Vine Street Elementary: english

The shaded band is this school's normal range. If nothing about how it works changes, nearly every future year should land inside it. Zero means the typical student just meets the state standard. The small numbers under the years are how many students were tested.

Step 1 · Each year's result

For each grade tested, take the average (mean) scale score from the California Department of Education's results file, and subtract the lowest score that counts as "Standard Met" for that grade. That is the grade's distance from standard. Weight each grade by its share of the students tested, then add the grades up. Grades where the state hides the average because ten or fewer students tested are left out entirely.

2015 from sb_ca2015_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	32,558	2357.5	− 2432	−74.5	× 80 / 294	−20.3
4	32,560	2401.3	− 2473	−71.7	× 90 / 294	−21.9
5	32,562	2445.0	− 2502	−57	× 78 / 294	−15.1
6	32,564	2463.5	− 2531	−67.5	× 46 / 294	−10.6
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−68

2016 from sb_ca2016_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	30,769	2386.8	− 2432	−45.2	× 70 / 305	−10.4
4	30,771	2418.0	− 2473	−55	× 92 / 305	−16.6
5	30,773	2444.4	− 2502	−57.6	× 81 / 305	−15.3
6	30,776	2483.9	− 2531	−47.1	× 62 / 305	−9.6
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−52

2017 from sb_ca2017_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	31,335	2352.7	− 2432	−79.3	× 56 / 290	−15.3
4	31,336	2415.1	− 2473	−57.9	× 76 / 290	−15.2
5	31,339	2441.8	− 2502	−60.2	× 92 / 290	−19.1
6	31,340	2474.5	− 2531	−56.5	× 66 / 290	−12.9
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−62

2018 from sb_ca2018_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	31,382	2364.6	− 2432	−67.4	× 63 / 271	−15.7
4	31,384	2425.8	− 2473	−47.2	× 63 / 271	−11
5	31,386	2446.3	− 2502	−55.7	× 76 / 271	−15.6
6	31,388	2452.9	− 2531	−78.1	× 69 / 271	−19.9
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−62

2019 from sb_ca2019_1_csv_v4.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	31,553	2369.4	− 2432	−62.6	× 58 / 252	−14.4
4	31,554	2418.1	− 2473	−54.9	× 66 / 252	−14.4
5	31,555	2443.4	− 2502	−58.6	× 66 / 252	−15.3
6	31,556	2487.9	− 2531	−43.1	× 62 / 252	−10.6
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−55

2022 from sb_ca2022_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	31,570	2390.3	− 2432	−41.7	× 44 / 181	−10.1
4	31,571	2465.7	− 2473	−7.3	× 43 / 181	−1.7
5	31,572	2470.4	− 2502	−31.6	× 51 / 181	−8.9
6	31,573	2510.0	− 2531	−21	× 43 / 181	−5
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−26

2023 from sb_ca2023_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	31,627	2418.9	− 2432	−13.1	× 31 / 158	−2.6
4	31,628	2437.5	− 2473	−35.5	× 43 / 158	−9.7
5	31,629	2484.0	− 2502	−18	× 44 / 158	−5
6	31,630	2487.9	− 2531	−43.1	× 40 / 158	−10.9
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−28

2024 from sb_ca2024_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	31,493	2419.5	− 2432	−12.5	× 29 / 134	−2.7
4	31,494	2469.0	− 2473	−4	× 29 / 134	−0.9
5	31,495	2457.0	− 2502	−45	× 43 / 134	−14.4
6	31,496	2522.2	− 2531	−8.8	× 33 / 134	−2.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−20

2025 from sb_ca2025_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	31,352	2422.1	− 2432	−9.9	× 32 / 132	−2.4
4	31,353	2457.4	− 2473	−15.6	× 30 / 132	−3.5
5	31,354	2512.4	− 2502	10.4	× 34 / 132	2.7
6	31,355	2515.9	− 2531	−15.1	× 36 / 132	−4.1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−7

Step 2 · The average and the normal range

Average: add the yearly results and divide by how many there are. −68, −52, −62, −62, −55, −26, −28, −20, −7 → −42.2
Typical year-to-year change: how far the result moved from each year to the next, ignoring up or down. 2015→2016: 16 · 2016→2017: 10 · 2017→2018: 0 · 2018→2019: 7 · 2019→2022: 29 · 2022→2023: 2 · 2023→2024: 8 · 2024→2025: 13 → average 10.6
Normal range: multiply the typical change by 2.66, then add it to the average and subtract it. 10.6 × 2.66 = 28.2. Upper limit −14, lower limit −70.4.

Why 2.66? It is the standard factor from quality control, the work of Walter Shewhart and W. Edwards Deming. It turns "how much the result typically changes in a year" into "how far it can wander by chance alone".

Years with no result (no state tests were given in spring 2020) are skipped: the year-to-year change runs from the last year with a result to the next one.

Step 3 · Free or reduced-price meals

The share of enrolled students eligible for free or reduced-price meals. From 2014–15, 2015–16, 2016–17, 2017–18, 2018–19, 2020–21, 2021–22, 2022–23, 2023–24, 2024–25, 2025–26.