Monte Bella Elementary: english

The shaded band is this school's normal range. If nothing about how it works changes, nearly every future year should land inside it. Zero means the typical student just meets the state standard. The small numbers under the years are how many students were tested.

Step 1 · Each year's result

For each grade tested, take the average (mean) scale score from the California Department of Education's results file, and subtract the lowest score that counts as "Standard Met" for that grade. That is the grade's distance from standard. Weight each grade by its share of the students tested, then add the grades up. Grades where the state hides the average because ten or fewer students tested are left out entirely.

2015 from sb_ca2015_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	45,360	2339.9	− 2432	−92.1	× 89 / 290	−28.3
4	45,361	2377.2	− 2473	−95.8	× 76 / 290	−25.1
5	45,364	2438.8	− 2502	−63.2	× 68 / 290	−14.8
6	45,365	2491.6	− 2531	−39.4	× 57 / 290	−7.7
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−76

2016 from sb_ca2016_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	42,061	2354.7	− 2432	−77.3	× 79 / 320	−19.1
4	42,063	2390.6	− 2473	−82.4	× 99 / 320	−25.5
5	42,065	2451.3	− 2502	−50.7	× 72 / 320	−11.4
6	42,068	2460.7	− 2531	−70.3	× 70 / 320	−15.4
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−71

2017 from sb_ca2017_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	43,103	2367.1	− 2432	−64.9	× 99 / 331	−19.4
4	43,104	2393.0	− 2473	−80	× 93 / 331	−22.5
5	43,107	2468.8	− 2502	−33.2	× 101 / 331	−10.1
6	43,109	2485.1	− 2531	−45.9	× 38 / 331	−5.3
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−57

2018 from sb_ca2018_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	43,109	2377.9	− 2432	−54.1	× 105 / 399	−14.2
4	43,112	2439.5	− 2473	−33.5	× 103 / 399	−8.6
5	43,113	2480.9	− 2502	−21.1	× 89 / 399	−4.7
6	43,116	2513.0	− 2531	−18	× 102 / 399	−4.6
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−32

2019 from sb_ca2019_1_csv_v4.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	43,228	2385.3	− 2432	−46.7	× 114 / 416	−12.8
4	43,229	2416.9	− 2473	−56.1	× 101 / 416	−13.6
5	43,230	2473.9	− 2502	−28.1	× 108 / 416	−7.3
6	43,231	2521.3	− 2531	−9.7	× 93 / 416	−2.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−36

2022 from sb_ca2022_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	42,968	2371.5	− 2432	−60.5	× 128 / 455	−17
4	42,969	2426.5	− 2473	−46.5	× 95 / 455	−9.7
5	42,970	2480.0	− 2502	−22	× 131 / 455	−6.3
6	42,971	2524.6	− 2531	−6.4	× 101 / 455	−1.4
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−34

2023 from sb_ca2023_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	42,976	2388.4	− 2432	−43.6	× 119 / 479	−10.8
4	42,977	2401.7	− 2473	−71.3	× 129 / 479	−19.2
5	42,978	2482.5	− 2502	−19.5	× 94 / 479	−3.8
6	42,979	2506.0	− 2531	−25	× 137 / 479	−7.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−41

2024 from sb_ca2024_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	42,804	2383.3	− 2432	−48.7	× 108 / 448	−11.7
4	42,805	2409.0	− 2473	−64	× 123 / 448	−17.6
5	42,806	2466.0	− 2502	−36	× 129 / 448	−10.4
6	42,807	2545.7	− 2531	14.7	× 88 / 448	2.9
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−37

2025 from sb_ca2025_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	42,559	2389.9	− 2432	−42.1	× 104 / 464	−9.4
4	42,560	2414.5	− 2473	−58.5	× 112 / 464	−14.1
5	42,561	2500.6	− 2502	−1.4	× 122 / 464	−0.4
6	42,562	2510.8	− 2531	−20.2	× 126 / 464	−5.5
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−29

Step 2 · The average and the normal range

Average: add the yearly results and divide by how many there are. −76, −71, −57, −32, −36, −34, −41, −37, −29 → −45.9
Typical year-to-year change: how far the result moved from each year to the next, ignoring up or down. 2015→2016: 5 · 2016→2017: 14 · 2017→2018: 25 · 2018→2019: 4 · 2019→2022: 2 · 2022→2023: 7 · 2023→2024: 4 · 2024→2025: 8 → average 8.6
Normal range: multiply the typical change by 2.66, then add it to the average and subtract it. 8.6 × 2.66 = 22.9. Upper limit −23, lower limit −68.8.

Why 2.66? It is the standard factor from quality control, the work of Walter Shewhart and W. Edwards Deming. It turns "how much the result typically changes in a year" into "how far it can wander by chance alone".

Years with no result (no state tests were given in spring 2020) are skipped: the year-to-year change runs from the last year with a result to the next one.

Step 3 · Free or reduced-price meals

The share of enrolled students eligible for free or reduced-price meals. From 2014–15, 2015–16, 2016–17, 2017–18, 2018–19, 2020–21, 2021–22, 2022–23, 2023–24, 2024–25, 2025–26.