San Pascual Elementary Science Technology Engineer: english

The shaded band is this school's normal range. If nothing about how it works changes, nearly every future year should land inside it. Zero means the typical student just meets the state standard. The small numbers under the years are how many students were tested.

Step 1 · Each year's result

For each grade tested, take the average (mean) scale score from the California Department of Education's results file, and subtract the lowest score that counts as "Standard Met" for that grade. That is the grade's distance from standard. Weight each grade by its share of the students tested, then add the grades up. Grades where the state hides the average because ten or fewer students tested are left out entirely.

2015 from sb_ca2015_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	31,916	2367.1	− 2432	−64.9	× 34 / 119	−18.5
4	31,917	2390.5	− 2473	−82.5	× 31 / 119	−21.5
5	31,920	2431.0	− 2502	−71	× 33 / 119	−19.7
6	31,921	2520.0	− 2531	−11	× 21 / 119	−1.9
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−62

2016 from sb_ca2016_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	30,132	2422.7	− 2432	−9.3	× 27 / 120	−2.1
4	30,133	2455.9	− 2473	−17.1	× 35 / 120	−5
5	30,136	2477.2	− 2502	−24.8	× 24 / 120	−5
6	30,137	2528.5	− 2531	−2.5	× 34 / 120	−0.7
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−13

2017 from sb_ca2017_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	30,696	2424.1	− 2432	−7.9	× 39 / 125	−2.5
4	30,699	2460.5	− 2473	−12.5	× 26 / 125	−2.6
5	30,700	2473.1	− 2502	−28.9	× 35 / 125	−8.1
6	30,702	2519.6	− 2531	−11.4	× 25 / 125	−2.3
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−15

2018 from sb_ca2018_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	30,746	2427.3	− 2432	−4.7	× 36 / 105	−1.6
4	30,748	2468.5	− 2473	−4.5	× 40 / 105	−1.7
5	30,750	2481.0	− 2502	−21	× 29 / 105	−5.8
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−9

2019 from sb_ca2019_1_csv_v4.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	30,917	2431.9	− 2432	−0.1	× 50 / 137	0
4	30,918	2463.9	− 2473	−9.1	× 37 / 137	−2.5
5	30,919	2499.9	− 2502	−2.1	× 50 / 137	−0.8
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−3

2022 from sb_ca2022_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	30,944	2399.7	− 2432	−32.3	× 37 / 109	−11
4	30,945	2489.9	− 2473	16.9	× 34 / 109	5.3
5	30,946	2514.5	− 2502	12.5	× 38 / 109	4.4
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−1

2023 from sb_ca2023_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	31,001	2399.0	− 2432	−33	× 35 / 108	−10.7
4	31,002	2441.6	− 2473	−31.4	× 39 / 108	−11.3
5	31,003	2538.8	− 2502	36.8	× 34 / 108	11.6
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−10

2024 from sb_ca2024_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	30,867	2402.2	− 2432	−29.8	× 40 / 115	−10.4
4	30,868	2439.0	− 2473	−34	× 37 / 115	−10.9
5	30,869	2488.5	− 2502	−13.5	× 38 / 115	−4.5
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−26

2025 from sb_ca2025_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	30,726	2407.5	− 2432	−24.5	× 30 / 108	−6.8
4	30,727	2459.3	− 2473	−13.7	× 43 / 108	−5.5
5	30,728	2516.0	− 2502	14	× 35 / 108	4.5
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−8

Step 2 · The average and the normal range

Average: add the yearly results and divide by how many there are. −62, −13, −15, −9, −3, −1, −10, −26, −8 → −16.3
Typical year-to-year change: how far the result moved from each year to the next, ignoring up or down. 2015→2016: 49 · 2016→2017: 2 · 2017→2018: 6 · 2018→2019: 6 · 2019→2022: 2 · 2022→2023: 9 · 2023→2024: 16 · 2024→2025: 18 → average 13.5
Normal range: multiply the typical change by 2.66, then add it to the average and subtract it. 13.5 × 2.66 = 35.9. Upper limit 19.6, lower limit −52.2.

Why 2.66? It is the standard factor from quality control, the work of Walter Shewhart and W. Edwards Deming. It turns "how much the result typically changes in a year" into "how far it can wander by chance alone".

Years with no result (no state tests were given in spring 2020) are skipped: the year-to-year change runs from the last year with a result to the next one.

Step 3 · Free or reduced-price meals

The share of enrolled students eligible for free or reduced-price meals. From 2014–15, 2015–16, 2016–17, 2017–18, 2018–19, 2020–21, 2021–22, 2022–23, 2023–24, 2024–25, 2025–26.