Loma Verde Elementary: math

The shaded band is this school's normal range. If nothing about how it works changes, nearly every future year should land inside it. Zero means the typical student just meets the state standard. The small numbers under the years are how many students were tested.

Step 1 · Each year's result

For each grade tested, take the average (mean) scale score from the California Department of Education's results file, and subtract the lowest score that counts as "Standard Met" for that grade. That is the grade's distance from standard. Weight each grade by its share of the students tested, then add the grades up. Grades where the state hides the average because ten or fewer students tested are left out entirely.

2015 from sb_ca2015_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	70,687	2409.3	− 2436	−26.7	× 70 / 295	−6.3
4	70,688	2436.6	− 2485	−48.4	× 72 / 295	−11.8
5	70,691	2463.8	− 2528	−64.2	× 63 / 295	−13.7
6	70,692	2485.4	− 2552	−66.6	× 90 / 295	−20.3
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−52

2016 from sb_ca2016_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	65,516	2453.9	− 2436	17.9	× 70 / 253	5
4	65,518	2460.1	− 2485	−24.9	× 66 / 253	−6.5
5	65,520	2485.3	− 2528	−42.7	× 53 / 253	−8.9
6	65,522	2488.6	− 2552	−63.4	× 64 / 253	−16
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−27

2017 from sb_ca2017_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	67,331	2440.6	− 2436	4.6	× 64 / 254	1.2
4	67,334	2497.1	− 2485	12.1	× 66 / 254	3.1
5	67,335	2515.4	− 2528	−12.6	× 69 / 254	−3.4
6	67,338	2501.6	− 2552	−50.4	× 55 / 254	−10.9
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−10

2018 from sb_ca2018_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	67,437	2410.7	− 2436	−25.3	× 58 / 250	−5.9
4	67,440	2500.4	− 2485	15.4	× 62 / 250	3.8
5	67,441	2513.6	− 2528	−14.4	× 60 / 250	−3.5
6	67,444	2521.6	− 2552	−30.4	× 70 / 250	−8.5
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−14

2019 from sb_ca2019_1_csv_v4.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	67,953	2422.9	− 2436	−13.1	× 74 / 255	−3.8
4	67,954	2491.6	− 2485	6.6	× 61 / 255	1.6
5	67,955	2511.8	− 2528	−16.2	× 59 / 255	−3.7
6	67,956	2498.0	− 2552	−54	× 61 / 255	−12.9
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−19

2022 from sb_ca2022_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	68,081	2394.5	− 2436	−41.5	× 78 / 279	−11.6
4	68,082	2411.4	− 2485	−73.6	× 74 / 279	−19.5
5	68,083	2423.8	− 2528	−104.2	× 58 / 279	−21.7
6	68,084	2472.4	− 2552	−79.6	× 69 / 279	−19.7
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−72

2023 from sb_ca2023_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	68,099	2389.4	− 2436	−46.6	× 64 / 275	−10.8
4	68,100	2432.3	− 2485	−52.7	× 78 / 275	−14.9
5	68,101	2422.1	− 2528	−105.9	× 77 / 275	−29.7
6	68,102	2471.8	− 2552	−80.2	× 56 / 275	−16.3
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−72

2024 from sb_ca2024_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	68,093	2411.1	− 2436	−24.9	× 60 / 281	−5.3
4	68,094	2432.1	− 2485	−52.9	× 69 / 281	−13
5	68,095	2443.6	− 2528	−84.4	× 75 / 281	−22.5
6	68,096	2474.4	− 2552	−77.6	× 77 / 281	−21.3
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−62

2025 from sb_ca2025_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	67,861	2394.1	− 2436	−41.9	× 57 / 248	−9.6
4	67,862	2431.7	− 2485	−53.3	× 56 / 248	−12
5	67,863	2477.4	− 2528	−50.6	× 64 / 248	−13.1
6	67,864	2489.5	− 2552	−62.5	× 71 / 248	−17.9
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−53

Step 2 · The average and the normal range

Average: add the yearly results and divide by how many there are. −52, −27, −10, −14, −19, −72, −72, −62, −53 → −42.3
Typical year-to-year change: how far the result moved from each year to the next, ignoring up or down. 2015→2016: 25 · 2016→2017: 17 · 2017→2018: 4 · 2018→2019: 5 · 2019→2022: 53 · 2022→2023: 0 · 2023→2024: 10 · 2024→2025: 9 → average 15.4
Normal range: multiply the typical change by 2.66, then add it to the average and subtract it. 15.4 × 2.66 = 41. Upper limit −1.3, lower limit −83.3.

Why 2.66? It is the standard factor from quality control, the work of Walter Shewhart and W. Edwards Deming. It turns "how much the result typically changes in a year" into "how far it can wander by chance alone".

Years with no result (no state tests were given in spring 2020) are skipped: the year-to-year change runs from the last year with a result to the next one.

Step 3 · Free or reduced-price meals

The share of enrolled students eligible for free or reduced-price meals. From 2014–15, 2015–16, 2016–17, 2017–18, 2018–19, 2020–21, 2021–22, 2022–23, 2023–24, 2024–25, 2025–26.