Grange Middle: math

The shaded band is this school's normal range. If nothing about how it works changes, nearly every future year should land inside it. Zero means the typical student just meets the state standard. The small numbers under the years are how many students were tested.

Step 1 · Each year's result

For each grade tested, take the average (mean) scale score from the California Department of Education's results file, and subtract the lowest score that counts as "Standard Met" for that grade. That is the grade's distance from standard. Weight each grade by its share of the students tested, then add the grades up. Grades where the state hides the average because ten or fewer students tested are left out entirely.

2015 from sb_ca2015_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
6	93,136	2451.2	− 2552	−100.8	× 307 / 1082	−28.6
7	93,137	2470.2	− 2567	−96.8	× 396 / 1082	−35.4
8	93,140	2497.1	− 2586	−88.9	× 379 / 1082	−31.1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−95

2016 from sb_ca2016_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
6	86,552	2445.3	− 2552	−106.7	× 280 / 1086	−27.5
7	86,553	2488.3	− 2567	−78.7	× 434 / 1086	−31.5
8	86,556	2494.8	− 2586	−91.2	× 372 / 1086	−31.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−90

2017 from sb_ca2017_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
6	88,946	2447.5	− 2552	−104.5	× 268 / 1015	−27.6
7	88,948	2477.8	− 2567	−89.2	× 339 / 1015	−29.8
8	88,951	2500.7	− 2586	−85.3	× 408 / 1015	−34.3
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−92

2018 from sb_ca2018_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
6	89,164	2436.9	− 2552	−115.1	× 265 / 913	−33.4
7	89,167	2467.2	− 2567	−99.8	× 312 / 913	−34.1
8	89,168	2500.5	− 2586	−85.5	× 336 / 913	−31.5
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−99

2019 from sb_ca2019_1_csv_v4.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
6	89,771	2450.4	− 2552	−101.6	× 260 / 889	−29.7
7	89,772	2468.7	− 2567	−98.3	× 326 / 889	−36
8	89,773	2481.4	− 2586	−104.6	× 303 / 889	−35.7
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−101

2022 from sb_ca2022_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
6	90,037	2441.8	− 2552	−110.2	× 199 / 624	−35.1
7	90,038	2476.3	− 2567	−90.7	× 180 / 624	−26.2
8	90,039	2500.1	− 2586	−85.9	× 245 / 624	−33.7
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−95

2023 from sb_ca2023_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
6	89,931	2411.8	− 2552	−140.2	× 275 / 765	−50.4
7	89,932	2455.5	− 2567	−111.5	× 256 / 765	−37.3
8	89,933	2469.4	− 2586	−116.6	× 234 / 765	−35.7
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−123

2024 from sb_ca2024_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
6	89,890	2423.2	− 2552	−128.8	× 225 / 738	−39.3
7	89,891	2446.7	− 2567	−120.3	× 254 / 738	−41.4
8	89,892	2474.3	− 2586	−111.7	× 259 / 738	−39.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−120

2025 from sb_ca2025_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
6	89,586	2406.4	− 2552	−145.6	× 307 / 938	−47.7
7	89,587	2452.3	− 2567	−114.7	× 301 / 938	−36.8
8	89,588	2455.4	− 2586	−130.6	× 330 / 938	−45.9
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−130

Step 2 · The average and the normal range

Average: add the yearly results and divide by how many there are. −95, −90, −92, −99, −101, −95, −123, −120, −130 → −105
Typical year-to-year change: how far the result moved from each year to the next, ignoring up or down. 2015→2016: 5 · 2016→2017: 2 · 2017→2018: 7 · 2018→2019: 2 · 2019→2022: 6 · 2022→2023: 28 · 2023→2024: 3 · 2024→2025: 10 → average 7.9
Normal range: multiply the typical change by 2.66, then add it to the average and subtract it. 7.9 × 2.66 = 21. Upper limit −84, lower limit −126.

Why 2.66? It is the standard factor from quality control, the work of Walter Shewhart and W. Edwards Deming. It turns "how much the result typically changes in a year" into "how far it can wander by chance alone".

Years with no result (no state tests were given in spring 2020) are skipped: the year-to-year change runs from the last year with a result to the next one.

Step 3 · Free or reduced-price meals

The share of enrolled students eligible for free or reduced-price meals. From 2014–15, 2015–16, 2016–17, 2017–18, 2018–19, 2020–21, 2021–22, 2022–23, 2023–24, 2024–25, 2025–26.