Freshwater Elementary: english

The shaded band is this district's normal range. If nothing about how it works changes, nearly every future year should land inside it. Zero means the typical student just meets the state standard. The small numbers under the years are how many students were tested.

Step 1 · Each year's result

For each grade tested, take the average (mean) scale score from the California Department of Education's results file, and subtract the lowest score that counts as "Standard Met" for that grade. That is the grade's distance from standard. Weight each grade by its share of the students tested, then add the grades up. Grades where the state hides the average because ten or fewer students tested are left out entirely.

2015 from sb_ca2015_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	13,663	2470.0	− 2432	38	× 37 / 196	7.2
4	13,664	2510.7	− 2473	37.7	× 36 / 196	6.9
5	13,667	2516.6	− 2502	14.6	× 36 / 196	2.7
6	13,668	2569.1	− 2531	38.1	× 36 / 196	7
7	13,671	2566.2	− 2552	14.2	× 26 / 196	1.9
8	13,672	2581.1	− 2567	14.1	× 25 / 196	1.8
Sum, rounded to a whole point						27

2016 from sb_ca2016_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	12,692	2454.7	− 2432	22.7	× 43 / 192	5.1
4	12,695	2512.3	− 2473	39.3	× 39 / 192	8
5	12,696	2555.8	− 2502	53.8	× 36 / 192	10.1
6	12,699	2565.4	− 2531	34.4	× 27 / 192	4.8
7	12,701	2608.3	− 2552	56.3	× 22 / 192	6.5
8	12,702	2572.1	− 2567	5.1	× 25 / 192	0.7
Sum, rounded to a whole point						35

2017 from sb_ca2017_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	13,028	2440.2	− 2432	8.2	× 48 / 211	1.9
4	13,030	2488.0	− 2473	15	× 42 / 211	3
5	13,031	2530.7	− 2502	28.7	× 40 / 211	5.4
6	13,034	2571.5	− 2531	40.5	× 31 / 211	6
7	13,035	2608.9	− 2552	56.9	× 27 / 211	7.3
8	13,037	2614.0	− 2567	47	× 23 / 211	5.1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						29

2018 from sb_ca2018_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	13,038	2422.4	− 2432	−9.6	× 41 / 224	−1.8
4	13,039	2497.2	− 2473	24.2	× 47 / 224	5.1
5	13,042	2523.1	− 2502	21.1	× 46 / 224	4.3
6	13,043	2570.8	− 2531	39.8	× 37 / 224	6.6
7	13,046	2588.9	− 2552	36.9	× 26 / 224	4.3
8	13,047	2618.2	− 2567	51.2	× 27 / 224	6.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						25

2019 from sb_ca2019_1_csv_v4.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	13,156	2440.3	− 2432	8.3	× 47 / 223	1.7
4	13,157	2480.7	− 2473	7.7	× 42 / 223	1.5
5	13,158	2552.7	− 2502	50.7	× 44 / 223	10
6	13,159	2557.3	− 2531	26.3	× 39 / 223	4.6
7	13,160	2602.3	− 2552	50.3	× 28 / 223	6.3
8	13,161	2589.6	− 2567	22.6	× 23 / 223	2.3
Sum, rounded to a whole point						26

2021 from sb_ca2021_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	13,000	2438.0	− 2432	6	× 31 / 183	1
4	13,001	2468.8	− 2473	−4.2	× 33 / 183	−0.8
5	13,002	2543.4	− 2502	41.4	× 45 / 183	10.2
6	13,003	2510.1	− 2531	−20.9	× 31 / 183	−3.5
7	13,004	2603.2	− 2552	51.2	× 21 / 183	5.9
8	13,005	2561.8	− 2567	−5.2	× 22 / 183	−0.6
Sum, rounded to a whole point						12

