Mar Vista Elementary: math

The shaded band is this school's normal range. If nothing about how it works changes, nearly every future year should land inside it. Zero means the typical student just meets the state standard. The small numbers under the years are how many students were tested.

Step 1 · Each year's result

For each grade tested, take the average (mean) scale score from the California Department of Education's results file, and subtract the lowest score that counts as "Standard Met" for that grade. That is the grade's distance from standard. Weight each grade by its share of the students tested, then add the grades up. Grades where the state hides the average because ten or fewer students tested are left out entirely.

2015 from sb_ca2015_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	90,178	2424.2	− 2436	−11.8	× 57 / 245	−2.7
4	90,179	2473.6	− 2485	−11.4	× 68 / 245	−3.2
5	90,182	2538.3	− 2528	10.3	× 56 / 245	2.4
6	90,183	2549.4	− 2552	−2.6	× 64 / 245	−0.7
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−4

2016 from sb_ca2016_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	83,655	2449.1	− 2436	13.1	× 69 / 247	3.7
4	83,658	2445.2	− 2485	−39.8	× 57 / 247	−9.2
5	83,660	2514.4	− 2528	−13.6	× 70 / 247	−3.9
6	83,662	2578.7	− 2552	26.7	× 51 / 247	5.5
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−4

2017 from sb_ca2017_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	85,972	2422.6	− 2436	−13.4	× 68 / 264	−3.5
4	85,973	2502.4	− 2485	17.4	× 68 / 264	4.5
5	85,976	2477.0	− 2528	−51	× 55 / 264	−10.6
6	85,978	2535.1	− 2552	−16.9	× 73 / 264	−4.7
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−14

2018 from sb_ca2018_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	86,203	2446.7	− 2436	10.7	× 55 / 234	2.5
4	86,204	2442.5	− 2485	−42.5	× 67 / 234	−12.2
5	86,207	2518.8	− 2528	−9.2	× 61 / 234	−2.4
6	86,208	2495.7	− 2552	−56.3	× 51 / 234	−12.3
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−24

2019 from sb_ca2019_1_csv_v4.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	86,800	2395.8	− 2436	−40.2	× 57 / 229	−10
4	86,801	2498.3	− 2485	13.3	× 49 / 229	2.8
5	86,802	2461.8	− 2528	−66.2	× 62 / 229	−17.9
6	86,803	2555.8	− 2552	3.8	× 61 / 229	1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−24

2022 from sb_ca2022_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	87,069	2420.8	− 2436	−15.2	× 46 / 214	−3.3
4	87,070	2416.4	− 2485	−68.6	× 60 / 214	−19.2
5	87,071	2502.5	− 2528	−25.5	× 61 / 214	−7.3
6	87,072	2476.8	− 2552	−75.2	× 47 / 214	−16.5
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−46

2023 from sb_ca2023_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	86,993	2398.8	− 2436	−37.2	× 43 / 187	−8.6
4	86,994	2465.0	− 2485	−20	× 43 / 187	−4.6
5	86,995	2435.8	− 2528	−92.2	× 53 / 187	−26.1
6	86,996	2530.8	− 2552	−21.2	× 48 / 187	−5.4
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−45

2024 from sb_ca2024_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	86,965	2403.0	− 2436	−33	× 40 / 166	−8
4	86,966	2425.7	− 2485	−59.3	× 38 / 166	−13.6
5	86,967	2462.7	− 2528	−65.3	× 43 / 166	−16.9
6	86,968	2486.9	− 2552	−65.1	× 45 / 166	−17.6
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−56

2025 from sb_ca2025_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	86,647	2411.1	− 2436	−24.9	× 39 / 147	−6.6
4	86,648	2438.6	− 2485	−46.4	× 36 / 147	−11.4
5	86,649	2455.1	− 2528	−72.9	× 34 / 147	−16.9
6	86,650	2487.5	− 2552	−64.5	× 38 / 147	−16.7
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−52

Step 2 · The average and the normal range

Average: add the yearly results and divide by how many there are. −4, −4, −14, −24, −24, −46, −45, −56, −52 → −29.9
Typical year-to-year change: how far the result moved from each year to the next, ignoring up or down. 2015→2016: 0 · 2016→2017: 10 · 2017→2018: 10 · 2018→2019: 0 · 2019→2022: 22 · 2022→2023: 1 · 2023→2024: 11 · 2024→2025: 4 → average 7.3
Normal range: multiply the typical change by 2.66, then add it to the average and subtract it. 7.3 × 2.66 = 19.4. Upper limit −10.5, lower limit −49.3.

Why 2.66? It is the standard factor from quality control, the work of Walter Shewhart and W. Edwards Deming. It turns "how much the result typically changes in a year" into "how far it can wander by chance alone".

Years with no result (no state tests were given in spring 2020) are skipped: the year-to-year change runs from the last year with a result to the next one.

Step 3 · Free or reduced-price meals

The share of enrolled students eligible for free or reduced-price meals. From 2014–15, 2015–16, 2016–17, 2017–18, 2018–19, 2020–21, 2021–22, 2022–23, 2023–24, 2024–25, 2025–26.