Mary P. Henck Intermediate: math

The shaded band is this school's normal range. If nothing about how it works changes, nearly every future year should land inside it. Zero means the typical student just meets the state standard. The small numbers under the years are how many students were tested.

Step 1 · Each year's result

For each grade tested, take the average (mean) scale score from the California Department of Education's results file, and subtract the lowest score that counts as "Standard Met" for that grade. That is the grade's distance from standard. Weight each grade by its share of the students tested, then add the grades up. Grades where the state hides the average because ten or fewer students tested are left out entirely.

2015 from sb_ca2015_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
6	67,553	2478.8	− 2552	−73.2	× 256 / 773	−24.2
7	67,555	2480.3	− 2567	−86.7	× 277 / 773	−31.1
8	67,556	2528.8	− 2586	−57.2	× 240 / 773	−17.8
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−73

2016 from sb_ca2016_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
6	62,612	2448.9	− 2552	−103.1	× 226 / 723	−32.2
7	62,614	2497.8	− 2567	−69.2	× 234 / 723	−22.4
8	62,616	2497.9	− 2586	−88.1	× 263 / 723	−32
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−87

2017 from sb_ca2017_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
6	64,406	2466.2	− 2552	−85.8	× 255 / 717	−30.5
7	64,408	2482.5	− 2567	−84.5	× 237 / 717	−27.9
8	64,409	2523.7	− 2586	−62.3	× 225 / 717	−19.6
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−78

2018 from sb_ca2018_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
6	64,512	2483.7	− 2552	−68.3	× 237 / 712	−22.7
7	64,515	2478.6	− 2567	−88.4	× 248 / 712	−30.8
8	64,516	2447.0	− 2586	−139	× 227 / 712	−44.3
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−98

2019 from sb_ca2019_1_csv_v4.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
6	64,880	2471.4	− 2552	−80.6	× 254 / 704	−29.1
7	64,881	2495.4	− 2567	−71.6	× 208 / 704	−21.2
8	64,882	2508.9	− 2586	−77.1	× 242 / 704	−26.5
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−77

2021 from sb_ca2021_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
6	63,493	2442.5	− 2552	−109.5	× 162 / 500	−35.5
7	63,494	2471.4	− 2567	−95.6	× 154 / 500	−29.4
8	63,495	2485.4	− 2586	−100.6	× 184 / 500	−37
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−102

2022 from sb_ca2022_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
6	64,965	2438.0	− 2552	−114	× 176 / 543	−37
7	64,966	2462.2	− 2567	−104.8	× 179 / 543	−34.5
8	64,967	2503.0	− 2586	−83	× 188 / 543	−28.7
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−100

2023 from sb_ca2023_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
6	64,960	2443.2	− 2552	−108.8	× 190 / 536	−38.6
7	64,961	2438.6	− 2567	−128.4	× 162 / 536	−38.8
8	64,962	2462.4	− 2586	−123.6	× 184 / 536	−42.4
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−120

2024 from sb_ca2024_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
6	64,926	2466.0	− 2552	−86	× 201 / 523	−33.1
7	64,927	2445.8	− 2567	−121.2	× 177 / 523	−41
8	64,928	2458.9	− 2586	−127.1	× 145 / 523	−35.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−109

2025 from sb_ca2025_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
6	64,684	2443.3	− 2552	−108.7	× 183 / 562	−35.4
7	64,685	2467.3	− 2567	−99.7	× 208 / 562	−36.9
8	64,686	2462.8	− 2586	−123.2	× 171 / 562	−37.5
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−110

Step 2 · The average and the normal range

Average: add the yearly results and divide by how many there are. −73, −87, −78, −98, −77, −102, −100, −120, −109, −110 → −95.4
Typical year-to-year change: how far the result moved from each year to the next, ignoring up or down. 2015→2016: 14 · 2016→2017: 9 · 2017→2018: 20 · 2018→2019: 21 · 2019→2021: 25 · 2021→2022: 2 · 2022→2023: 20 · 2023→2024: 11 · 2024→2025: 1 → average 13.7
Normal range: multiply the typical change by 2.66, then add it to the average and subtract it. 13.7 × 2.66 = 36.4. Upper limit −59, lower limit −131.8.

Why 2.66? It is the standard factor from quality control, the work of Walter Shewhart and W. Edwards Deming. It turns "how much the result typically changes in a year" into "how far it can wander by chance alone".

Years with no result (no state tests were given in spring 2020) are skipped: the year-to-year change runs from the last year with a result to the next one.

Step 3 · Free or reduced-price meals

The share of enrolled students eligible for free or reduced-price meals. From 2014–15, 2015–16, 2016–17, 2017–18, 2018–19, 2020–21, 2021–22, 2022–23, 2023–24, 2024–25, 2025–26.