Saul Martinez Elementary: english

The shaded band is this school's normal range. If nothing about how it works changes, nearly every future year should land inside it. Zero means the typical student just meets the state standard. The small numbers under the years are how many students were tested.

Step 1 · Each year's result

For each grade tested, take the average (mean) scale score from the California Department of Education's results file, and subtract the lowest score that counts as "Standard Met" for that grade. That is the grade's distance from standard. Weight each grade by its share of the students tested, then add the grades up. Grades where the state hides the average because ten or fewer students tested are left out entirely.

2015 from sb_ca2015_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	58,860	2346.6	− 2432	−85.4	× 163 / 641	−21.7
4	58,862	2390.9	− 2473	−82.1	× 148 / 641	−19
5	58,864	2431.8	− 2502	−70.2	× 173 / 641	−18.9
6	58,866	2472.7	− 2531	−58.3	× 157 / 641	−14.3
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−74

2016 from sb_ca2016_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	54,618	2358.7	− 2432	−73.3	× 154 / 635	−17.8
4	54,619	2408.2	− 2473	−64.8	× 167 / 635	−17
5	54,621	2435.3	− 2502	−66.7	× 145 / 635	−15.2
6	54,624	2467.8	− 2531	−63.2	× 169 / 635	−16.8
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−67

2017 from sb_ca2017_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	56,209	2384.1	− 2432	−47.9	× 143 / 595	−11.5
4	56,210	2420.7	− 2473	−52.3	× 151 / 595	−13.3
5	56,213	2430.4	− 2502	−71.6	× 161 / 595	−19.4
6	56,214	2473.8	− 2531	−57.2	× 140 / 595	−13.5
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−58

2018 from sb_ca2018_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	56,307	2384.4	− 2432	−47.6	× 152 / 610	−11.9
4	56,310	2441.2	− 2473	−31.8	× 152 / 610	−7.9
5	56,311	2454.2	− 2502	−47.8	× 146 / 610	−11.4
6	56,314	2461.3	− 2531	−69.7	× 160 / 610	−18.3
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−50

2019 from sb_ca2019_1_csv_v4.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	56,562	2393.0	− 2432	−39	× 149 / 599	−9.7
4	56,563	2431.9	− 2473	−41.1	× 157 / 599	−10.8
5	56,564	2447.3	− 2502	−54.7	× 152 / 599	−13.9
6	56,565	2480.2	− 2531	−50.8	× 141 / 599	−12
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−46

2021 from sb_ca2021_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	55,305	2336.5	− 2432	−95.5	× 151 / 542	−26.6
4	55,306	2394.2	− 2473	−78.8	× 122 / 542	−17.7
5	55,307	2418.7	− 2502	−83.3	× 132 / 542	−20.3
6	55,308	2466.9	− 2531	−64.1	× 137 / 542	−16.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−81

2022 from sb_ca2022_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	56,640	2355.9	− 2432	−76.1	× 131 / 537	−18.6
4	56,641	2409.7	− 2473	−63.3	× 156 / 537	−18.4
5	56,642	2446.3	− 2502	−55.7	× 119 / 537	−12.3
6	56,643	2491.4	− 2531	−39.6	× 131 / 537	−9.7
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−59

2023 from sb_ca2023_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	56,601	2353.9	− 2432	−78.1	× 154 / 577	−20.8
4	56,602	2420.3	− 2473	−52.7	× 135 / 577	−12.3
5	56,603	2422.2	− 2502	−79.8	× 161 / 577	−22.3
6	56,604	2496.3	− 2531	−34.7	× 127 / 577	−7.6
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−63

2024 from sb_ca2024_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	56,489	2356.7	− 2432	−75.3	× 126 / 575	−16.5
4	56,490	2412.5	− 2473	−60.5	× 156 / 575	−16.4
5	56,491	2449.4	− 2502	−52.6	× 135 / 575	−12.3
6	56,492	2463.7	− 2531	−67.3	× 158 / 575	−18.5
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−64

2025 from sb_ca2025_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	56,245	2365.7	− 2432	−66.3	× 138 / 579	−15.8
4	56,246	2411.8	− 2473	−61.2	× 133 / 579	−14.1
5	56,247	2436.2	− 2502	−65.8	× 172 / 579	−19.5
6	56,248	2490.5	− 2531	−40.5	× 136 / 579	−9.5
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−59

Step 2 · The average and the normal range

Average: add the yearly results and divide by how many there are. −74, −67, −58, −50, −46, −81, −59, −63, −64, −59 → −62.1
Typical year-to-year change: how far the result moved from each year to the next, ignoring up or down. 2015→2016: 7 · 2016→2017: 9 · 2017→2018: 8 · 2018→2019: 4 · 2019→2021: 35 · 2021→2022: 22 · 2022→2023: 4 · 2023→2024: 1 · 2024→2025: 5 → average 10.6
Normal range: multiply the typical change by 2.66, then add it to the average and subtract it. 10.6 × 2.66 = 28.2. Upper limit −33.9, lower limit −90.3.

Why 2.66? It is the standard factor from quality control, the work of Walter Shewhart and W. Edwards Deming. It turns "how much the result typically changes in a year" into "how far it can wander by chance alone".

Years with no result (no state tests were given in spring 2020) are skipped: the year-to-year change runs from the last year with a result to the next one.

Step 3 · Free or reduced-price meals

The share of enrolled students eligible for free or reduced-price meals. From 2014–15, 2015–16, 2016–17, 2017–18, 2018–19, 2020–21, 2021–22, 2022–23, 2023–24, 2024–25, 2025–26.