St. Hope Public School 7: math

The shaded band is this school's normal range. If nothing about how it works changes, nearly every future year should land inside it. Zero means the typical student just meets the state standard. The small numbers under the years are how many students were tested.

Step 1 · Each year's result

For each grade tested, take the average (mean) scale score from the California Department of Education's results file, and subtract the lowest score that counts as "Standard Met" for that grade. That is the grade's distance from standard. Weight each grade by its share of the students tested, then add the grades up. Grades where the state hides the average because ten or fewer students tested are left out entirely.

2015 from sb_ca2015_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	61,246	2369.3	− 2436	−66.7	× 52 / 405	−8.6
4	61,248	2461.4	− 2485	−23.6	× 43 / 405	−2.5
5	61,250	2446.9	− 2528	−81.1	× 49 / 405	−9.8
6	61,252	2492.4	− 2552	−59.6	× 91 / 405	−13.4
7	61,254	2518.6	− 2567	−48.4	× 93 / 405	−11.1
8	61,256	2561.4	− 2586	−24.6	× 77 / 405	−4.7
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−50

2016 from sb_ca2016_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	56,825	2390.6	− 2436	−45.4	× 45 / 381	−5.4
4	56,828	2437.6	− 2485	−47.4	× 54 / 381	−6.7
5	56,829	2453.9	− 2528	−74.1	× 45 / 381	−8.8
6	56,832	2508.5	− 2552	−43.5	× 95 / 381	−10.8
7	56,833	2520.0	− 2567	−47	× 72 / 381	−8.9
8	56,835	2585.0	− 2586	−1	× 70 / 381	−0.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−41

2017 from sb_ca2017_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	58,485	2388.5	− 2436	−47.5	× 43 / 357	−5.7
4	58,486	2419.6	− 2485	−65.4	× 41 / 357	−7.5
5	58,489	2469.6	− 2528	−58.4	× 45 / 357	−7.4
6	58,491	2489.3	− 2552	−62.7	× 96 / 357	−16.9
7	58,492	2545.3	− 2567	−21.7	× 74 / 357	−4.5
8	58,495	2557.2	− 2586	−28.8	× 58 / 357	−4.7
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−47

2018 from sb_ca2018_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	58,600	2476.2	− 2436	40.2	× 32 / 343	3.8
4	58,601	2463.5	− 2485	−21.5	× 45 / 343	−2.8
5	58,604	2448.6	− 2528	−79.4	× 47 / 343	−10.9
6	58,605	2493.7	− 2552	−58.3	× 94 / 343	−16
7	58,608	2528.1	− 2567	−38.9	× 70 / 343	−7.9
8	58,609	2578.9	− 2586	−7.1	× 55 / 343	−1.1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−35

2019 from sb_ca2019_1_csv_v4.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	58,849	2491.8	− 2436	55.8	× 36 / 347	5.8
4	58,850	2503.3	− 2485	18.3	× 30 / 347	1.6
5	58,851	2493.7	− 2528	−34.3	× 46 / 347	−4.5
6	58,852	2492.2	− 2552	−59.8	× 75 / 347	−12.9
7	58,853	2488.0	− 2567	−79	× 104 / 347	−23.7
8	58,854	2566.1	− 2586	−19.9	× 56 / 347	−3.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−37

2021 from sb_ca2021_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	57,504	2406.2	− 2436	−29.8	× 50 / 359	−4.2
4	57,505	2469.0	− 2485	−16	× 54 / 359	−2.4
5	57,506	2515.9	− 2528	−12.1	× 46 / 359	−1.6
6	57,507	2464.8	− 2552	−87.2	× 58 / 359	−14.1
7	57,508	2483.6	− 2567	−83.4	× 75 / 359	−17.4
8	57,509	2479.8	− 2586	−106.2	× 76 / 359	−22.5
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−62

2022 from sb_ca2022_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	58,924	2433.4	− 2436	−2.6	× 46 / 371	−0.3
4	58,925	2462.8	− 2485	−22.2	× 51 / 371	−3.1
5	58,926	2477.1	− 2528	−50.9	× 53 / 371	−7.3
6	58,927	2451.8	− 2552	−100.2	× 52 / 371	−14
7	58,928	2461.3	− 2567	−105.7	× 80 / 371	−22.8
8	58,929	2491.4	− 2586	−94.6	× 89 / 371	−22.7
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−70

2023 from sb_ca2023_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	58,880	2361.3	− 2436	−74.7	× 54 / 361	−11.2
4	58,881	2391.7	− 2485	−93.3	× 51 / 361	−13.2
5	58,882	2452.2	− 2528	−75.8	× 51 / 361	−10.7
6	58,883	2455.3	− 2552	−96.7	× 54 / 361	−14.5
7	58,884	2444.5	− 2567	−122.5	× 77 / 361	−26.1
8	58,885	2438.5	− 2586	−147.5	× 74 / 361	−30.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−106

2024 from sb_ca2024_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	58,807	2348.5	− 2436	−87.5	× 46 / 320	−12.6
4	58,808	2395.2	− 2485	−89.8	× 47 / 320	−13.2
5	58,809	2389.0	− 2528	−139	× 50 / 320	−21.7
6	58,810	2412.5	− 2552	−139.5	× 49 / 320	−21.4
7	58,811	2443.2	− 2567	−123.8	× 63 / 320	−24.4
8	58,812	2448.1	− 2586	−137.9	× 65 / 320	−28
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−121

2025 from sb_ca2025_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	58,562	2379.2	− 2436	−56.8	× 51 / 296	−9.8
4	58,563	2394.8	− 2485	−90.2	× 42 / 296	−12.8
5	58,564	2424.0	− 2528	−104	× 43 / 296	−15.1
6	58,565	2410.7	− 2552	−141.3	× 53 / 296	−25.3
7	58,566	2438.9	− 2567	−128.1	× 50 / 296	−21.6
8	58,567	2448.4	− 2586	−137.6	× 57 / 296	−26.5
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−111

Step 2 · The average and the normal range

Average: add the yearly results and divide by how many there are. −50, −41, −47, −35, −37, −62, −70, −106, −121, −111 → −68
Typical year-to-year change: how far the result moved from each year to the next, ignoring up or down. 2015→2016: 9 · 2016→2017: 6 · 2017→2018: 12 · 2018→2019: 2 · 2019→2021: 25 · 2021→2022: 8 · 2022→2023: 36 · 2023→2024: 15 · 2024→2025: 10 → average 13.7
Normal range: multiply the typical change by 2.66, then add it to the average and subtract it. 13.7 × 2.66 = 36.4. Upper limit −31.6, lower limit −104.4.

Why 2.66? It is the standard factor from quality control, the work of Walter Shewhart and W. Edwards Deming. It turns "how much the result typically changes in a year" into "how far it can wander by chance alone".

Years with no result (no state tests were given in spring 2020) are skipped: the year-to-year change runs from the last year with a result to the next one.

Step 3 · Free or reduced-price meals

The share of enrolled students eligible for free or reduced-price meals. From 2014–15, 2015–16, 2016–17, 2017–18, 2018–19, 2020–21, 2021–22, 2022–23, 2023–24, 2024–25, 2025–26.