Salinas City Elementary: english

The shaded band is this district's normal range. If nothing about how it works changes, nearly every future year should land inside it. Zero means the typical student just meets the state standard. The small numbers under the years are how many students were tested.

Step 1 · Each year's result

For each grade tested, take the average (mean) scale score from the California Department of Education's results file, and subtract the lowest score that counts as "Standard Met" for that grade. That is the grade's distance from standard. Weight each grade by its share of the students tested, then add the grades up. Grades where the state hides the average because ten or fewer students tested are left out entirely.

2015 from sb_ca2015_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	46,038	2355.3	− 2432	−76.7	× 1296 / 5030	−19.8
4	46,039	2395.8	− 2473	−77.2	× 1329 / 5030	−20.4
5	46,042	2437.3	− 2502	−64.7	× 1209 / 5030	−15.6
6	46,043	2475.6	− 2531	−55.4	× 1196 / 5030	−13.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−69

2016 from sb_ca2016_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	42,739	2358.9	− 2432	−73.1	× 1297 / 5086	−18.6
4	42,741	2398.4	− 2473	−74.6	× 1277 / 5086	−18.7
5	42,743	2443.4	− 2502	−58.6	× 1299 / 5086	−15
6	42,746	2474.9	− 2531	−56.1	× 1213 / 5086	−13.4
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−66

2017 from sb_ca2017_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	43,809	2370.3	− 2432	−61.7	× 1253 / 5116	−15.1
4	43,811	2405.9	− 2473	−67.1	× 1303 / 5116	−17.1
5	43,812	2433.5	− 2502	−68.5	× 1267 / 5116	−17
6	43,815	2488.3	− 2531	−42.7	× 1293 / 5116	−10.8
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−60

2018 from sb_ca2018_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	43,832	2382.3	− 2432	−49.7	× 1191 / 4993	−11.9
4	43,833	2417.8	− 2473	−55.2	× 1259 / 4993	−13.9
5	43,836	2449.1	− 2502	−52.9	× 1289 / 4993	−13.7
6	43,837	2486.0	− 2531	−45	× 1254 / 4993	−11.3
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−51

2019 from sb_ca2019_1_csv_v4.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	43,954	2383.9	− 2432	−48.1	× 1193 / 4916	−11.7
4	43,955	2428.2	− 2473	−44.8	× 1202 / 4916	−11
5	43,956	2449.8	− 2502	−52.2	× 1257 / 4916	−13.3
6	43,957	2493.6	− 2531	−37.4	× 1264 / 4916	−9.6
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−46

2022 from sb_ca2022_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	43,688	2358.4	− 2432	−73.6	× 1137 / 4621	−18.1
4	43,689	2410.8	− 2473	−62.2	× 1117 / 4621	−15
5	43,690	2441.7	− 2502	−60.3	× 1206 / 4621	−15.7
6	43,691	2478.6	− 2531	−52.4	× 1161 / 4621	−13.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−62

2023 from sb_ca2023_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	43,680	2357.8	− 2432	−74.2	× 1128 / 4563	−18.3
4	43,681	2394.4	− 2473	−78.6	× 1145 / 4563	−19.7
5	43,682	2441.1	− 2502	−60.9	× 1108 / 4563	−14.8
6	43,683	2475.8	− 2531	−55.2	× 1182 / 4563	−14.3
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−67

2024 from sb_ca2024_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	43,502	2355.0	− 2432	−77	× 1171 / 4542	−19.9
4	43,503	2387.1	− 2473	−85.9	× 1126 / 4542	−21.3
5	43,504	2442.8	− 2502	−59.2	× 1141 / 4542	−14.9
6	43,505	2481.8	− 2531	−49.2	× 1104 / 4542	−12
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−68

2025 from sb_ca2025_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	43,251	2356.2	− 2432	−75.8	× 1142 / 4575	−18.9
4	43,252	2394.2	− 2473	−78.8	× 1163 / 4575	−20
5	43,253	2446.7	− 2502	−55.3	× 1126 / 4575	−13.6
6	43,254	2482.1	− 2531	−48.9	× 1144 / 4575	−12.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−65

Step 2 · The average and the normal range

Average: add the yearly results and divide by how many there are. −69, −66, −60, −51, −46, −62, −67, −68, −65 → −61.6
Typical year-to-year change: how far the result moved from each year to the next, ignoring up or down. 2015→2016: 3 · 2016→2017: 6 · 2017→2018: 9 · 2018→2019: 5 · 2019→2022: 16 · 2022→2023: 5 · 2023→2024: 1 · 2024→2025: 3 → average 6
Normal range: multiply the typical change by 2.66, then add it to the average and subtract it. 6 × 2.66 = 16. Upper limit −45.6, lower limit −77.6.

Why 2.66? It is the standard factor from quality control, the work of Walter Shewhart and W. Edwards Deming. It turns "how much the result typically changes in a year" into "how far it can wander by chance alone".

Years with no result (no state tests were given in spring 2020) are skipped: the year-to-year change runs from the last year with a result to the next one.

Step 3 · Free or reduced-price meals

The share of enrolled students eligible for free or reduced-price meals — for a district, the total across its schools. From 2014–15, 2015–16, 2016–17, 2017–18, 2018–19, 2020–21, 2021–22, 2022–23, 2023–24, 2024–25, 2025–26.