Paradise Elementary: english

The shaded band is this district's normal range. If nothing about how it works changes, nearly every future year should land inside it. Zero means the typical student just meets the state standard. The small numbers under the years are how many students were tested.

Step 1 · Each year's result

For each grade tested, take the average (mean) scale score from the California Department of Education's results file, and subtract the lowest score that counts as "Standard Met" for that grade. That is the grade's distance from standard. Weight each grade by its share of the students tested, then add the grades up. Grades where the state hides the average because ten or fewer students tested are left out entirely.

2015 from sb_ca2015_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	97,304	2429.6	− 2432	−2.4	× 19 / 127	−0.4
4	97,307	2445.7	− 2473	−27.3	× 24 / 127	−5.2
5	97,308	2509.6	− 2502	7.6	× 21 / 127	1.3
6	97,311	2522.9	− 2531	−8.1	× 24 / 127	−1.5
7	97,312	2551.1	− 2552	−0.9	× 21 / 127	−0.1
8	97,315	2594.0	− 2567	27	× 18 / 127	3.8
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−2

2016 from sb_ca2016_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	90,208	2411.9	− 2432	−20.1	× 24 / 139	−3.5
4	90,211	2442.0	− 2473	−31	× 24 / 139	−5.4
5	90,213	2506.2	− 2502	4.2	× 26 / 139	0.8
6	90,215	2542.0	− 2531	11	× 23 / 139	1.8
7	90,217	2588.9	− 2552	36.9	× 19 / 139	5
8	90,219	2566.5	− 2567	−0.5	× 23 / 139	−0.1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−1

2017 from sb_ca2017_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	92,847	2426.5	− 2432	−5.5	× 26 / 137	−1
4	92,849	2489.6	− 2473	16.6	× 20 / 137	2.4
5	92,850	2487.2	− 2502	−14.8	× 24 / 137	−2.6
6	92,853	2517.4	− 2531	−13.6	× 28 / 137	−2.8
7	92,854	2588.6	− 2552	36.6	× 21 / 137	5.6
8	92,856	2608.8	− 2567	41.8	× 18 / 137	5.5
Sum, rounded to a whole point						7

2018 from sb_ca2018_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	93,046	2512.0	− 2432	80	× 17 / 125	10.9
4	93,047	2513.2	− 2473	40.2	× 24 / 125	7.7
5	93,050	2522.3	− 2502	20.3	× 16 / 125	2.6
6	93,051	2517.6	− 2531	−13.4	× 25 / 125	−2.7
7	93,054	2577.2	− 2552	25.2	× 23 / 125	4.6
8	93,055	2615.8	− 2567	48.8	× 20 / 125	7.8
Sum, rounded to a whole point						31

2019 from sb_ca2019_1_csv_v4.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	93,700	2399.4	− 2432	−32.6	× 21 / 129	−5.3
4	93,701	2525.6	− 2473	52.6	× 17 / 129	6.9
5	93,702	2526.5	− 2502	24.5	× 26 / 129	4.9
6	93,703	2543.7	− 2531	12.7	× 18 / 129	1.8
7	93,704	2589.0	− 2552	37	× 22 / 129	6.3
8	93,705	2617.3	− 2567	50.3	× 25 / 129	9.7
Sum, rounded to a whole point						24

2021 from sb_ca2021_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	91,715	2407.1	− 2432	−24.9	× 18 / 129	−3.5
4	91,716	2406.4	− 2473	−66.6	× 25 / 129	−12.9
5	91,717	2483.4	− 2502	−18.6	× 21 / 129	−3
6	91,718	2549.7	− 2531	18.7	× 20 / 129	2.9
7	91,719	2606.0	− 2552	54	× 26 / 129	10.9
8	91,720	2636.4	− 2567	69.4	× 19 / 129	10.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						5

2022 from sb_ca2022_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	93,931	2449.1	− 2432	17.1	× 18 / 129	2.4
4	93,932	2354.8	− 2473	−118.2	× 17 / 129	−15.6
5	93,933	2490.1	− 2502	−11.9	× 23 / 129	−2.1
6	93,934	2505.1	− 2531	−25.9	× 23 / 129	−4.6
7	93,935	2615.9	− 2552	63.9	× 23 / 129	11.4
8	93,936	2577.4	− 2567	10.4	× 25 / 129	2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−7

2023 from sb_ca2023_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	93,839	2490.5	− 2432	58.5	× 23 / 130	10.4
4	93,840	2475.1	− 2473	2.1	× 17 / 130	0.3
5	93,841	2471.5	− 2502	−30.5	× 21 / 130	−4.9
6	93,842	2514.3	− 2531	−16.7	× 24 / 130	−3.1
7	93,843	2573.8	− 2552	21.8	× 23 / 130	3.9
8	93,844	2628.7	− 2567	61.7	× 22 / 130	10.4
Sum, rounded to a whole point						17

2024 from sb_ca2024_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	93,720	2460.4	− 2432	28.4	× 20 / 120	4.7
4	93,721	2503.5	− 2473	30.5	× 22 / 120	5.6
5	93,722	2520.7	− 2502	18.7	× 18 / 120	2.8
6	93,723	2515.5	− 2531	−15.5	× 19 / 120	−2.5
7	93,724	2544.5	− 2552	−7.5	× 21 / 120	−1.3
8	93,725	2574.5	− 2567	7.5	× 20 / 120	1.3
Sum, rounded to a whole point						11

2025 from sb_ca2025_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	93,452	2493.6	− 2432	61.6	× 20 / 125	9.9
4	93,453	2505.9	− 2473	32.9	× 19 / 125	5
5	93,454	2536.2	− 2502	34.2	× 22 / 125	6
6	93,455	2534.5	− 2531	3.5	× 21 / 125	0.6
7	93,456	2560.4	− 2552	8.4	× 19 / 125	1.3
8	93,457	2566.6	− 2567	−0.4	× 24 / 125	−0.1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						23

Step 2 · The average and the normal range

Average: add the yearly results and divide by how many there are. −2, −1, 7, 31, 24, 5, −7, 17, 11, 23 → 10.8
Typical year-to-year change: how far the result moved from each year to the next, ignoring up or down. 2015→2016: 1 · 2016→2017: 8 · 2017→2018: 24 · 2018→2019: 7 · 2019→2021: 19 · 2021→2022: 12 · 2022→2023: 24 · 2023→2024: 6 · 2024→2025: 12 → average 12.6
Normal range: multiply the typical change by 2.66, then add it to the average and subtract it. 12.6 × 2.66 = 33.5. Upper limit 44.3, lower limit −22.7.

Why 2.66? It is the standard factor from quality control, the work of Walter Shewhart and W. Edwards Deming. It turns "how much the result typically changes in a year" into "how far it can wander by chance alone".

Years with no result (no state tests were given in spring 2020) are skipped: the year-to-year change runs from the last year with a result to the next one.

Step 3 · Free or reduced-price meals

The share of enrolled students eligible for free or reduced-price meals — for a district, the total across its schools. From 2014–15, 2015–16, 2016–17, 2017–18, 2018–19, 2020–21, 2021–22, 2022–23, 2023–24, 2024–25, 2025–26.

Schools in Paradise Elementary

Paradise Charter Charter
Paradise Elementary