Castle Park Elementary: english

The shaded band is this school's normal range. If nothing about how it works changes, nearly every future year should land inside it. Zero means the typical student just meets the state standard. The small numbers under the years are how many students were tested.

Step 1 · Each year's result

For each grade tested, take the average (mean) scale score from the California Department of Education's results file, and subtract the lowest score that counts as "Standard Met" for that grade. That is the grade's distance from standard. Weight each grade by its share of the students tested, then add the grades up. Grades where the state hides the average because ten or fewer students tested are left out entirely.

2015 from sb_ca2015_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	70,566	2418.6	− 2432	−13.4	× 63 / 251	−3.4
4	70,568	2458.3	− 2473	−14.7	× 59 / 251	−3.5
5	70,570	2468.4	− 2502	−33.6	× 68 / 251	−9.1
6	70,572	2500.8	− 2531	−30.2	× 61 / 251	−7.3
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−23

2016 from sb_ca2016_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	65,395	2433.5	− 2432	1.5	× 48 / 242	0.3
4	65,397	2472.3	− 2473	−0.7	× 61 / 242	−0.2
5	65,400	2502.9	− 2502	0.9	× 66 / 242	0.2
6	65,402	2507.0	− 2531	−24	× 67 / 242	−6.6
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−6

2017 from sb_ca2017_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	67,211	2394.6	− 2432	−37.4	× 58 / 226	−9.6
4	67,214	2456.2	− 2473	−16.8	× 46 / 226	−3.4
5	67,216	2512.6	− 2502	10.6	× 55 / 226	2.6
6	67,217	2504.3	− 2531	−26.7	× 67 / 226	−7.9
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−18

2018 from sb_ca2018_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	67,318	2422.2	− 2432	−9.8	× 49 / 209	−2.3
4	67,320	2426.2	− 2473	−46.8	× 58 / 209	−13
5	67,322	2487.2	− 2502	−14.8	× 47 / 209	−3.3
6	67,324	2530.5	− 2531	−0.5	× 55 / 209	−0.1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−19

2019 from sb_ca2019_1_csv_v4.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	67,828	2420.6	− 2432	−11.4	× 51 / 209	−2.8
4	67,829	2467.5	− 2473	−5.5	× 50 / 209	−1.3
5	67,830	2483.2	− 2502	−18.8	× 60 / 209	−5.4
6	67,831	2517.4	− 2531	−13.6	× 48 / 209	−3.1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−13

2022 from sb_ca2022_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	67,956	2392.7	− 2432	−39.3	× 66 / 224	−11.6
4	67,957	2459.4	− 2473	−13.6	× 60 / 224	−3.6
5	67,958	2485.4	− 2502	−16.6	× 51 / 224	−3.8
6	67,959	2498.1	− 2531	−32.9	× 47 / 224	−6.9
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−26

2023 from sb_ca2023_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	67,974	2367.9	− 2432	−64.1	× 56 / 232	−15.5
4	67,975	2446.6	− 2473	−26.4	× 64 / 232	−7.3
5	67,976	2465.7	− 2502	−36.3	× 59 / 232	−9.2
6	67,977	2511.7	− 2531	−19.3	× 53 / 232	−4.4
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−36

2024 from sb_ca2024_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	67,968	2388.9	− 2432	−43.1	× 43 / 219	−8.5
4	67,969	2468.9	− 2473	−4.1	× 59 / 219	−1.1
5	67,970	2450.7	− 2502	−51.3	× 57 / 219	−13.4
6	67,971	2528.2	− 2531	−2.8	× 60 / 219	−0.8
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−24

2025 from sb_ca2025_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	67,736	2379.1	− 2432	−52.9	× 60 / 201	−15.8
4	67,737	2459.5	− 2473	−13.5	× 41 / 201	−2.8
5	67,738	2468.3	− 2502	−33.7	× 50 / 201	−8.4
6	67,739	2518.1	− 2531	−12.9	× 50 / 201	−3.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−30

Step 2 · The average and the normal range

Average: add the yearly results and divide by how many there are. −23, −6, −18, −19, −13, −26, −36, −24, −30 → −21.7
Typical year-to-year change: how far the result moved from each year to the next, ignoring up or down. 2015→2016: 17 · 2016→2017: 12 · 2017→2018: 1 · 2018→2019: 6 · 2019→2022: 13 · 2022→2023: 10 · 2023→2024: 12 · 2024→2025: 6 → average 9.6
Normal range: multiply the typical change by 2.66, then add it to the average and subtract it. 9.6 × 2.66 = 25.5. Upper limit 3.8, lower limit −47.2.

Why 2.66? It is the standard factor from quality control, the work of Walter Shewhart and W. Edwards Deming. It turns "how much the result typically changes in a year" into "how far it can wander by chance alone".

Years with no result (no state tests were given in spring 2020) are skipped: the year-to-year change runs from the last year with a result to the next one.

Step 3 · Free or reduced-price meals

The share of enrolled students eligible for free or reduced-price meals. From 2014–15, 2015–16, 2016–17, 2017–18, 2018–19, 2020–21, 2021–22, 2022–23, 2023–24, 2024–25, 2025–26.