Washington Elementary: english

The shaded band is this school's normal range. If nothing about how it works changes, nearly every future year should land inside it. Zero means the typical student just meets the state standard. The small numbers under the years are how many students were tested.

Step 1 · Each year's result

For each grade tested, take the average (mean) scale score from the California Department of Education's results file, and subtract the lowest score that counts as "Standard Met" for that grade. That is the grade's distance from standard. Weight each grade by its share of the students tested, then add the grades up. Grades where the state hides the average because ten or fewer students tested are left out entirely.

2015 from sb_ca2015_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	88,994	2383.4	− 2432	−48.6	× 74 / 229	−15.7
4	88,995	2431.3	− 2473	−41.7	× 71 / 229	−12.9
5	88,998	2488.5	− 2502	−13.5	× 84 / 229	−5
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−34

2016 from sb_ca2016_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	82,595	2381.6	− 2432	−50.4	× 70 / 213	−16.6
4	82,598	2436.6	− 2473	−36.4	× 70 / 213	−12
5	82,599	2498.7	− 2502	−3.3	× 73 / 213	−1.1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−30

2017 from sb_ca2017_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	84,888	2389.7	− 2432	−42.3	× 73 / 208	−14.8
4	84,890	2449.6	− 2473	−23.4	× 70 / 208	−7.9
5	84,892	2468.1	− 2502	−33.9	× 65 / 208	−10.6
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−33

2018 from sb_ca2018_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	85,103	2395.0	− 2432	−37	× 83 / 230	−13.4
4	85,105	2457.0	− 2473	−16	× 75 / 230	−5.2
5	85,107	2466.0	− 2502	−36	× 72 / 230	−11.3
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−30

2019 from sb_ca2019_1_csv_v4.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	85,693	2403.4	− 2432	−28.6	× 75 / 221	−9.7
4	85,694	2456.5	− 2473	−16.5	× 74 / 221	−5.5
5	85,695	2481.9	− 2502	−20.1	× 72 / 221	−6.5
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−22

2021 from sb_ca2021_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	83,919	2340.6	− 2432	−91.4	× 57 / 178	−29.3
4	83,920	2370.7	− 2473	−102.3	× 63 / 178	−36.2
5	83,921	2453.5	− 2502	−48.5	× 58 / 178	−15.8
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−81

2022 from sb_ca2022_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	85,888	2374.1	− 2432	−57.9	× 54 / 188	−16.6
4	85,889	2383.6	− 2473	−89.4	× 69 / 188	−32.8
5	85,890	2457.7	− 2502	−44.3	× 65 / 188	−15.3
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−65

2023 from sb_ca2023_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	85,806	2328.8	− 2432	−103.2	× 58 / 179	−33.4
4	85,807	2388.6	− 2473	−84.4	× 60 / 179	−28.3
5	85,808	2439.2	− 2502	−62.8	× 61 / 179	−21.4
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−83

2024 from sb_ca2024_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	85,798	2341.3	− 2432	−90.7	× 54 / 159	−30.8
4	85,799	2368.7	− 2473	−104.3	× 48 / 159	−31.5
5	85,800	2442.1	− 2502	−59.9	× 57 / 159	−21.5
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−84

2025 from sb_ca2025_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	85,484	2345.9	− 2432	−86.1	× 51 / 159	−27.6
4	85,485	2367.3	− 2473	−105.7	× 56 / 159	−37.2
5	85,486	2446.4	− 2502	−55.6	× 52 / 159	−18.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−83

Step 2 · The average and the normal range

Average: add the yearly results and divide by how many there are. −34, −30, −33, −30, −22, −81, −65, −83, −84, −83 → −54.5
Typical year-to-year change: how far the result moved from each year to the next, ignoring up or down. 2015→2016: 4 · 2016→2017: 3 · 2017→2018: 3 · 2018→2019: 8 · 2019→2021: 59 · 2021→2022: 16 · 2022→2023: 18 · 2023→2024: 1 · 2024→2025: 1 → average 12.6
Normal range: multiply the typical change by 2.66, then add it to the average and subtract it. 12.6 × 2.66 = 33.5. Upper limit −21, lower limit −88.

Why 2.66? It is the standard factor from quality control, the work of Walter Shewhart and W. Edwards Deming. It turns "how much the result typically changes in a year" into "how far it can wander by chance alone".

Years with no result (no state tests were given in spring 2020) are skipped: the year-to-year change runs from the last year with a result to the next one.

Step 3 · Free or reduced-price meals

The share of enrolled students eligible for free or reduced-price meals. From 2014–15, 2015–16, 2016–17, 2017–18, 2018–19, 2020–21, 2021–22, 2022–23, 2023–24, 2024–25, 2025–26.