Canyon Springs Community Elementary: math

The shaded band is this school's normal range. If nothing about how it works changes, nearly every future year should land inside it. Zero means the typical student just meets the state standard. The small numbers under the years are how many students were tested.

Step 1 · Each year's result

For each grade tested, take the average (mean) scale score from the California Department of Education's results file, and subtract the lowest score that counts as "Standard Met" for that grade. That is the grade's distance from standard. Weight each grade by its share of the students tested, then add the grades up. Grades where the state hides the average because ten or fewer students tested are left out entirely.

2015 from sb_ca2015_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	37,638	2436.4	− 2436	0.4	× 82 / 315	0.1
4	37,640	2454.6	− 2485	−30.4	× 69 / 315	−6.7
5	37,642	2474.0	− 2528	−54	× 86 / 315	−14.7
6	37,644	2517.4	− 2552	−34.6	× 78 / 315	−8.6
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−30

2016 from sb_ca2016_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	34,996	2426.8	− 2436	−9.2	× 73 / 308	−2.2
4	34,999	2472.9	− 2485	−12.1	× 81 / 308	−3.2
5	35,000	2477.3	− 2528	−50.7	× 67 / 308	−11
6	35,003	2486.5	− 2552	−65.5	× 87 / 308	−18.5
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−35

2017 from sb_ca2017_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	35,665	2424.6	− 2436	−11.4	× 74 / 310	−2.7
4	35,666	2457.3	− 2485	−27.7	× 74 / 310	−6.6
5	35,669	2493.1	− 2528	−34.9	× 88 / 310	−9.9
6	35,670	2512.0	− 2552	−40	× 74 / 310	−9.5
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−29

2018 from sb_ca2018_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	35,674	2426.2	− 2436	−9.8	× 61 / 296	−2
4	35,676	2459.6	− 2485	−25.4	× 77 / 296	−6.6
5	35,678	2461.4	− 2528	−66.6	× 70 / 296	−15.8
6	35,680	2538.3	− 2552	−13.7	× 88 / 296	−4.1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−28

2019 from sb_ca2019_1_csv_v4.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	35,844	2413.6	− 2436	−22.4	× 61 / 285	−4.8
4	35,845	2461.6	− 2485	−23.4	× 77 / 285	−6.3
5	35,846	2485.1	− 2528	−42.9	× 77 / 285	−11.6
6	35,847	2492.9	− 2552	−59.1	× 70 / 285	−14.5
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−37

2022 from sb_ca2022_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	35,729	2409.0	− 2436	−27	× 55 / 292	−5.1
4	35,730	2437.9	− 2485	−47.1	× 86 / 292	−13.9
5	35,731	2437.0	− 2528	−91	× 84 / 292	−26.2
6	35,732	2458.1	− 2552	−93.9	× 67 / 292	−21.5
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−67

2023 from sb_ca2023_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	35,740	2396.7	− 2436	−39.3	× 75 / 315	−9.4
4	35,741	2447.6	− 2485	−37.4	× 61 / 315	−7.2
5	35,742	2444.9	− 2528	−83.1	× 90 / 315	−23.7
6	35,743	2429.6	− 2552	−122.4	× 89 / 315	−34.6
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−75

2024 from sb_ca2024_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	35,596	2387.7	− 2436	−48.3	× 56 / 287	−9.4
4	35,597	2454.1	− 2485	−30.9	× 76 / 287	−8.2
5	35,598	2479.1	− 2528	−48.9	× 61 / 287	−10.4
6	35,599	2465.4	− 2552	−86.6	× 94 / 287	−28.4
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−56

2025 from sb_ca2025_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	35,439	2409.8	− 2436	−26.2	× 62 / 260	−6.2
4	35,440	2436.2	− 2485	−48.8	× 57 / 260	−10.7
5	35,441	2478.6	− 2528	−49.4	× 76 / 260	−14.4
6	35,442	2511.4	− 2552	−40.6	× 65 / 260	−10.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−42

Step 2 · The average and the normal range

Average: add the yearly results and divide by how many there are. −30, −35, −29, −28, −37, −67, −75, −56, −42 → −44.3
Typical year-to-year change: how far the result moved from each year to the next, ignoring up or down. 2015→2016: 5 · 2016→2017: 6 · 2017→2018: 1 · 2018→2019: 9 · 2019→2022: 30 · 2022→2023: 8 · 2023→2024: 19 · 2024→2025: 14 → average 11.5
Normal range: multiply the typical change by 2.66, then add it to the average and subtract it. 11.5 × 2.66 = 30.6. Upper limit −13.7, lower limit −74.9.

Why 2.66? It is the standard factor from quality control, the work of Walter Shewhart and W. Edwards Deming. It turns "how much the result typically changes in a year" into "how far it can wander by chance alone".

Years with no result (no state tests were given in spring 2020) are skipped: the year-to-year change runs from the last year with a result to the next one.

Step 3 · Free or reduced-price meals

The share of enrolled students eligible for free or reduced-price meals. From 2014–15, 2015–16, 2016–17, 2017–18, 2018–19, 2020–21, 2021–22, 2022–23, 2023–24, 2024–25, 2025–26.