Garden Grove Elementary: math

The shaded band is this school's normal range. If nothing about how it works changes, nearly every future year should land inside it. Zero means the typical student just meets the state standard. The small numbers under the years are how many students were tested.

Step 1 · Each year's result

For each grade tested, take the average (mean) scale score from the California Department of Education's results file, and subtract the lowest score that counts as "Standard Met" for that grade. That is the grade's distance from standard. Weight each grade by its share of the students tested, then add the grades up. Grades where the state hides the average because ten or fewer students tested are left out entirely.

2015 from sb_ca2015_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	104,096	2427.2	− 2436	−8.8	× 71 / 235	−2.7
4	104,099	2473.2	− 2485	−11.8	× 53 / 235	−2.7
5	104,100	2502.4	− 2528	−25.6	× 52 / 235	−5.7
6	104,103	2529.4	− 2552	−22.6	× 59 / 235	−5.7
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−17

2016 from sb_ca2016_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	96,723	2429.3	− 2436	−6.7	× 51 / 226	−1.5
4	96,726	2462.5	− 2485	−22.5	× 71 / 226	−7.1
5	96,728	2494.2	− 2528	−33.8	× 56 / 226	−8.4
6	96,729	2503.4	− 2552	−48.6	× 48 / 226	−10.3
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−27

2017 from sb_ca2017_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	99,525	2428.7	− 2436	−7.3	× 52 / 217	−1.7
4	99,527	2469.8	− 2485	−15.2	× 55 / 217	−3.9
5	99,529	2505.9	− 2528	−22.1	× 70 / 217	−7.1
6	99,530	2526.8	− 2552	−25.2	× 40 / 217	−4.6
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−17

2018 from sb_ca2018_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	99,684	2435.0	− 2436	−1	× 46 / 175	−0.3
4	99,685	2464.1	− 2485	−20.9	× 46 / 175	−5.5
5	99,688	2486.0	− 2528	−42	× 55 / 175	−13.2
6	99,689	2529.7	− 2552	−22.3	× 28 / 175	−3.6
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−23

2019 from sb_ca2019_1_csv_v4.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	100,349	2439.8	− 2436	3.8	× 48 / 166	1.1
4	100,350	2482.3	− 2485	−2.7	× 51 / 166	−0.8
5	100,351	2503.3	− 2528	−24.7	× 46 / 166	−6.8
6	100,352	2537.5	− 2552	−14.5	× 21 / 166	−1.8
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−8

2021 from sb_ca2021_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	98,212	2392.9	− 2436	−43.1	× 46 / 154	−12.9
4	98,213	2455.2	− 2485	−29.8	× 39 / 154	−7.5
5	98,214	2491.5	− 2528	−36.5	× 50 / 154	−11.9
6	98,215	2479.7	− 2552	−72.3	× 19 / 154	−8.9
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−41

2022 from sb_ca2022_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	100,588	2415.3	− 2436	−20.7	× 39 / 146	−5.5
4	100,589	2446.7	− 2485	−38.3	× 45 / 146	−11.8
5	100,590	2495.5	− 2528	−32.5	× 38 / 146	−8.5
6	100,591	2493.9	− 2552	−58.1	× 24 / 146	−9.6
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−35

2023 from sb_ca2023_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	100,424	2407.7	− 2436	−28.3	× 52 / 176	−8.4
4	100,425	2459.3	− 2485	−25.7	× 47 / 176	−6.9
5	100,426	2487.5	− 2528	−40.5	× 46 / 176	−10.6
6	100,427	2482.9	− 2552	−69.1	× 31 / 176	−12.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−38

2024 from sb_ca2024_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	100,299	2401.2	− 2436	−34.8	× 31 / 139	−7.8
4	100,300	2485.0	− 2485	0	× 47 / 139	0
5	100,301	2492.1	− 2528	−35.9	× 41 / 139	−10.6
6	100,302	2511.2	− 2552	−40.8	× 20 / 139	−5.9
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−24

2025 from sb_ca2025_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	99,988	2416.6	− 2436	−19.4	× 31 / 114	−5.3
4	99,989	2441.0	− 2485	−44	× 32 / 114	−12.4
5	99,990	2516.9	− 2528	−11.1	× 51 / 114	−5
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−23

Step 2 · The average and the normal range

Average: add the yearly results and divide by how many there are. −17, −27, −17, −23, −8, −41, −35, −38, −24, −23 → −25.3
Typical year-to-year change: how far the result moved from each year to the next, ignoring up or down. 2015→2016: 10 · 2016→2017: 10 · 2017→2018: 6 · 2018→2019: 15 · 2019→2021: 33 · 2021→2022: 6 · 2022→2023: 3 · 2023→2024: 14 · 2024→2025: 1 → average 10.9
Normal range: multiply the typical change by 2.66, then add it to the average and subtract it. 10.9 × 2.66 = 29. Upper limit 3.7, lower limit −54.3.

Why 2.66? It is the standard factor from quality control, the work of Walter Shewhart and W. Edwards Deming. It turns "how much the result typically changes in a year" into "how far it can wander by chance alone".

Years with no result (no state tests were given in spring 2020) are skipped: the year-to-year change runs from the last year with a result to the next one.

Step 3 · Free or reduced-price meals

The share of enrolled students eligible for free or reduced-price meals. From 2014–15, 2015–16, 2016–17, 2017–18, 2018–19, 2020–21, 2021–22, 2022–23, 2023–24, 2024–25, 2025–26.