Maxson Elementary: math

The shaded band is this school's normal range. If nothing about how it works changes, nearly every future year should land inside it. Zero means the typical student just meets the state standard. The small numbers under the years are how many students were tested.

Step 1 · Each year's result

For each grade tested, take the average (mean) scale score from the California Department of Education's results file, and subtract the lowest score that counts as "Standard Met" for that grade. That is the grade's distance from standard. Weight each grade by its share of the students tested, then add the grades up. Grades where the state hides the average because ten or fewer students tested are left out entirely.

2015 from sb_ca2015_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	35,039	2402.8	− 2436	−33.2	× 94 / 331	−9.4
4	35,041	2422.2	− 2485	−62.8	× 75 / 331	−14.2
5	35,043	2463.3	− 2528	−64.7	× 86 / 331	−16.8
6	35,045	2485.0	− 2552	−67	× 76 / 331	−15.4
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−56

2016 from sb_ca2016_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	32,717	2393.8	− 2436	−42.2	× 86 / 333	−10.9
4	32,719	2447.4	− 2485	−37.6	× 93 / 333	−10.5
5	32,722	2453.6	− 2528	−74.4	× 72 / 333	−16.1
6	32,724	2505.5	− 2552	−46.5	× 82 / 333	−11.5
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−49

2017 from sb_ca2017_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	33,295	2393.2	− 2436	−42.8	× 82 / 317	−11.1
4	33,297	2455.5	− 2485	−29.5	× 84 / 317	−7.8
5	33,299	2468.3	− 2528	−59.7	× 87 / 317	−16.4
6	33,302	2464.8	− 2552	−87.2	× 64 / 317	−17.6
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−53

2018 from sb_ca2018_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	33,315	2432.8	− 2436	−3.2	× 61 / 296	−0.7
4	33,317	2448.0	− 2485	−37	× 74 / 296	−9.3
5	33,319	2454.0	− 2528	−74	× 78 / 296	−19.5
6	33,321	2508.3	− 2552	−43.7	× 83 / 296	−12.3
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−42

2019 from sb_ca2019_1_csv_v4.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	33,488	2416.4	− 2436	−19.6	× 74 / 284	−5.1
4	33,489	2483.4	− 2485	−1.6	× 61 / 284	−0.3
5	33,490	2459.0	− 2528	−69	× 72 / 284	−17.5
6	33,491	2522.2	− 2552	−29.8	× 77 / 284	−8.1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−31

2022 from sb_ca2022_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	33,419	2367.5	− 2436	−68.5	× 66 / 288	−15.7
4	33,420	2398.5	− 2485	−86.5	× 79 / 288	−23.7
5	33,421	2442.4	− 2528	−85.6	× 69 / 288	−20.5
6	33,422	2459.2	− 2552	−92.8	× 74 / 288	−23.8
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−84

2023 from sb_ca2023_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	33,470	2387.2	− 2436	−48.8	× 81 / 290	−13.6
4	33,471	2404.7	− 2485	−80.3	× 66 / 290	−18.3
5	33,472	2430.5	− 2528	−97.5	× 69 / 290	−23.2
6	33,473	2428.3	− 2552	−123.7	× 74 / 290	−31.6
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−87

2024 from sb_ca2024_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	33,330	2416.1	− 2436	−19.9	× 68 / 265	−5.1
4	33,331	2421.6	− 2485	−63.4	× 75 / 265	−17.9
5	33,332	2449.0	− 2528	−79	× 60 / 265	−17.9
6	33,333	2463.6	− 2552	−88.4	× 62 / 265	−20.7
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−62

2025 from sb_ca2025_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	33,191	2434.4	− 2436	−1.6	× 61 / 252	−0.4
4	33,192	2449.8	− 2485	−35.2	× 65 / 252	−9.1
5	33,193	2476.7	− 2528	−51.3	× 62 / 252	−12.6
6	33,194	2437.0	− 2552	−115	× 64 / 252	−29.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−51

Step 2 · The average and the normal range

Average: add the yearly results and divide by how many there are. −56, −49, −53, −42, −31, −84, −87, −62, −51 → −57.2
Typical year-to-year change: how far the result moved from each year to the next, ignoring up or down. 2015→2016: 7 · 2016→2017: 4 · 2017→2018: 11 · 2018→2019: 11 · 2019→2022: 53 · 2022→2023: 3 · 2023→2024: 25 · 2024→2025: 11 → average 15.6
Normal range: multiply the typical change by 2.66, then add it to the average and subtract it. 15.6 × 2.66 = 41.5. Upper limit −15.7, lower limit −98.7.

Why 2.66? It is the standard factor from quality control, the work of Walter Shewhart and W. Edwards Deming. It turns "how much the result typically changes in a year" into "how far it can wander by chance alone".

Years with no result (no state tests were given in spring 2020) are skipped: the year-to-year change runs from the last year with a result to the next one.

Step 3 · Free or reduced-price meals

The share of enrolled students eligible for free or reduced-price meals. From 2014–15, 2015–16, 2016–17, 2017–18, 2018–19, 2020–21, 2021–22, 2022–23, 2023–24, 2024–25, 2025–26.