Peter Burnett Elementary: english

The shaded band is this school's normal range. If nothing about how it works changes, nearly every future year should land inside it. Zero means the typical student just meets the state standard. The small numbers under the years are how many students were tested.

Step 1 · Each year's result

For each grade tested, take the average (mean) scale score from the California Department of Education's results file, and subtract the lowest score that counts as "Standard Met" for that grade. That is the grade's distance from standard. Weight each grade by its share of the students tested, then add the grades up. Grades where the state hides the average because ten or fewer students tested are left out entirely.

2015 from sb_ca2015_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	61,733	2358.3	− 2432	−73.7	× 99 / 394	−18.5
4	61,735	2400.0	− 2473	−73	× 108 / 394	−20
5	61,737	2457.6	− 2502	−44.4	× 94 / 394	−10.6
6	61,739	2468.7	− 2531	−62.3	× 93 / 394	−14.7
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−64

2016 from sb_ca2016_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	57,293	2338.8	− 2432	−93.2	× 74 / 374	−18.4
4	57,296	2402.5	− 2473	−70.5	× 108 / 374	−20.4
5	57,298	2439.2	− 2502	−62.8	× 95 / 374	−16
6	57,299	2494.0	− 2531	−37	× 97 / 374	−9.6
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−64

2017 from sb_ca2017_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	58,969	2363.4	− 2432	−68.6	× 70 / 340	−14.1
4	58,970	2419.4	− 2473	−53.6	× 66 / 340	−10.4
5	58,972	2427.4	− 2502	−74.6	× 107 / 340	−23.5
6	58,974	2476.3	− 2531	−54.7	× 97 / 340	−15.6
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−64

2018 from sb_ca2018_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	59,083	2377.4	− 2432	−54.6	× 79 / 331	−13
4	59,086	2402.6	− 2473	−70.4	× 71 / 331	−15.1
5	59,087	2434.9	− 2502	−67.1	× 78 / 331	−15.8
6	59,090	2467.4	− 2531	−63.6	× 103 / 331	−19.8
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−64

2019 from sb_ca2019_1_csv_v4.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	59,334	2372.8	− 2432	−59.2	× 65 / 292	−13.2
4	59,335	2423.2	− 2473	−49.8	× 83 / 292	−14.2
5	59,336	2465.5	− 2502	−36.5	× 64 / 292	−8
6	59,337	2483.6	− 2531	−47.4	× 80 / 292	−13
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−48

2022 from sb_ca2022_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	59,417	2325.3	− 2432	−106.7	× 47 / 240	−20.9
4	59,418	2360.9	− 2473	−112.1	× 63 / 240	−29.4
5	59,419	2402.4	− 2502	−99.6	× 64 / 240	−26.6
6	59,420	2477.6	− 2531	−53.4	× 66 / 240	−14.7
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−92

2023 from sb_ca2023_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	59,375	2347.5	− 2432	−84.5	× 60 / 236	−21.5
4	59,376	2402.1	− 2473	−70.9	× 52 / 236	−15.6
5	59,377	2404.8	− 2502	−97.2	× 63 / 236	−25.9
6	59,378	2446.5	− 2531	−84.5	× 61 / 236	−21.8
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−85

2024 from sb_ca2024_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	59,306	2356.6	− 2432	−75.4	× 60 / 233	−19.4
4	59,307	2404.0	− 2473	−69	× 60 / 233	−17.8
5	59,308	2443.5	− 2502	−58.5	× 54 / 233	−13.6
6	59,309	2436.5	− 2531	−94.5	× 59 / 233	−23.9
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−75

2025 from sb_ca2025_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	59,063	2386.6	− 2432	−45.4	× 56 / 242	−10.5
4	59,064	2421.1	− 2473	−51.9	× 63 / 242	−13.5
5	59,065	2417.8	− 2502	−84.2	× 59 / 242	−20.5
6	59,066	2452.1	− 2531	−78.9	× 64 / 242	−20.9
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−65

Step 2 · The average and the normal range

Average: add the yearly results and divide by how many there are. −64, −64, −64, −64, −48, −92, −85, −75, −65 → −69
Typical year-to-year change: how far the result moved from each year to the next, ignoring up or down. 2015→2016: 0 · 2016→2017: 0 · 2017→2018: 0 · 2018→2019: 16 · 2019→2022: 44 · 2022→2023: 7 · 2023→2024: 10 · 2024→2025: 10 → average 10.9
Normal range: multiply the typical change by 2.66, then add it to the average and subtract it. 10.9 × 2.66 = 29. Upper limit −40, lower limit −98.

Why 2.66? It is the standard factor from quality control, the work of Walter Shewhart and W. Edwards Deming. It turns "how much the result typically changes in a year" into "how far it can wander by chance alone".

Years with no result (no state tests were given in spring 2020) are skipped: the year-to-year change runs from the last year with a result to the next one.

Step 3 · Free or reduced-price meals

The share of enrolled students eligible for free or reduced-price meals. From 2014–15, 2015–16, 2016–17, 2017–18, 2018–19, 2020–21, 2021–22, 2022–23, 2023–24, 2024–25, 2025–26.