Tunnell (Martin Luther) Elementary: english

The shaded band is this school's normal range. If nothing about how it works changes, nearly every future year should land inside it. Zero means the typical student just meets the state standard. The small numbers under the years are how many students were tested.

Step 1 · Each year's result

For each grade tested, take the average (mean) scale score from the California Department of Education's results file, and subtract the lowest score that counts as "Standard Met" for that grade. That is the grade's distance from standard. Weight each grade by its share of the students tested, then add the grades up. Grades where the state hides the average because ten or fewer students tested are left out entirely.

2015 from sb_ca2015_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	84,594	2367.6	− 2432	−64.4	× 125 / 480	−16.8
4	84,596	2402.4	− 2473	−70.6	× 128 / 480	−18.8
5	84,597	2416.1	− 2502	−85.9	× 133 / 480	−23.8
6	84,600	2473.0	− 2531	−58	× 94 / 480	−11.4
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−71

2016 from sb_ca2016_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	78,410	2380.0	− 2432	−52	× 125 / 516	−12.6
4	78,413	2420.1	− 2473	−52.9	× 121 / 516	−12.4
5	78,415	2447.0	− 2502	−55	× 135 / 516	−14.4
6	78,417	2492.5	− 2531	−38.5	× 135 / 516	−10.1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−49

2017 from sb_ca2017_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	80,567	2375.3	− 2432	−56.7	× 110 / 489	−12.8
4	80,569	2412.7	− 2473	−60.3	× 117 / 489	−14.4
5	80,572	2443.1	− 2502	−58.9	× 126 / 489	−15.2
6	80,574	2493.9	− 2531	−37.1	× 136 / 489	−10.3
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−53

2018 from sb_ca2018_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	80,725	2405.1	− 2432	−26.9	× 93 / 445	−5.6
4	80,726	2423.3	− 2473	−49.7	× 103 / 445	−11.5
5	80,729	2449.4	− 2502	−52.6	× 118 / 445	−13.9
6	80,730	2507.0	− 2531	−24	× 131 / 445	−7.1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−38

2019 from sb_ca2019_1_csv_v4.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	81,243	2420.5	− 2432	−11.5	× 116 / 445	−3
4	81,244	2444.3	− 2473	−28.7	× 95 / 445	−6.1
5	81,245	2469.6	− 2502	−32.4	× 115 / 445	−8.4
6	81,246	2508.1	− 2531	−22.9	× 119 / 445	−6.1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−24

2022 from sb_ca2022_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	81,464	2387.2	− 2432	−44.8	× 104 / 451	−10.3
4	81,465	2420.7	− 2473	−52.3	× 109 / 451	−12.6
5	81,466	2463.2	− 2502	−38.8	× 112 / 451	−9.6
6	81,467	2496.8	− 2531	−34.2	× 126 / 451	−9.6
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−42

2023 from sb_ca2023_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	81,426	2394.0	− 2432	−38	× 123 / 464	−10.1
4	81,427	2396.0	− 2473	−77	× 117 / 464	−19.4
5	81,428	2466.4	− 2502	−35.6	× 109 / 464	−8.4
6	81,429	2480.2	− 2531	−50.8	× 115 / 464	−12.6
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−50

2024 from sb_ca2024_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	81,438	2380.5	− 2432	−51.5	× 100 / 458	−11.2
4	81,439	2390.1	− 2473	−82.9	× 132 / 458	−23.9
5	81,440	2417.6	− 2502	−84.4	× 114 / 458	−21
6	81,441	2484.8	− 2531	−46.2	× 112 / 458	−11.3
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−67

2025 from sb_ca2025_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	81,106	2390.6	− 2432	−41.4	× 116 / 468	−10.3
4	81,107	2396.0	− 2473	−77	× 98 / 468	−16.1
5	81,108	2437.0	− 2502	−65	× 135 / 468	−18.8
6	81,109	2451.5	− 2531	−79.5	× 119 / 468	−20.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−65

Step 2 · The average and the normal range

Average: add the yearly results and divide by how many there are. −71, −49, −53, −38, −24, −42, −50, −67, −65 → −51
Typical year-to-year change: how far the result moved from each year to the next, ignoring up or down. 2015→2016: 22 · 2016→2017: 4 · 2017→2018: 15 · 2018→2019: 14 · 2019→2022: 18 · 2022→2023: 8 · 2023→2024: 17 · 2024→2025: 2 → average 12.5
Normal range: multiply the typical change by 2.66, then add it to the average and subtract it. 12.5 × 2.66 = 33.3. Upper limit −17.7, lower limit −84.3.

Why 2.66? It is the standard factor from quality control, the work of Walter Shewhart and W. Edwards Deming. It turns "how much the result typically changes in a year" into "how far it can wander by chance alone".

Years with no result (no state tests were given in spring 2020) are skipped: the year-to-year change runs from the last year with a result to the next one.

Step 3 · Free or reduced-price meals

The share of enrolled students eligible for free or reduced-price meals. From 2014–15, 2015–16, 2016–17, 2017–18, 2018–19, 2020–21, 2021–22, 2022–23, 2023–24, 2024–25, 2025–26.