.1
8	80,782	2605.4	− 2567	38.4	× 23 / 143	6.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						7

2018 from sb_ca2018_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	80,924	2422.7	− 2432	−9.3	× 20 / 134	−1.4
4	80,927	2536.1	− 2473	63.1	× 21 / 134	9.9
5	80,928	2479.1	− 2502	−22.9	× 23 / 134	−3.9
6	80,931	2505.8	− 2531	−25.2	× 19 / 134	−3.6
7	80,932	2614.4	− 2552	62.4	× 25 / 134	11.6
8	80,935	2586.8	− 2567	19.8	× 26 / 134	3.8
Sum, rounded to a whole point						16

2019 from sb_ca2019_1_csv_v4.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	81,447	2435.4	− 2432	3.4	× 17 / 126	0.5
4	81,448	2492.6	− 2473	19.6	× 20 / 126	3.1
5	81,449	2541.2	− 2502	39.2	× 24 / 126	7.5
6	81,450	2551.7	− 2531	20.7	× 23 / 126	3.8
7	81,451	2560.3	− 2552	8.3	× 18 / 126	1.2
8	81,452	2638.0	− 2567	71	× 24 / 126	13.5
Sum, rounded to a whole point						30

2021 from sb_ca2021_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	79,801	2373.7	− 2432	−58.3	× 23 / 128	−10.5
4	79,802	2456.9	− 2473	−16.1	× 21 / 128	−2.6
5	79,803	2474.4	− 2502	−27.6	× 16 / 128	−3.5
6	79,804	2500.0	− 2531	−31	× 16 / 128	−3.9
7	79,805	2603.1	− 2552	51.1	× 22 / 128	8.8
8	79,806	2593.0	− 2567	26	× 30 / 128	6.1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−6

2022 from sb_ca2022_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	81,668	2433.8	− 2432	1.8	× 15 / 120	0.2
4	81,669	2493.3	− 2473	20.3	× 23 / 120	3.9
5	81,670	2499.8	− 2502	−2.2	× 21 / 120	−0.4
6	81,671	2569.1	− 2531	38.1	× 14 / 120	4.4
7	81,672	2563.8	− 2552	11.8	× 22 / 120	2.2
8	81,673	2613.4	− 2567	46.4	× 25 / 120	9.7
Sum, rounded to a whole point						20

2023 from sb_ca2023_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	81,632	2410.9	− 2432	−21.1	× 24 / 135	−3.8
4	81,633	2469.2	− 2473	−3.8	× 16 / 135	−0.5
5	81,634	2454.4	− 2502	−47.6	× 24 / 135	−8.5
6	81,635	2544.8	− 2531	13.8	× 27 / 135	2.8
7	81,636	2541.4	− 2552	−10.6	× 22 / 135	−1.7
8	81,637	2560.5	− 2567	−6.5	× 22 / 135	−1.1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−13

2024 from sb_ca2024_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	81,644	2438.5	− 2432	6.5	× 13 / 117	0.7
4	81,645	2448.8	− 2473	−24.2	× 24 / 117	−5
5	81,646	2516.7	− 2502	14.7	× 14 / 117	1.8
6	81,647	2497.7	− 2531	−33.3	× 23 / 117	−6.5
7	81,648	2555.9	− 2552	3.9	× 26 / 117	0.9
8	81,649	2573.8	− 2567	6.8	× 17 / 117	1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−7

2025 from sb_ca2025_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	81,312	2434.7	− 2432	2.7	× 16 / 113	0.4
4	81,313	2466.9	− 2473	−6.1	× 14 / 113	−0.8
5	81,314	2542.6	− 2502	40.6	× 20 / 113	7.2
6	81,315	2549.6	− 2531	18.6	× 16 / 113	2.6
7	81,316	2525.7	− 2552	−26.3	× 21 / 113	−4.9
8	81,317	2599.7	− 2567	32.7	× 26 / 113	7.5
Sum, rounded to a whole point						12

2026 from sb_ca2026_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	81,234	2430.4	− 2432	−1.6	× 21 / 116	−0.3
4	81,235	2481.0	− 2473	8	× 18 / 116	1.2
5	81,236	2462.6	− 2502	−39.4	× 16 / 116	−5.4
6	81,237	2544.2	− 2531	13.2	× 20 / 116	2.3
7	81,238	2553.6	− 2552	1.6	× 18 / 116	0.2
8	81,239	2560.8	− 2567	−6.2	× 23 / 116	−1.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−3

Step 2 · The average and the normal range

Average: add the yearly results and divide by how many there are. 7, 2, 7, 16, 30, −6, 20, −13, −7, 12, −3 → 5.9
Typical year-to-year change: how far the result moved from each year to the next, ignoring up or down. 2015→2016: 5 · 2016→2017: 5 · 2017→2018: 9 · 2018→2019: 14 · 2019→2021: 36 · 2021→2022: 26 · 2022→2023: 33 · 2023→2024: 6 · 2024→2025: 19 · 2025→2026: 15 → average 16.8
Normal range: multiply the typical change by 2.66, then add it to the average and subtract it. 16.8 × 2.66 = 44.7. Upper limit 50.6, lower limit −38.8.

Why 2.66? It is the standard factor from quality control, the work of Walter Shewhart and W. Edwards Deming. It turns "how much the result typically changes in a year" into "how far it can wander by chance alone".

Years with no result (no state tests were given in spring 2020) are skipped: the year-to-year change runs from the last year with a result to the next one.

Step 3 · Free or reduced-price meals

The share of enrolled students eligible for free or reduced-price meals — for a district, the total across its schools. From 2014–15, 2015–16, 2016–17, 2017–18, 2018–19, 2020–21, 2021–22, 2022–23, 2023–24, 2024–25, 2025–26.

College Elementary