Theodore Vick Elementary: english

The shaded band is this school's normal range. If nothing about how it works changes, nearly every future year should land inside it. Zero means the typical student just meets the state standard. The small numbers under the years are how many students were tested.

Step 1 · Each year's result

For each grade tested, take the average (mean) scale score from the California Department of Education's results file, and subtract the lowest score that counts as "Standard Met" for that grade. That is the grade's distance from standard. Weight each grade by its share of the students tested, then add the grades up. Grades where the state hides the average because ten or fewer students tested are left out entirely.

2015 from sb_ca2015_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	64,239	2329.2	− 2432	−102.8	× 104 / 485	−22
4	64,240	2379.5	− 2473	−93.5	× 83 / 485	−16
5	64,243	2409.6	− 2502	−92.4	× 92 / 485	−17.5
6	64,244	2458.6	− 2531	−72.4	× 74 / 485	−11
7	64,247	2480.5	− 2552	−71.5	× 73 / 485	−10.8
8	64,248	2535.3	− 2567	−31.7	× 59 / 485	−3.9
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−81

2016 from sb_ca2016_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	59,579	2357.3	− 2432	−74.7	× 97 / 472	−15.4
4	59,581	2370.7	− 2473	−102.3	× 97 / 472	−21
5	59,584	2436.4	− 2502	−65.6	× 94 / 472	−13.1
6	59,585	2468.7	− 2531	−62.3	× 89 / 472	−11.7
7	59,587	2486.9	− 2552	−65.1	× 50 / 472	−6.9
8	59,590	2559.7	− 2567	−7.3	× 45 / 472	−0.7
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−69

2017 from sb_ca2017_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	61,325	2342.0	− 2432	−90	× 100 / 324	−27.8
4	61,326	2382.6	− 2473	−90.4	× 111 / 324	−31
5	61,328	2407.5	− 2502	−94.5	× 113 / 324	−33
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−92

2018 from sb_ca2018_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	61,437	2402.8	− 2432	−29.2	× 87 / 297	−8.6
4	61,439	2397.8	− 2473	−75.2	× 96 / 297	−24.3
5	61,441	2424.6	− 2502	−77.4	× 114 / 297	−29.7
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−63

2019 from sb_ca2019_1_csv_v4.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	61,690	2351.2	− 2432	−80.8	× 94 / 282	−26.9
4	61,691	2430.0	− 2473	−43	× 93 / 282	−14.2
5	61,692	2442.5	− 2502	−59.5	× 95 / 282	−20
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−61

2022 from sb_ca2022_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	61,787	2343.7	− 2432	−88.3	× 94 / 286	−29
4	61,788	2398.4	− 2473	−74.6	× 87 / 286	−22.7
5	61,789	2395.1	− 2502	−106.9	× 105 / 286	−39.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−91

2023 from sb_ca2023_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	61,731	2367.8	− 2432	−64.2	× 82 / 280	−18.8
4	61,732	2383.1	− 2473	−89.9	× 96 / 280	−30.8
5	61,733	2398.5	− 2502	−103.5	× 102 / 280	−37.7
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−87

2024 from sb_ca2024_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	61,682	2352.6	− 2432	−79.4	× 79 / 267	−23.5
4	61,683	2386.8	− 2473	−86.2	× 91 / 267	−29.4
5	61,684	2409.4	− 2502	−92.6	× 97 / 267	−33.6
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−87

2025 from sb_ca2025_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	61,445	2351.2	− 2432	−80.8	× 88 / 261	−27.2
4	61,446	2401.4	− 2473	−71.6	× 73 / 261	−20
5	61,447	2414.9	− 2502	−87.1	× 100 / 261	−33.4
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−81

Step 2 · The average and the normal range

Average: add the yearly results and divide by how many there are. −81, −69, −92, −63, −61, −91, −87, −87, −81 → −79.1
Typical year-to-year change: how far the result moved from each year to the next, ignoring up or down. 2015→2016: 12 · 2016→2017: 23 · 2017→2018: 29 · 2018→2019: 2 · 2019→2022: 30 · 2022→2023: 4 · 2023→2024: 0 · 2024→2025: 6 → average 13.3
Normal range: multiply the typical change by 2.66, then add it to the average and subtract it. 13.3 × 2.66 = 35.4. Upper limit −43.7, lower limit −114.5.

Why 2.66? It is the standard factor from quality control, the work of Walter Shewhart and W. Edwards Deming. It turns "how much the result typically changes in a year" into "how far it can wander by chance alone".

Years with no result (no state tests were given in spring 2020) are skipped: the year-to-year change runs from the last year with a result to the next one.

Step 3 · Free or reduced-price meals

The share of enrolled students eligible for free or reduced-price meals. From 2014–15, 2015–16, 2016–17, 2017–18, 2018–19, 2020–21, 2021–22, 2022–23, 2023–24, 2024–25, 2025–26.