2022 from sb_ca2022_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	13,189	2422.8	− 2432	−9.2	× 33 / 187	−1.6
4	13,190	2492.1	− 2473	19.1	× 36 / 187	3.7
5	13,191	2530.3	− 2502	28.3	× 36 / 187	5.4
6	13,192	2549.6	− 2531	18.6	× 39 / 187	3.9
7	13,193	2568.7	− 2552	16.7	× 19 / 187	1.7
8	13,194	2656.6	− 2567	89.6	× 24 / 187	11.5
Sum, rounded to a whole point						25

2023 from sb_ca2023_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	13,166	2429.7	− 2432	−2.3	× 46 / 195	−0.5
4	13,167	2466.5	− 2473	−6.5	× 33 / 195	−1.1
5	13,168	2511.7	− 2502	9.7	× 35 / 195	1.7
6	13,169	2539.7	− 2531	8.7	× 36 / 195	1.6
7	13,170	2569.3	− 2552	17.3	× 27 / 195	2.4
8	13,171	2555.5	− 2567	−11.5	× 18 / 195	−1.1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						3

2024 from sb_ca2024_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	13,131	2420.8	− 2432	−11.2	× 36 / 186	−2.2
4	13,132	2458.5	− 2473	−14.5	× 44 / 186	−3.4
5	13,133	2500.3	− 2502	−1.7	× 32 / 186	−0.3
6	13,134	2530.3	− 2531	−0.7	× 29 / 186	−0.1
7	13,135	2586.1	− 2552	34.1	× 27 / 186	5
8	13,136	2568.7	− 2567	1.7	× 18 / 186	0.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−1

2025 from sb_ca2025_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	13,101	2437.0	− 2432	5	× 33 / 193	0.9
4	13,102	2475.7	− 2473	2.7	× 37 / 193	0.5
5	13,103	2542.6	− 2502	40.6	× 43 / 193	9
6	13,104	2566.3	− 2531	35.3	× 30 / 193	5.5
7	13,105	2560.0	− 2552	8	× 25 / 193	1
8	13,106	2564.2	− 2567	−2.8	× 25 / 193	−0.4
Sum, rounded to a whole point						17

2026 from sb_ca2026_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	13,113	2434.1	− 2432	2.1	× 34 / 192	0.4
4	13,114	2488.3	− 2473	15.3	× 35 / 192	2.8
5	13,115	2526.9	− 2502	24.9	× 38 / 192	4.9
6	13,116	2538.9	− 2531	7.9	× 38 / 192	1.6
7	13,117	2608.9	− 2552	56.9	× 22 / 192	6.5
8	13,118	2570.6	− 2567	3.6	× 25 / 192	0.5
Sum, rounded to a whole point						17

Step 2 · The average and the normal range

Average: add the yearly results and divide by how many there are. 27, 35, 29, 25, 26, 12, 25, 3, −1, 17, 17 → 19.5
Typical year-to-year change: how far the result moved from each year to the next, ignoring up or down. 2015→2016: 8 · 2016→2017: 6 · 2017→2018: 4 · 2018→2019: 1 · 2019→2021: 14 · 2021→2022: 13 · 2022→2023: 22 · 2023→2024: 4 · 2024→2025: 18 · 2025→2026: 0 → average 9
Normal range: multiply the typical change by 2.66, then add it to the average and subtract it. 9 × 2.66 = 23.9. Upper limit 43.4, lower limit −4.4.

Why 2.66? It is the standard factor from quality control, the work of Walter Shewhart and W. Edwards Deming. It turns "how much the result typically changes in a year" into "how far it can wander by chance alone".

Years with no result (no state tests were given in spring 2020) are skipped: the year-to-year change runs from the last year with a result to the next one.

Step 3 · Free or reduced-price meals

The share of enrolled students eligible for free or reduced-price meals — for a district, the total across its schools. From 2014–15, 2015–16, 2016–17, 2017–18, 2018–19, 2020–21, 2021–22, 2022–23, 2023–24, 2024–25, 2025–26.

Freshwater Elementary