O. B. Whaley Elementary: english

The shaded band is this school's normal range. If nothing about how it works changes, nearly every future year should land inside it. Zero means the typical student just meets the state standard. The small numbers under the years are how many students were tested.

Step 1 · Each year's result

For each grade tested, take the average (mean) scale score from the California Department of Education's results file, and subtract the lowest score that counts as "Standard Met" for that grade. That is the grade's distance from standard. Weight each grade by its share of the students tested, then add the grades up. Grades where the state hides the average because ten or fewer students tested are left out entirely.

2015 from sb_ca2015_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	86,999	2381.4	− 2432	−50.6	× 85 / 339	−12.7
4	87,002	2426.7	− 2473	−46.3	× 88 / 339	−12
5	87,003	2448.3	− 2502	−53.7	× 68 / 339	−10.8
6	87,006	2506.7	− 2531	−24.3	× 98 / 339	−7
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−43

2016 from sb_ca2016_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	80,741	2385.5	− 2432	−46.5	× 76 / 312	−11.3
4	80,742	2440.1	− 2473	−32.9	× 78 / 312	−8.2
5	80,745	2484.5	− 2502	−17.5	× 89 / 312	−5
6	80,747	2503.6	− 2531	−27.4	× 69 / 312	−6.1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−31

2017 from sb_ca2017_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	82,970	2374.8	− 2432	−57.2	× 65 / 285	−13
4	82,972	2436.8	− 2473	−36.2	× 75 / 285	−9.5
5	82,973	2467.7	− 2502	−34.3	× 68 / 285	−8.2
6	82,975	2527.9	− 2531	−3.1	× 77 / 285	−0.8
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−32

2018 from sb_ca2018_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	83,187	2391.1	− 2432	−40.9	× 59 / 247	−9.8
4	83,189	2434.8	− 2473	−38.2	× 52 / 247	−8
5	83,191	2490.7	− 2502	−11.3	× 74 / 247	−3.4
6	83,193	2511.9	− 2531	−19.1	× 62 / 247	−4.8
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−26

2019 from sb_ca2019_1_csv_v4.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	83,795	2404.9	− 2432	−27.1	× 55 / 231	−6.5
4	83,796	2407.3	− 2473	−65.7	× 58 / 231	−16.5
5	83,797	2481.7	− 2502	−20.3	× 50 / 231	−4.4
6	83,798	2529.5	− 2531	−1.5	× 68 / 231	−0.4
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−28

2022 from sb_ca2022_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	83,990	2350.3	− 2432	−81.7	× 45 / 208	−17.7
4	83,991	2413.5	− 2473	−59.5	× 54 / 208	−15.4
5	83,992	2468.5	− 2502	−33.5	× 51 / 208	−8.2
6	83,993	2505.1	− 2531	−25.9	× 58 / 208	−7.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−49

2023 from sb_ca2023_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	83,931	2380.9	− 2432	−51.1	× 38 / 177	−11
4	83,932	2398.4	− 2473	−74.6	× 40 / 177	−16.9
5	83,933	2441.0	− 2502	−61	× 46 / 177	−15.9
6	83,934	2482.4	− 2531	−48.6	× 53 / 177	−14.6
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−58

2024 from sb_ca2024_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	83,932	2365.0	− 2432	−67	× 27 / 145	−12.5
4	83,933	2406.1	− 2473	−66.9	× 42 / 145	−19.4
5	83,934	2443.3	− 2502	−58.7	× 32 / 145	−13
6	83,935	2473.1	− 2531	−57.9	× 44 / 145	−17.6
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−62

2025 from sb_ca2025_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	83,614	2354.6	− 2432	−77.4	× 46 / 153	−23.3
4	83,615	2400.5	− 2473	−72.5	× 29 / 153	−13.7
5	83,616	2452.0	− 2502	−50	× 40 / 153	−13.1
6	83,617	2472.7	− 2531	−58.3	× 38 / 153	−14.5
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−65

Step 2 · The average and the normal range

Average: add the yearly results and divide by how many there are. −43, −31, −32, −26, −28, −49, −58, −62, −65 → −43.8
Typical year-to-year change: how far the result moved from each year to the next, ignoring up or down. 2015→2016: 12 · 2016→2017: 1 · 2017→2018: 6 · 2018→2019: 2 · 2019→2022: 21 · 2022→2023: 9 · 2023→2024: 4 · 2024→2025: 3 → average 7.3
Normal range: multiply the typical change by 2.66, then add it to the average and subtract it. 7.3 × 2.66 = 19.4. Upper limit −24.4, lower limit −63.2.

Why 2.66? It is the standard factor from quality control, the work of Walter Shewhart and W. Edwards Deming. It turns "how much the result typically changes in a year" into "how far it can wander by chance alone".

Years with no result (no state tests were given in spring 2020) are skipped: the year-to-year change runs from the last year with a result to the next one.

Step 3 · Free or reduced-price meals

The share of enrolled students eligible for free or reduced-price meals. From 2014–15, 2015–16, 2016–17, 2017–18, 2018–19, 2020–21, 2021–22, 2022–23, 2023–24, 2024–25, 2025–26.