Golden Empire Elementary: english

The shaded band is this school's normal range. If nothing about how it works changes, nearly every future year should land inside it. Zero means the typical student just meets the state standard. The small numbers under the years are how many students were tested.

Step 1 · Each year's result

For each grade tested, take the average (mean) scale score from the California Department of Education's results file, and subtract the lowest score that counts as "Standard Met" for that grade. That is the grade's distance from standard. Weight each grade by its share of the students tested, then add the grades up. Grades where the state hides the average because ten or fewer students tested are left out entirely.

2015 from sb_ca2015_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	61,951	2415.4	− 2432	−16.6	× 100 / 355	−4.7
4	61,953	2445.2	− 2473	−27.8	× 92 / 355	−7.2
5	61,955	2502.6	− 2502	0.6	× 83 / 355	0.1
6	61,957	2523.8	− 2531	−7.2	× 80 / 355	−1.6
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−13

2016 from sb_ca2016_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	57,511	2432.8	− 2432	0.8	× 79 / 345	0.2
4	57,513	2456.5	− 2473	−16.5	× 95 / 345	−4.5
5	57,516	2508.2	− 2502	6.2	× 88 / 345	1.6
6	57,518	2537.7	− 2531	6.7	× 83 / 345	1.6
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−1

2017 from sb_ca2017_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	59,189	2417.0	− 2432	−15	× 86 / 358	−3.6
4	59,190	2452.3	− 2473	−20.7	× 83 / 358	−4.8
5	59,193	2478.9	− 2502	−23.1	× 101 / 358	−6.5
6	59,195	2521.3	− 2531	−9.7	× 88 / 358	−2.4
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−17

2018 from sb_ca2018_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	59,303	2408.5	− 2432	−23.5	× 85 / 363	−5.5
4	59,306	2459.9	− 2473	−13.1	× 87 / 363	−3.1
5	59,307	2488.9	− 2502	−13.1	× 86 / 363	−3.1
6	59,310	2528.7	− 2531	−2.3	× 105 / 363	−0.7
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−12

2019 from sb_ca2019_1_csv_v4.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	59,554	2441.9	− 2432	9.9	× 92 / 368	2.5
4	59,555	2474.3	− 2473	1.3	× 91 / 368	0.3
5	59,556	2491.4	− 2502	−10.6	× 97 / 368	−2.8
6	59,557	2532.8	− 2531	1.8	× 88 / 368	0.4
Sum, rounded to a whole point						0

2022 from sb_ca2022_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	59,637	2395.9	− 2432	−36.1	× 76 / 322	−8.5
4	59,638	2442.9	− 2473	−30.1	× 70 / 322	−6.5
5	59,639	2454.4	− 2502	−47.6	× 82 / 322	−12.1
6	59,640	2501.9	− 2531	−29.1	× 94 / 322	−8.5
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−36

2023 from sb_ca2023_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	59,595	2412.2	− 2432	−19.8	× 60 / 274	−4.3
4	59,596	2436.2	− 2473	−36.8	× 72 / 274	−9.7
5	59,597	2514.0	− 2502	12	× 59 / 274	2.6
6	59,598	2463.3	− 2531	−67.7	× 83 / 274	−20.5
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−32

2024 from sb_ca2024_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	59,526	2389.1	− 2432	−42.9	× 67 / 255	−11.3
4	59,527	2448.0	− 2473	−25	× 63 / 255	−6.2
5	59,528	2486.0	− 2502	−16	× 64 / 255	−4
6	59,529	2524.7	− 2531	−6.3	× 61 / 255	−1.5
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−23

2025 from sb_ca2025_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	59,283	2424.9	− 2432	−7.1	× 58 / 236	−1.7
4	59,284	2422.6	− 2473	−50.4	× 61 / 236	−13
5	59,285	2515.8	− 2502	13.8	× 54 / 236	3.2
6	59,286	2510.3	− 2531	−20.7	× 63 / 236	−5.5
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−17

Step 2 · The average and the normal range

Average: add the yearly results and divide by how many there are. −13, −1, −17, −12, 0, −36, −32, −23, −17 → −16.8
Typical year-to-year change: how far the result moved from each year to the next, ignoring up or down. 2015→2016: 12 · 2016→2017: 16 · 2017→2018: 5 · 2018→2019: 12 · 2019→2022: 36 · 2022→2023: 4 · 2023→2024: 9 · 2024→2025: 6 → average 12.5
Normal range: multiply the typical change by 2.66, then add it to the average and subtract it. 12.5 × 2.66 = 33.3. Upper limit 16.5, lower limit −50.1.

Why 2.66? It is the standard factor from quality control, the work of Walter Shewhart and W. Edwards Deming. It turns "how much the result typically changes in a year" into "how far it can wander by chance alone".

Years with no result (no state tests were given in spring 2020) are skipped: the year-to-year change runs from the last year with a result to the next one.

Step 3 · Free or reduced-price meals

The share of enrolled students eligible for free or reduced-price meals. From 2014–15, 2015–16, 2016–17, 2017–18, 2018–19, 2020–21, 2021–22, 2022–23, 2023–24, 2024–25, 2025–26.