Julia Morgan Elementary: english

The shaded band is this school's normal range. If nothing about how it works changes, nearly every future year should land inside it. Zero means the typical student just meets the state standard. The small numbers under the years are how many students were tested.

Measured against the grade bars

The state's English test uses one scale for every grade, so a score means the same thing in grade 3 as in grade 6.

3rd The average 3rd grader scores 37 points under the grade 3 bar. 2395 vs. 2432.
4th The average 4th grader scores 24 points under the grade 4 bar. 2449 vs. 2473.
5th The average 5th grader meets the grade 5 bar. 2525 vs. 2502.
6th The average 6th grader scores just under the grade 5 bar. 2494 vs. 2502. The 6th-grade bar is 2531.

2026 results. The English test covers reading, writing, listening and research together. "Meets standard" is the state's mark for being on track for that grade.

Step 1 · Each year's result

For each grade tested, take the average (mean) scale score from the California Department of Education's results file, and subtract the lowest score that counts as "Standard Met" for that grade. That is the grade's distance from standard. Weight each grade by its share of the students tested, then add the grades up. Grades where the state hides the average because ten or fewer students tested are left out entirely.

2015 from sb_ca2015_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	79,637	2414.1	− 2432	−17.9	× 70 / 326	−3.8
4	79,638	2449.7	− 2473	−23.3	× 76 / 326	−5.4
5	79,641	2499.5	− 2502	−2.5	× 79 / 326	−0.6
6	79,642	2525.9	− 2531	−5.1	× 101 / 326	−1.6
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−11

2016 from sb_ca2016_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	73,819	2405.6	− 2432	−26.4	× 72 / 307	−6.2
4	73,820	2441.2	− 2473	−31.8	× 76 / 307	−7.9
5	73,823	2501.0	− 2502	−1	× 80 / 307	−0.3
6	73,825	2547.2	− 2531	16.2	× 79 / 307	4.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−10

2017 from sb_ca2017_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	75,795	2427.2	− 2432	−4.8	× 71 / 318	−1.1
4	75,797	2443.0	− 2473	−30	× 77 / 318	−7.3
5	75,799	2486.3	− 2502	−15.7	× 78 / 318	−3.9
6	75,802	2522.7	− 2531	−8.3	× 92 / 318	−2.4
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−15

2018 from sb_ca2018_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	75,983	2424.6	− 2432	−7.4	× 71 / 293	−1.8
4	75,984	2465.8	− 2473	−7.2	× 76 / 293	−1.9
5	75,987	2491.4	− 2502	−10.6	× 78 / 293	−2.8
6	75,988	2526.0	− 2531	−5	× 68 / 293	−1.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−8

2019 from sb_ca2019_1_csv_v4.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	76,500	2423.6	− 2432	−8.4	× 73 / 291	−2.1
4	76,501	2468.3	− 2473	−4.7	× 63 / 291	−1
5	76,502	2513.0	− 2502	11	× 77 / 291	2.9
6	76,503	2526.7	− 2531	−4.3	× 78 / 291	−1.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−1

2021 from sb_ca2021_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	75,077	2407.9	− 2432	−24.1	× 55 / 230	−5.8
4	75,078	2451.6	− 2473	−21.4	× 58 / 230	−5.4
5	75,079	2484.7	− 2502	−17.3	× 64 / 230	−4.8
6	75,080	2509.6	− 2531	−21.4	× 53 / 230	−4.9
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−21

2022 from sb_ca2022_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	76,670	2398.3	− 2432	−33.7	× 60 / 270	−7.5
4	76,671	2468.7	− 2473	−4.3	× 71 / 270	−1.1
5	76,672	2503.2	− 2502	1.2	× 70 / 270	0.3
6	76,673	2528.7	− 2531	−2.3	× 69 / 270	−0.6
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−9

2023 from sb_ca2023_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	76,652	2414.7	− 2432	−17.3	× 72 / 277	−4.5
4	76,653	2434.5	− 2473	−38.5	× 60 / 277	−8.3
5	76,654	2514.5	− 2502	12.5	× 73 / 277	3.3
6	76,655	2509.4	− 2531	−21.6	× 72 / 277	−5.6
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−15

2024 from sb_ca2024_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	76,637	2406.5	− 2432	−25.5	× 48 / 258	−4.7
4	76,638	2431.8	− 2473	−41.2	× 64 / 258	−10.2
5	76,639	2471.6	− 2502	−30.4	× 59 / 258	−7
6	76,640	2519.3	− 2531	−11.7	× 87 / 258	−3.9
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−26

2025 from sb_ca2025_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	76,300	2408.9	− 2432	−23.1	× 51 / 244	−4.8
4	76,301	2442.0	− 2473	−31	× 50 / 244	−6.4
5	76,302	2492.0	− 2502	−10	× 74 / 244	−3
6	76,303	2485.4	− 2531	−45.6	× 69 / 244	−12.9
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−27

2026 from sb_ca2026_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	76,210	2394.7	− 2432	−37.3	× 48 / 216	−8.3
4	76,211	2449.4	− 2473	−23.6	× 49 / 216	−5.4
5	76,212	2525.3	− 2502	23.3	× 47 / 216	5.1
6	76,213	2493.5	− 2531	−37.5	× 72 / 216	−12.5
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−21

Step 2 · The average and the normal range

Average: add the yearly results and divide by how many there are. −11, −10, −15, −8, −1, −21, −9, −15, −26, −27, −21 → −14.9
Typical year-to-year change: how far the result moved from each year to the next, ignoring up or down. 2015→2016: 1 · 2016→2017: 5 · 2017→2018: 7 · 2018→2019: 7 · 2019→2021: 20 · 2021→2022: 12 · 2022→2023: 6 · 2023→2024: 11 · 2024→2025: 1 · 2025→2026: 6 → average 7.6
Normal range: multiply the typical change by 2.66, then add it to the average and subtract it. 7.6 × 2.66 = 20.2. Upper limit 5.3, lower limit −35.1.

Why 2.66? It is the standard factor from quality control, the work of Walter Shewhart and W. Edwards Deming. It turns "how much the result typically changes in a year" into "how far it can wander by chance alone".

Years with no result (no state tests were given in spring 2020) are skipped: the year-to-year change runs from the last year with a result to the next one.

Step 3 · Free or reduced-price meals

The share of enrolled students eligible for free or reduced-price meals. From 2014–15, 2015–16, 2016–17, 2017–18, 2018–19, 2020–21, 2021–22, 2022–23, 2023–24, 2024–25, 2025–26.