Loma Elementary: math

The shaded band is this school's normal range. If nothing about how it works changes, nearly every future year should land inside it. Zero means the typical student just meets the state standard. The small numbers under the years are how many students were tested.

Step 1 · Each year's result

For each grade tested, take the average (mean) scale score from the California Department of Education's results file, and subtract the lowest score that counts as "Standard Met" for that grade. That is the grade's distance from standard. Weight each grade by its share of the students tested, then add the grades up. Grades where the state hides the average because ten or fewer students tested are left out entirely.

2015 from sb_ca2015_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	72,368	2358.8	− 2436	−77.2	× 73 / 275	−20.5
4	72,370	2431.2	− 2485	−53.8	× 82 / 275	−16
5	72,372	2461.8	− 2528	−66.2	× 63 / 275	−15.2
6	72,374	2439.7	− 2552	−112.3	× 57 / 275	−23.3
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−75

2016 from sb_ca2016_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	67,165	2394.6	− 2436	−41.4	× 65 / 253	−10.6
4	67,166	2407.0	− 2485	−78	× 62 / 253	−19.1
5	67,169	2455.0	− 2528	−73	× 66 / 253	−19
6	67,171	2470.7	− 2552	−81.3	× 60 / 253	−19.3
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−68

2017 from sb_ca2017_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	68,980	2373.4	− 2436	−62.6	× 53 / 221	−15
4	68,981	2441.3	− 2485	−43.7	× 57 / 221	−11.3
5	68,983	2429.1	− 2528	−98.9	× 56 / 221	−25.1
6	68,985	2461.4	− 2552	−90.6	× 55 / 221	−22.5
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−74

2018 from sb_ca2018_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	69,150	2412.2	− 2436	−23.8	× 47 / 187	−6
4	69,153	2415.2	− 2485	−69.8	× 41 / 187	−15.3
5	69,154	2471.2	− 2528	−56.8	× 51 / 187	−15.5
6	69,157	2507.8	− 2552	−44.2	× 48 / 187	−11.3
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−48

2019 from sb_ca2019_1_csv_v4.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	69,689	2390.0	− 2436	−46	× 39 / 188	−9.5
4	69,690	2445.2	− 2485	−39.8	× 49 / 188	−10.4
5	69,691	2437.6	− 2528	−90.4	× 41 / 188	−19.7
6	69,692	2497.8	− 2552	−54.2	× 59 / 188	−17
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−57

2022 from sb_ca2022_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	69,789	2379.3	− 2436	−56.7	× 42 / 157	−15.2
4	69,790	2418.8	− 2485	−66.2	× 52 / 157	−21.9
5	69,791	2479.9	− 2528	−48.1	× 30 / 157	−9.2
6	69,792	2504.8	− 2552	−47.2	× 33 / 157	−9.9
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−56

2023 from sb_ca2023_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	69,807	2407.3	− 2436	−28.7	× 40 / 155	−7.4
4	69,808	2414.5	− 2485	−70.5	× 41 / 155	−18.6
5	69,809	2463.5	− 2528	−64.5	× 47 / 155	−19.6
6	69,810	2518.2	− 2552	−33.8	× 27 / 155	−5.9
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−52

2024 from sb_ca2024_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	69,791	2372.0	− 2436	−64	× 42 / 179	−15
4	69,792	2430.3	− 2485	−54.7	× 48 / 179	−14.7
5	69,793	2453.6	− 2528	−74.4	× 42 / 179	−17.5
6	69,794	2460.3	− 2552	−91.7	× 47 / 179	−24.1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−71

2025 from sb_ca2025_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	69,510	2379.9	− 2436	−56.1	× 48 / 148	−18.2
4	69,511	2432.4	− 2485	−52.6	× 48 / 148	−17.1
5	69,512	2486.1	− 2528	−41.9	× 52 / 148	−14.7
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−50

Step 2 · The average and the normal range

Average: add the yearly results and divide by how many there are. −75, −68, −74, −48, −57, −56, −52, −71, −50 → −61.2
Typical year-to-year change: how far the result moved from each year to the next, ignoring up or down. 2015→2016: 7 · 2016→2017: 6 · 2017→2018: 26 · 2018→2019: 9 · 2019→2022: 1 · 2022→2023: 4 · 2023→2024: 19 · 2024→2025: 21 → average 11.6
Normal range: multiply the typical change by 2.66, then add it to the average and subtract it. 11.6 × 2.66 = 30.9. Upper limit −30.3, lower limit −92.1.

Why 2.66? It is the standard factor from quality control, the work of Walter Shewhart and W. Edwards Deming. It turns "how much the result typically changes in a year" into "how far it can wander by chance alone".

Years with no result (no state tests were given in spring 2020) are skipped: the year-to-year change runs from the last year with a result to the next one.

Step 3 · Free or reduced-price meals

The share of enrolled students eligible for free or reduced-price meals. From 2014–15, 2015–16, 2016–17, 2017–18, 2018–19, 2020–21, 2021–22, 2022–23, 2023–24, 2024–25, 2025–26.