Woodland Prairie Elementary: math

The shaded band is this school's normal range. If nothing about how it works changes, nearly every future year should land inside it. Zero means the typical student just meets the state standard. The small numbers under the years are how many students were tested.

Step 1 · Each year's result

For each grade tested, take the average (mean) scale score from the California Department of Education's results file, and subtract the lowest score that counts as "Standard Met" for that grade. That is the grade's distance from standard. Weight each grade by its share of the students tested, then add the grades up. Grades where the state hides the average because ten or fewer students tested are left out entirely.

2015 from sb_ca2015_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	105,729	2345.5	− 2436	−90.5	× 92 / 356	−23.4
4	105,731	2449.9	− 2485	−35.1	× 84 / 356	−8.3
5	105,733	2439.9	− 2528	−88.1	× 92 / 356	−22.8
6	105,735	2495.7	− 2552	−56.3	× 88 / 356	−13.9
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−68

2016 from sb_ca2016_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	98,243	2356.1	− 2436	−79.9	× 90 / 365	−19.7
4	98,246	2439.9	− 2485	−45.1	× 95 / 365	−11.7
5	98,248	2445.9	− 2528	−82.1	× 85 / 365	−19.1
6	98,250	2484.2	− 2552	−67.8	× 95 / 365	−17.6
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−68

2017 from sb_ca2017_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	101,108	2376.8	− 2436	−59.2	× 88 / 368	−14.2
4	101,111	2436.6	− 2485	−48.4	× 94 / 368	−12.4
5	101,112	2473.4	− 2528	−54.6	× 95 / 368	−14.1
6	101,114	2474.3	− 2552	−77.7	× 91 / 368	−19.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−60

2018 from sb_ca2018_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	101,262	2387.8	− 2436	−48.2	× 113 / 391	−13.9
4	101,263	2436.3	− 2485	−48.7	× 91 / 391	−11.3
5	101,266	2490.9	− 2528	−37.1	× 91 / 391	−8.6
6	101,267	2473.9	− 2552	−78.1	× 96 / 391	−19.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−53

2019 from sb_ca2019_1_csv_v4.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	101,921	2396.5	− 2436	−39.5	× 98 / 388	−10
4	101,922	2422.8	− 2485	−62.2	× 112 / 388	−18
5	101,923	2473.0	− 2528	−55	× 89 / 388	−12.6
6	101,924	2495.2	− 2552	−56.8	× 89 / 388	−13
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−54

2022 from sb_ca2022_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	102,202	2369.5	− 2436	−66.5	× 106 / 424	−16.6
4	102,203	2407.2	− 2485	−77.8	× 108 / 424	−19.8
5	102,204	2427.6	− 2528	−100.4	× 107 / 424	−25.3
6	102,205	2452.0	− 2552	−100	× 103 / 424	−24.3
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−86

2023 from sb_ca2023_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	102,016	2356.3	− 2436	−79.7	× 106 / 431	−19.6
4	102,017	2436.5	− 2485	−48.5	× 112 / 431	−12.6
5	102,018	2443.5	− 2528	−84.5	× 109 / 431	−21.4
6	102,019	2421.5	− 2552	−130.5	× 104 / 431	−31.5
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−85

2024 from sb_ca2024_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	101,909	2389.1	− 2436	−46.9	× 98 / 414	−11.1
4	101,910	2418.6	− 2485	−66.4	× 103 / 414	−16.5
5	101,911	2450.7	− 2528	−77.3	× 104 / 414	−19.4
6	101,912	2433.6	− 2552	−118.4	× 109 / 414	−31.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−78

2025 from sb_ca2025_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	101,571	2347.6	− 2436	−88.4	× 98 / 413	−21
4	101,572	2437.4	− 2485	−47.6	× 98 / 413	−11.3
5	101,573	2407.2	− 2528	−120.8	× 106 / 413	−31
6	101,574	2464.3	− 2552	−87.7	× 111 / 413	−23.6
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−87

Step 2 · The average and the normal range

Average: add the yearly results and divide by how many there are. −68, −68, −60, −53, −54, −86, −85, −78, −87 → −71
Typical year-to-year change: how far the result moved from each year to the next, ignoring up or down. 2015→2016: 0 · 2016→2017: 8 · 2017→2018: 7 · 2018→2019: 1 · 2019→2022: 32 · 2022→2023: 1 · 2023→2024: 7 · 2024→2025: 9 → average 8.1
Normal range: multiply the typical change by 2.66, then add it to the average and subtract it. 8.1 × 2.66 = 21.5. Upper limit −49.5, lower limit −92.5.

Why 2.66? It is the standard factor from quality control, the work of Walter Shewhart and W. Edwards Deming. It turns "how much the result typically changes in a year" into "how far it can wander by chance alone".

Years with no result (no state tests were given in spring 2020) are skipped: the year-to-year change runs from the last year with a result to the next one.

Step 3 · Free or reduced-price meals

The share of enrolled students eligible for free or reduced-price meals. From 2014–15, 2015–16, 2016–17, 2017–18, 2018–19, 2020–21, 2021–22, 2022–23, 2023–24, 2024–25, 2025–26.