Webber Elementary: math

The shaded band is this school's normal range. If nothing about how it works changes, nearly every future year should land inside it. Zero means the typical student just meets the state standard. The small numbers under the years are how many students were tested.

Step 1 · Each year's result

For each grade tested, take the average (mean) scale score from the California Department of Education's results file, and subtract the lowest score that counts as "Standard Met" for that grade. That is the grade's distance from standard. Weight each grade by its share of the students tested, then add the grades up. Grades where the state hides the average because ten or fewer students tested are left out entirely.

2015 from sb_ca2015_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	52,331	2391.0	− 2436	−45	× 55 / 200	−12.4
4	52,332	2435.6	− 2485	−49.4	× 55 / 200	−13.6
5	52,335	2505.9	− 2528	−22.1	× 47 / 200	−5.2
6	52,336	2500.0	− 2552	−52	× 43 / 200	−11.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−42

2016 from sb_ca2016_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	48,631	2430.6	− 2436	−5.4	× 49 / 211	−1.3
4	48,634	2431.9	− 2485	−53.1	× 57 / 211	−14.3
5	48,635	2467.1	− 2528	−60.9	× 55 / 211	−15.9
6	48,638	2534.6	− 2552	−17.4	× 50 / 211	−4.1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−36

2017 from sb_ca2017_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	49,951	2416.3	− 2436	−19.7	× 56 / 207	−5.3
4	49,954	2470.8	− 2485	−14.2	× 48 / 207	−3.3
5	49,956	2433.3	− 2528	−94.7	× 57 / 207	−26.1
6	49,957	2509.7	− 2552	−42.3	× 46 / 207	−9.4
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−44

2018 from sb_ca2018_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	49,968	2462.4	− 2436	26.4	× 37 / 196	5
4	49,969	2467.7	− 2485	−17.3	× 54 / 196	−4.8
5	49,971	2444.8	− 2528	−83.2	× 50 / 196	−21.2
6	49,974	2483.2	− 2552	−68.8	× 55 / 196	−19.3
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−40

2019 from sb_ca2019_1_csv_v4.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	50,163	2407.3	− 2436	−28.7	× 53 / 204	−7.5
4	50,164	2497.6	− 2485	12.6	× 44 / 204	2.7
5	50,165	2484.4	− 2528	−43.6	× 54 / 204	−11.5
6	50,166	2502.1	− 2552	−49.9	× 53 / 204	−13
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−29

2022 from sb_ca2022_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	50,073	2419.3	− 2436	−16.7	× 41 / 162	−4.2
4	50,074	2411.7	− 2485	−73.3	× 33 / 162	−14.9
5	50,075	2445.4	− 2528	−82.6	× 42 / 162	−21.4
6	50,076	2542.2	− 2552	−9.8	× 46 / 162	−2.8
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−43

2023 from sb_ca2023_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	50,031	2400.1	− 2436	−35.9	× 39 / 157	−8.9
4	50,032	2422.5	− 2485	−62.5	× 46 / 157	−18.3
5	50,033	2418.8	− 2528	−109.2	× 33 / 157	−23
6	50,034	2486.9	− 2552	−65.1	× 39 / 157	−16.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−66

2024 from sb_ca2024_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	49,886	2398.7	− 2436	−37.3	× 43 / 159	−10.1
4	49,887	2472.0	− 2485	−13	× 41 / 159	−3.4
5	49,888	2454.8	− 2528	−73.2	× 45 / 159	−20.7
6	49,889	2465.0	− 2552	−87	× 30 / 159	−16.4
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−51

2025 from sb_ca2025_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	49,642	2407.7	− 2436	−28.3	× 45 / 172	−7.4
4	49,643	2459.9	− 2485	−25.1	× 42 / 172	−6.1
5	49,644	2486.0	− 2528	−42	× 40 / 172	−9.8
6	49,645	2492.8	− 2552	−59.2	× 45 / 172	−15.5
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−39

Step 2 · The average and the normal range

Average: add the yearly results and divide by how many there are. −42, −36, −44, −40, −29, −43, −66, −51, −39 → −43.3
Typical year-to-year change: how far the result moved from each year to the next, ignoring up or down. 2015→2016: 6 · 2016→2017: 8 · 2017→2018: 4 · 2018→2019: 11 · 2019→2022: 14 · 2022→2023: 23 · 2023→2024: 15 · 2024→2025: 12 → average 11.6
Normal range: multiply the typical change by 2.66, then add it to the average and subtract it. 11.6 × 2.66 = 30.9. Upper limit −12.4, lower limit −74.2.

Why 2.66? It is the standard factor from quality control, the work of Walter Shewhart and W. Edwards Deming. It turns "how much the result typically changes in a year" into "how far it can wander by chance alone".

Years with no result (no state tests were given in spring 2020) are skipped: the year-to-year change runs from the last year with a result to the next one.

Step 3 · Free or reduced-price meals

The share of enrolled students eligible for free or reduced-price meals. From 2014–15, 2015–16, 2016–17, 2017–18, 2018–19, 2020–21, 2021–22, 2022–23, 2023–24, 2024–25, 2025–26.