Roosevelt (Theodore) Elementary: math

The shaded band is this school's normal range. If nothing about how it works changes, nearly every future year should land inside it. Zero means the typical student just meets the state standard. The small numbers under the years are how many students were tested.

Step 1 · Each year's result

For each grade tested, take the average (mean) scale score from the California Department of Education's results file, and subtract the lowest score that counts as "Standard Met" for that grade. That is the grade's distance from standard. Weight each grade by its share of the students tested, then add the grades up. Grades where the state hides the average because ten or fewer students tested are left out entirely.

2015 from sb_ca2015_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	47,999	2409.4	− 2436	−26.6	× 88 / 382	−6.1
4	48,000	2440.7	− 2485	−44.3	× 103 / 382	−11.9
5	48,003	2425.2	− 2528	−102.8	× 99 / 382	−26.6
6	48,004	2481.2	− 2552	−70.8	× 92 / 382	−17.1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−62

2016 from sb_ca2016_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	44,665	2417.4	− 2436	−18.6	× 70 / 359	−3.6
4	44,668	2440.0	− 2485	−45	× 92 / 359	−11.5
5	44,670	2453.2	− 2528	−74.8	× 105 / 359	−21.9
6	44,672	2448.1	− 2552	−103.9	× 92 / 359	−26.6
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−64

2017 from sb_ca2017_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	45,837	2388.5	− 2436	−47.5	× 73 / 352	−9.9
4	45,838	2460.0	− 2485	−25	× 74 / 352	−5.3
5	45,840	2450.2	− 2528	−77.8	× 94 / 352	−20.8
6	45,842	2484.4	− 2552	−67.6	× 111 / 352	−21.3
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−57

2018 from sb_ca2018_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	45,853	2419.1	− 2436	−16.9	× 73 / 302	−4.1
4	45,856	2443.8	− 2485	−41.2	× 69 / 302	−9.4
5	45,857	2478.5	− 2528	−49.5	× 73 / 302	−12
6	45,860	2508.4	− 2552	−43.6	× 87 / 302	−12.6
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−38

2019 from sb_ca2019_1_csv_v4.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	46,035	2399.7	− 2436	−36.3	× 65 / 280	−8.4
4	46,036	2473.5	− 2485	−11.5	× 71 / 280	−2.9
5	46,037	2458.7	− 2528	−69.3	× 64 / 280	−15.8
6	46,038	2518.2	− 2552	−33.8	× 80 / 280	−9.7
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−37

2022 from sb_ca2022_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	45,853	2399.3	− 2436	−36.7	× 47 / 243	−7.1
4	45,854	2440.8	− 2485	−44.2	× 55 / 243	−10
5	45,855	2463.6	− 2528	−64.4	× 70 / 243	−18.6
6	45,856	2454.5	− 2552	−97.5	× 71 / 243	−28.5
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−64

2023 from sb_ca2023_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	45,835	2363.4	− 2436	−72.6	× 65 / 255	−18.5
4	45,836	2445.4	− 2485	−39.6	× 54 / 255	−8.4
5	45,837	2444.0	− 2528	−84	× 60 / 255	−19.8
6	45,838	2491.0	− 2552	−61	× 76 / 255	−18.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−65

2024 from sb_ca2024_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	45,694	2377.2	− 2436	−58.8	× 71 / 258	−16.2
4	45,695	2406.1	− 2485	−78.9	× 67 / 258	−20.5
5	45,696	2444.5	− 2528	−83.5	× 62 / 258	−20.1
6	45,697	2473.1	− 2552	−78.9	× 58 / 258	−17.7
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−74

2025 from sb_ca2025_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	45,448	2398.0	− 2436	−38	× 85 / 339	−9.5
4	45,449	2445.6	− 2485	−39.4	× 80 / 339	−9.3
5	45,450	2441.7	− 2528	−86.3	× 90 / 339	−22.9
6	45,451	2462.2	− 2552	−89.8	× 84 / 339	−22.3
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−64

Step 2 · The average and the normal range

Average: add the yearly results and divide by how many there are. −62, −64, −57, −38, −37, −64, −65, −74, −64 → −58.3
Typical year-to-year change: how far the result moved from each year to the next, ignoring up or down. 2015→2016: 2 · 2016→2017: 7 · 2017→2018: 19 · 2018→2019: 1 · 2019→2022: 27 · 2022→2023: 1 · 2023→2024: 9 · 2024→2025: 10 → average 9.5
Normal range: multiply the typical change by 2.66, then add it to the average and subtract it. 9.5 × 2.66 = 25.3. Upper limit −33, lower limit −83.6.

Why 2.66? It is the standard factor from quality control, the work of Walter Shewhart and W. Edwards Deming. It turns "how much the result typically changes in a year" into "how far it can wander by chance alone".

Years with no result (no state tests were given in spring 2020) are skipped: the year-to-year change runs from the last year with a result to the next one.

Step 3 · Free or reduced-price meals

The share of enrolled students eligible for free or reduced-price meals. From 2014–15, 2015–16, 2016–17, 2017–18, 2018–19, 2020–21, 2021–22, 2022–23, 2023–24, 2024–25, 2025–26.