Monte Vista Middle: math

The shaded band is this school's normal range. If nothing about how it works changes, nearly every future year should land inside it. Zero means the typical student just meets the state standard. The small numbers under the years are how many students were tested.

Step 1 · Each year's result

For each grade tested, take the average (mean) scale score from the California Department of Education's results file, and subtract the lowest score that counts as "Standard Met" for that grade. That is the grade's distance from standard. Weight each grade by its share of the students tested, then add the grades up. Grades where the state hides the average because ten or fewer students tested are left out entirely.

2015 from sb_ca2015_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
6	58,600	2459.9	− 2552	−92.1	× 285 / 902	−29.1
7	58,603	2446.5	− 2567	−120.5	× 294 / 902	−39.3
8	58,604	2430.7	− 2586	−155.3	× 323 / 902	−55.6
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−124

2016 from sb_ca2016_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
6	54,388	2444.4	− 2552	−107.6	× 296 / 877	−36.3
7	54,390	2469.5	− 2567	−97.5	× 288 / 877	−32
8	54,391	2469.0	− 2586	−117	× 293 / 877	−39.1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−107

2017 from sb_ca2017_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
6	55,982	2452.6	− 2552	−99.4	× 281 / 890	−31.4
7	55,985	2438.6	− 2567	−128.4	× 308 / 890	−44.4
8	55,986	2468.8	− 2586	−117.2	× 301 / 890	−39.6
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−115

2018 from sb_ca2018_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
6	56,081	2438.9	− 2552	−113.1	× 293 / 908	−36.5
7	56,084	2451.3	− 2567	−115.7	× 297 / 908	−37.8
8	56,085	2462.0	− 2586	−124	× 318 / 908	−43.4
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−118

2019 from sb_ca2019_1_csv_v4.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
6	56,340	2453.4	− 2552	−98.6	× 273 / 880	−30.6
7	56,341	2468.5	− 2567	−98.5	× 302 / 880	−33.8
8	56,342	2487.3	− 2586	−98.7	× 305 / 880	−34.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−99

2022 from sb_ca2022_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
6	56,418	2435.1	− 2552	−116.9	× 283 / 826	−40.1
7	56,419	2435.0	− 2567	−132	× 262 / 826	−41.9
8	56,420	2457.5	− 2586	−128.5	× 281 / 826	−43.7
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−126

2023 from sb_ca2023_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
6	56,379	2426.6	− 2552	−125.4	× 305 / 896	−42.7
7	56,380	2453.0	− 2567	−114	× 297 / 896	−37.8
8	56,381	2450.5	− 2586	−135.5	× 294 / 896	−44.5
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−125

2024 from sb_ca2024_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
6	56,263	2418.7	− 2552	−133.3	× 286 / 868	−43.9
7	56,264	2436.8	− 2567	−130.2	× 295 / 868	−44.3
8	56,265	2458.8	− 2586	−127.2	× 287 / 868	−42.1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−130

2025 from sb_ca2025_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
6	56,023	2419.9	− 2552	−132.1	× 260 / 849	−40.5
7	56,024	2437.6	− 2567	−129.4	× 295 / 849	−45
8	56,025	2468.4	− 2586	−117.6	× 294 / 849	−40.7
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−126

Step 2 · The average and the normal range

Average: add the yearly results and divide by how many there are. −124, −107, −115, −118, −99, −126, −125, −130, −126 → −118.9
Typical year-to-year change: how far the result moved from each year to the next, ignoring up or down. 2015→2016: 17 · 2016→2017: 8 · 2017→2018: 3 · 2018→2019: 19 · 2019→2022: 27 · 2022→2023: 1 · 2023→2024: 5 · 2024→2025: 4 → average 10.5
Normal range: multiply the typical change by 2.66, then add it to the average and subtract it. 10.5 × 2.66 = 27.9. Upper limit −91, lower limit −146.8.

Why 2.66? It is the standard factor from quality control, the work of Walter Shewhart and W. Edwards Deming. It turns "how much the result typically changes in a year" into "how far it can wander by chance alone".

Years with no result (no state tests were given in spring 2020) are skipped: the year-to-year change runs from the last year with a result to the next one.

Step 3 · Free or reduced-price meals

The share of enrolled students eligible for free or reduced-price meals. From 2014–15, 2015–16, 2016–17, 2017–18, 2018–19, 2020–21, 2021–22, 2022–23, 2023–24, 2024–25, 2025–26.