Linda Vista Elementary: math

The shaded band is this school's normal range. If nothing about how it works changes, nearly every future year should land inside it. Zero means the typical student just meets the state standard. The small numbers under the years are how many students were tested.

Step 1 · Each year's result

For each grade tested, take the average (mean) scale score from the California Department of Education's results file, and subtract the lowest score that counts as "Standard Met" for that grade. That is the grade's distance from standard. Weight each grade by its share of the students tested, then add the grades up. Grades where the state hides the average because ten or fewer students tested are left out entirely.

2015 from sb_ca2015_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	52,453	2381.3	− 2436	−54.7	× 57 / 233	−13.4
4	52,456	2406.4	− 2485	−78.6	× 50 / 233	−16.9
5	52,457	2454.3	− 2528	−73.7	× 66 / 233	−20.9
6	52,460	2499.1	− 2552	−52.9	× 60 / 233	−13.6
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−65

2016 from sb_ca2016_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	48,730	2363.5	− 2436	−72.5	× 59 / 220	−19.4
4	48,731	2449.7	− 2485	−35.3	× 50 / 220	−8
5	48,733	2439.4	− 2528	−88.6	× 49 / 220	−19.7
6	48,735	2517.1	− 2552	−34.9	× 62 / 220	−9.8
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−57

2017 from sb_ca2017_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	50,066	2379.0	− 2436	−57	× 47 / 203	−13.2
4	50,068	2441.1	− 2485	−43.9	× 54 / 203	−11.7
5	50,070	2457.9	− 2528	−70.1	× 49 / 203	−16.9
6	50,071	2528.5	− 2552	−23.5	× 53 / 203	−6.1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−48

2018 from sb_ca2018_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	50,093	2370.6	− 2436	−65.4	× 42 / 190	−14.5
4	50,095	2439.5	− 2485	−45.5	× 43 / 190	−10.3
5	50,097	2433.8	− 2528	−94.2	× 52 / 190	−25.8
6	50,099	2519.8	− 2552	−32.2	× 53 / 190	−9
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−60

2019 from sb_ca2019_1_csv_v4.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	50,287	2404.5	− 2436	−31.5	× 45 / 183	−7.7
4	50,288	2430.4	− 2485	−54.6	× 41 / 183	−12.2
5	50,289	2466.9	− 2528	−61.1	× 44 / 183	−14.7
6	50,290	2509.7	− 2552	−42.3	× 53 / 183	−12.3
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−47

2022 from sb_ca2022_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	50,199	2405.9	− 2436	−30.1	× 39 / 176	−6.7
4	50,200	2478.1	− 2485	−6.9	× 42 / 176	−1.6
5	50,201	2467.3	− 2528	−60.7	× 50 / 176	−17.2
6	50,202	2519.0	− 2552	−33	× 45 / 176	−8.4
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−34

2023 from sb_ca2023_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	50,159	2403.7	− 2436	−32.3	× 46 / 177	−8.4
4	50,160	2456.6	− 2485	−28.4	× 40 / 177	−6.4
5	50,161	2474.1	− 2528	−53.9	× 43 / 177	−13.1
6	50,162	2507.6	− 2552	−44.4	× 48 / 177	−12
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−40

2024 from sb_ca2024_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	50,014	2381.4	− 2436	−54.6	× 33 / 157	−11.5
4	50,015	2440.1	− 2485	−44.9	× 43 / 157	−12.3
5	50,016	2505.8	− 2528	−22.2	× 38 / 157	−5.4
6	50,017	2540.5	− 2552	−11.5	× 43 / 157	−3.1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−32

2025 from sb_ca2025_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	49,770	2390.7	− 2436	−45.3	× 40 / 156	−11.6
4	49,771	2475.4	− 2485	−9.6	× 37 / 156	−2.3
5	49,772	2479.9	− 2528	−48.1	× 43 / 156	−13.3
6	49,773	2530.4	− 2552	−21.6	× 36 / 156	−5
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−32

Step 2 · The average and the normal range

Average: add the yearly results and divide by how many there are. −65, −57, −48, −60, −47, −34, −40, −32, −32 → −46.1
Typical year-to-year change: how far the result moved from each year to the next, ignoring up or down. 2015→2016: 8 · 2016→2017: 9 · 2017→2018: 12 · 2018→2019: 13 · 2019→2022: 13 · 2022→2023: 6 · 2023→2024: 8 · 2024→2025: 0 → average 8.6
Normal range: multiply the typical change by 2.66, then add it to the average and subtract it. 8.6 × 2.66 = 22.9. Upper limit −23.2, lower limit −69.

Why 2.66? It is the standard factor from quality control, the work of Walter Shewhart and W. Edwards Deming. It turns "how much the result typically changes in a year" into "how far it can wander by chance alone".

Years with no result (no state tests were given in spring 2020) are skipped: the year-to-year change runs from the last year with a result to the next one.

Step 3 · Free or reduced-price meals

The share of enrolled students eligible for free or reduced-price meals. From 2014–15, 2015–16, 2016–17, 2017–18, 2018–19, 2020–21, 2021–22, 2022–23, 2023–24, 2024–25, 2025–26.