Fairmont Charter Elementary: math

The shaded band is this school's normal range. If nothing about how it works changes, nearly every future year should land inside it. Zero means the typical student just meets the state standard. The small numbers under the years are how many students were tested.

Step 1 · Each year's result

For each grade tested, take the average (mean) scale score from the California Department of Education's results file, and subtract the lowest score that counts as "Standard Met" for that grade. That is the grade's distance from standard. Weight each grade by its share of the students tested, then add the grades up. Grades where the state hides the average because ten or fewer students tested are left out entirely.

2015 from sb_ca2015_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	93,413	2388.2	− 2436	−47.8	× 78 / 308	−12.1
4	93,414	2415.8	− 2485	−69.2	× 80 / 308	−18
5	93,417	2450.0	− 2528	−78	× 68 / 308	−17.2
6	93,418	2461.8	− 2552	−90.2	× 82 / 308	−24
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−71

2016 from sb_ca2016_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	86,799	2403.4	− 2436	−32.6	× 70 / 276	−8.3
4	86,801	2403.9	− 2485	−81.1	× 68 / 276	−20
5	86,803	2435.3	− 2528	−92.7	× 77 / 276	−25.9
6	86,806	2517.8	− 2552	−34.2	× 61 / 276	−7.6
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−62

2017 from sb_ca2017_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	89,247	2394.3	− 2436	−41.7	× 72 / 276	−10.9
4	89,248	2437.5	− 2485	−47.5	× 62 / 276	−10.7
5	89,250	2477.6	− 2528	−50.4	× 72 / 276	−13.1
6	89,253	2512.7	− 2552	−39.3	× 70 / 276	−10
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−45

2018 from sb_ca2018_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	89,456	2417.1	− 2436	−18.9	× 70 / 279	−4.7
4	89,459	2441.2	− 2485	−43.8	× 66 / 279	−10.4
5	89,460	2469.8	− 2528	−58.2	× 69 / 279	−14.4
6	89,463	2521.8	− 2552	−30.2	× 74 / 279	−8
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−38

2019 from sb_ca2019_1_csv_v4.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	90,064	2412.9	− 2436	−23.1	× 82 / 293	−6.5
4	90,065	2430.3	− 2485	−54.7	× 74 / 293	−13.8
5	90,066	2458.0	− 2528	−70	× 63 / 293	−15.1
6	90,067	2514.0	− 2552	−38	× 74 / 293	−9.6
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−45

2022 from sb_ca2022_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	90,328	2372.6	− 2436	−63.4	× 76 / 329	−14.6
4	90,329	2417.3	− 2485	−67.7	× 82 / 329	−16.9
5	90,330	2449.5	− 2528	−78.5	× 87 / 329	−20.8
6	90,331	2459.3	− 2552	−92.7	× 84 / 329	−23.7
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−76

2023 from sb_ca2023_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	90,220	2367.4	− 2436	−68.6	× 77 / 317	−16.7
4	90,221	2420.8	− 2485	−64.2	× 77 / 317	−15.6
5	90,222	2433.9	− 2528	−94.1	× 78 / 317	−23.2
6	90,223	2488.3	− 2552	−63.7	× 85 / 317	−17.1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−72

2024 from sb_ca2024_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	90,169	2399.7	− 2436	−36.3	× 73 / 311	−8.5
4	90,170	2419.2	− 2485	−65.8	× 77 / 311	−16.3
5	90,171	2440.0	− 2528	−88	× 78 / 311	−22.1
6	90,172	2439.1	− 2552	−112.9	× 83 / 311	−30.1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−77

2025 from sb_ca2025_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	89,853	2369.8	− 2436	−66.2	× 75 / 293	−16.9
4	89,854	2443.1	− 2485	−41.9	× 73 / 293	−10.4
5	89,855	2420.4	− 2528	−107.6	× 73 / 293	−26.8
6	89,856	2454.0	− 2552	−98	× 72 / 293	−24.1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−78

Step 2 · The average and the normal range

Average: add the yearly results and divide by how many there are. −71, −62, −45, −38, −45, −76, −72, −77, −78 → −62.7
Typical year-to-year change: how far the result moved from each year to the next, ignoring up or down. 2015→2016: 9 · 2016→2017: 17 · 2017→2018: 7 · 2018→2019: 7 · 2019→2022: 31 · 2022→2023: 4 · 2023→2024: 5 · 2024→2025: 1 → average 10.1
Normal range: multiply the typical change by 2.66, then add it to the average and subtract it. 10.1 × 2.66 = 26.9. Upper limit −35.8, lower limit −89.6.

Why 2.66? It is the standard factor from quality control, the work of Walter Shewhart and W. Edwards Deming. It turns "how much the result typically changes in a year" into "how far it can wander by chance alone".

Years with no result (no state tests were given in spring 2020) are skipped: the year-to-year change runs from the last year with a result to the next one.

Step 3 · Free or reduced-price meals

The share of enrolled students eligible for free or reduced-price meals. From 2014–15, 2015–16, 2016–17, 2017–18, 2018–19, 2020–21, 2021–22, 2022–23, 2023–24, 2024–25, 2025–26.