Santa Ynez Elementary: english

The shaded band is this school's normal range. If nothing about how it works changes, nearly every future year should land inside it. Zero means the typical student just meets the state standard. The small numbers under the years are how many students were tested.

Step 1 · Each year's result

For each grade tested, take the average (mean) scale score from the California Department of Education's results file, and subtract the lowest score that counts as "Standard Met" for that grade. That is the grade's distance from standard. Weight each grade by its share of the students tested, then add the grades up. Grades where the state hides the average because ten or fewer students tested are left out entirely.

2015 from sb_ca2015_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	84,812	2408.0	− 2432	−24	× 25 / 157	−3.8
4	84,813	2471.7	− 2473	−1.3	× 26 / 157	−0.2
5	84,816	2512.1	− 2502	10.1	× 24 / 157	1.5
6	84,817	2520.3	− 2531	−10.7	× 18 / 157	−1.2
7	84,820	2566.7	− 2552	14.7	× 25 / 157	2.3
8	84,821	2599.6	− 2567	32.6	× 39 / 157	8.1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						7

2016 from sb_ca2016_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	78,631	2422.3	− 2432	−9.7	× 21 / 140	−1.5
4	78,633	2466.7	− 2473	−6.3	× 23 / 140	−1
5	78,635	2509.5	− 2502	7.5	× 26 / 140	1.4
6	78,636	2515.8	− 2531	−15.2	× 25 / 140	−2.7
7	78,639	2556.8	− 2552	4.8	× 19 / 140	0.7
8	78,640	2592.5	− 2567	25.5	× 26 / 140	4.7
Sum, rounded to a whole point						2

2017 from sb_ca2017_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	80,785	2456.2	− 2432	24.2	× 22 / 143	3.7
4	80,787	2473.0	− 2473	0	× 21 / 143	0
5	80,790	2458.5	− 2502	−43.5	× 24 / 143	−7.3
6	80,792	2538.1	− 2531	7.1	× 27 / 143	1.3
7	80,793	2568.8	− 2552	16.8	× 26 / 143	3.1
8	80,795	2605.4	− 2567	38.4	× 23 / 143	6.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						7

2018 from sb_ca2018_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	80,938	2422.7	− 2432	−9.3	× 20 / 134	−1.4
4	80,941	2536.1	− 2473	63.1	× 21 / 134	9.9
5	80,942	2479.1	− 2502	−22.9	× 23 / 134	−3.9
6	80,945	2505.8	− 2531	−25.2	× 19 / 134	−3.6
7	80,946	2614.4	− 2552	62.4	× 25 / 134	11.6
8	80,949	2586.8	− 2567	19.8	× 26 / 134	3.8
Sum, rounded to a whole point						16

2019 from sb_ca2019_1_csv_v4.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	81,461	2435.4	− 2432	3.4	× 17 / 126	0.5
4	81,462	2492.6	− 2473	19.6	× 20 / 126	3.1
5	81,463	2541.2	− 2502	39.2	× 24 / 126	7.5
6	81,464	2551.7	− 2531	20.7	× 23 / 126	3.8
7	81,465	2560.3	− 2552	8.3	× 18 / 126	1.2
8	81,466	2638.0	− 2567	71	× 24 / 126	13.5
Sum, rounded to a whole point						30

2021 from sb_ca2021_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	79,815	2373.7	− 2432	−58.3	× 23 / 128	−10.5
4	79,816	2456.9	− 2473	−16.1	× 21 / 128	−2.6
5	79,817	2474.4	− 2502	−27.6	× 16 / 128	−3.5
6	79,818	2500.0	− 2531	−31	× 16 / 128	−3.9
7	79,819	2603.1	− 2552	51.1	× 22 / 128	8.8
8	79,820	2593.0	− 2567	26	× 30 / 128	6.1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−6

2022 from sb_ca2022_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	81,682	2433.8	− 2432	1.8	× 15 / 120	0.2
4	81,683	2493.3	− 2473	20.3	× 23 / 120	3.9
5	81,684	2499.8	− 2502	−2.2	× 21 / 120	−0.4
6	81,685	2569.1	− 2531	38.1	× 14 / 120	4.4
7	81,686	2563.8	− 2552	11.8	× 22 / 120	2.2
8	81,687	2613.4	− 2567	46.4	× 25 / 120	9.7
Sum, rounded to a whole point						20

2023 from sb_ca2023_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	81,646	2410.9	− 2432	−21.1	× 24 / 135	−3.8
4	81,647	2469.2	− 2473	−3.8	× 16 / 135	−0.5
5	81,648	2454.4	− 2502	−47.6	× 24 / 135	−8.5
6	81,649	2544.8	− 2531	13.8	× 27 / 135	2.8
7	81,650	2541.4	− 2552	−10.6	× 22 / 135	−1.7
8	81,651	2560.5	− 2567	−6.5	× 22 / 135	−1.1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−13

2024 from sb_ca2024_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	81,658	2438.5	− 2432	6.5	× 13 / 117	0.7
4	81,659	2448.8	− 2473	−24.2	× 24 / 117	−5
5	81,660	2516.7	− 2502	14.7	× 14 / 117	1.8
6	81,661	2497.7	− 2531	−33.3	× 23 / 117	−6.5
7	81,662	2555.9	− 2552	3.9	× 26 / 117	0.9
8	81,663	2573.8	− 2567	6.8	× 17 / 117	1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−7

2025 from sb_ca2025_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	81,326	2434.7	− 2432	2.7	× 16 / 113	0.4
4	81,327	2466.9	− 2473	−6.1	× 14 / 113	−0.8
5	81,328	2542.6	− 2502	40.6	× 20 / 113	7.2
6	81,329	2549.6	− 2531	18.6	× 16 / 113	2.6
7	81,330	2525.7	− 2552	−26.3	× 21 / 113	−4.9
8	81,331	2599.7	− 2567	32.7	× 26 / 113	7.5
Sum, rounded to a whole point						12

Step 2 · The average and the normal range

Average: add the yearly results and divide by how many there are. 7, 2, 7, 16, 30, −6, 20, −13, −7, 12 → 6.8
Typical year-to-year change: how far the result moved from each year to the next, ignoring up or down. 2015→2016: 5 · 2016→2017: 5 · 2017→2018: 9 · 2018→2019: 14 · 2019→2021: 36 · 2021→2022: 26 · 2022→2023: 33 · 2023→2024: 6 · 2024→2025: 19 → average 17
Normal range: multiply the typical change by 2.66, then add it to the average and subtract it. 17 × 2.66 = 45.2. Upper limit 52, lower limit −38.4.

Why 2.66? It is the standard factor from quality control, the work of Walter Shewhart and W. Edwards Deming. It turns "how much the result typically changes in a year" into "how far it can wander by chance alone".

Years with no result (no state tests were given in spring 2020) are skipped: the year-to-year change runs from the last year with a result to the next one.

Step 3 · Free or reduced-price meals

The share of enrolled students eligible for free or reduced-price meals. From 2014–15, 2015–16, 2016–17, 2017–18, 2018–19, 2020–21, 2021–22, 2022–23, 2023–24, 2024–25, 2025–26.