Empire Elementary: english

The shaded band is this school's normal range. If nothing about how it works changes, nearly every future year should land inside it. Zero means the typical student just meets the state standard. The small numbers under the years are how many students were tested.

Step 1 · Each year's result

For each grade tested, take the average (mean) scale score from the California Department of Education's results file, and subtract the lowest score that counts as "Standard Met" for that grade. That is the grade's distance from standard. Weight each grade by its share of the students tested, then add the grades up. Grades where the state hides the average because ten or fewer students tested are left out entirely.

2015 from sb_ca2015_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	96,654	2324.1	− 2432	−107.9	× 60 / 245	−26.4
4	96,657	2358.3	− 2473	−114.7	× 70 / 245	−32.8
5	96,658	2423.7	− 2502	−78.3	× 54 / 245	−17.3
6	96,661	2439.7	− 2531	−91.3	× 61 / 245	−22.7
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−99

2016 from sb_ca2016_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	89,641	2317.9	− 2432	−114.1	× 60 / 224	−30.6
4	89,642	2386.0	− 2473	−87	× 52 / 224	−20.2
5	89,645	2426.8	− 2502	−75.2	× 64 / 224	−21.5
6	89,646	2455.7	− 2531	−75.3	× 48 / 224	−16.1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−88

2017 from sb_ca2017_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	92,265	2356.7	− 2432	−75.3	× 51 / 200	−19.2
4	92,266	2405.5	− 2473	−67.5	× 58 / 200	−19.6
5	92,269	2443.9	− 2502	−58.1	× 43 / 200	−12.5
6	92,271	2480.1	− 2531	−50.9	× 48 / 200	−12.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−63

2018 from sb_ca2018_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	92,461	2358.8	− 2432	−73.2	× 51 / 226	−16.5
4	92,464	2417.3	− 2473	−55.7	× 61 / 226	−15
5	92,465	2468.0	− 2502	−34	× 59 / 226	−8.9
6	92,468	2477.3	− 2531	−53.7	× 55 / 226	−13.1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−53

2019 from sb_ca2019_1_csv_v4.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	93,088	2368.6	− 2432	−63.4	× 48 / 232	−13.1
4	93,089	2402.4	− 2473	−70.6	× 64 / 232	−19.5
5	93,090	2457.3	− 2502	−44.7	× 59 / 232	−11.4
6	93,091	2493.5	− 2531	−37.5	× 61 / 232	−9.9
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−54

2022 from sb_ca2022_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	93,323	2335.9	− 2432	−96.1	× 50 / 222	−21.6
4	93,324	2409.9	− 2473	−63.1	× 48 / 222	−13.6
5	93,325	2412.6	− 2502	−89.4	× 55 / 222	−22.1
6	93,326	2471.0	− 2531	−60	× 69 / 222	−18.6
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−76

2023 from sb_ca2023_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	93,217	2344.2	− 2432	−87.8	× 52 / 229	−19.9
4	93,218	2377.6	− 2473	−95.4	× 58 / 229	−24.2
5	93,219	2414.5	− 2502	−87.5	× 62 / 229	−23.7
6	93,220	2468.2	− 2531	−62.8	× 57 / 229	−15.6
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−83

2024 from sb_ca2024_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	93,112	2310.8	− 2432	−121.2	× 50 / 232	−26.1
4	93,113	2370.8	− 2473	−102.2	× 58 / 232	−25.6
5	93,114	2419.2	− 2502	−82.8	× 65 / 232	−23.2
6	93,115	2454.8	− 2531	−76.2	× 59 / 232	−19.4
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−94

2025 from sb_ca2025_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	92,838	2372.1	− 2432	−59.9	× 50 / 222	−13.5
4	92,839	2391.8	− 2473	−81.2	× 49 / 222	−17.9
5	92,840	2408.9	− 2502	−93.1	× 56 / 222	−23.5
6	92,841	2475.2	− 2531	−55.8	× 67 / 222	−16.8
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−72

Step 2 · The average and the normal range

Average: add the yearly results and divide by how many there are. −99, −88, −63, −53, −54, −76, −83, −94, −72 → −75.8
Typical year-to-year change: how far the result moved from each year to the next, ignoring up or down. 2015→2016: 11 · 2016→2017: 25 · 2017→2018: 10 · 2018→2019: 1 · 2019→2022: 22 · 2022→2023: 7 · 2023→2024: 11 · 2024→2025: 22 → average 13.6
Normal range: multiply the typical change by 2.66, then add it to the average and subtract it. 13.6 × 2.66 = 36.2. Upper limit −39.6, lower limit −112.

Why 2.66? It is the standard factor from quality control, the work of Walter Shewhart and W. Edwards Deming. It turns "how much the result typically changes in a year" into "how far it can wander by chance alone".

Years with no result (no state tests were given in spring 2020) are skipped: the year-to-year change runs from the last year with a result to the next one.

Step 3 · Free or reduced-price meals

The share of enrolled students eligible for free or reduced-price meals. From 2014–15, 2015–16, 2016–17, 2017–18, 2018–19, 2020–21, 2021–22, 2022–23, 2023–24, 2024–25, 2025–26.