Martin Luther King Elementary: english

The shaded band is this school's normal range. If nothing about how it works changes, nearly every future year should land inside it. Zero means the typical student just meets the state standard. The small numbers under the years are how many students were tested.

Step 1 · Each year's result

For each grade tested, take the average (mean) scale score from the California Department of Education's results file, and subtract the lowest score that counts as "Standard Met" for that grade. That is the grade's distance from standard. Weight each grade by its share of the students tested, then add the grades up. Grades where the state hides the average because ten or fewer students tested are left out entirely.

2015 from sb_ca2015_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	39,149	2354.3	− 2432	−77.7	× 100 / 300	−25.9
4	39,152	2402.4	− 2473	−70.6	× 85 / 300	−20
5	39,153	2449.9	− 2502	−52.1	× 75 / 300	−13
6	39,156	2469.3	− 2531	−61.7	× 40 / 300	−8.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−67

2016 from sb_ca2016_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	36,341	2364.5	− 2432	−67.5	× 84 / 297	−19.1
4	36,343	2387.0	− 2473	−86	× 96 / 297	−27.8
5	36,344	2436.3	− 2502	−65.7	× 85 / 297	−18.8
6	36,347	2506.5	− 2531	−24.5	× 32 / 297	−2.6
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−68

2017 from sb_ca2017_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	37,105	2349.4	− 2432	−82.6	× 83 / 281	−24.4
4	37,106	2366.9	− 2473	−106.1	× 81 / 281	−30.6
5	37,109	2413.5	− 2502	−88.5	× 89 / 281	−28
6	37,111	2474.0	− 2531	−57	× 28 / 281	−5.7
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−89

2018 from sb_ca2018_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	37,062	2374.8	− 2432	−57.2	× 93 / 306	−17.4
4	37,065	2394.1	− 2473	−78.9	× 90 / 306	−23.2
5	37,066	2418.9	− 2502	−83.1	× 89 / 306	−24.2
6	37,069	2457.2	− 2531	−73.8	× 34 / 306	−8.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−73

2019 from sb_ca2019_1_csv_v4.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	37,261	2398.5	− 2432	−33.5	× 91 / 309	−9.9
4	37,262	2414.8	− 2473	−58.2	× 92 / 309	−17.3
5	37,263	2438.4	− 2502	−63.6	× 93 / 309	−19.1
6	37,264	2505.2	− 2531	−25.8	× 33 / 309	−2.8
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−49

2022 from sb_ca2022_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	37,180	2347.0	− 2432	−85	× 75 / 218	−29.2
4	37,181	2412.7	− 2473	−60.3	× 68 / 218	−18.8
5	37,182	2456.1	− 2502	−45.9	× 53 / 218	−11.2
6	37,183	2591.4	− 2531	60.4	× 22 / 218	6.1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−53

2023 from sb_ca2023_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	37,213	2382.9	− 2432	−49.1	× 50 / 194	−12.7
4	37,214	2434.1	− 2473	−38.9	× 73 / 194	−14.6
5	37,215	2454.2	− 2502	−47.8	× 57 / 194	−14
6	37,216	2454.8	− 2531	−76.2	× 14 / 194	−5.5
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−47

2024 from sb_ca2024_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	37,063	2394.2	− 2432	−37.8	× 46 / 178	−9.8
4	37,064	2395.5	− 2473	−77.5	× 46 / 178	−20
5	37,065	2429.7	− 2502	−72.3	× 66 / 178	−26.8
6	37,066	2519.9	− 2531	−11.1	× 20 / 178	−1.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−58

2025 from sb_ca2025_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	36,900	2426.7	− 2432	−5.3	× 57 / 181	−1.7
4	36,901	2455.9	− 2473	−17.1	× 46 / 181	−4.3
5	36,902	2457.6	− 2502	−44.4	× 51 / 181	−12.5
6	36,903	2540.1	− 2531	9.1	× 27 / 181	1.4
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−17

Step 2 · The average and the normal range

Average: add the yearly results and divide by how many there are. −67, −68, −89, −73, −49, −53, −47, −58, −17 → −57.9
Typical year-to-year change: how far the result moved from each year to the next, ignoring up or down. 2015→2016: 1 · 2016→2017: 21 · 2017→2018: 16 · 2018→2019: 24 · 2019→2022: 4 · 2022→2023: 6 · 2023→2024: 11 · 2024→2025: 41 → average 15.5
Normal range: multiply the typical change by 2.66, then add it to the average and subtract it. 15.5 × 2.66 = 41.2. Upper limit −16.7, lower limit −99.1.

Why 2.66? It is the standard factor from quality control, the work of Walter Shewhart and W. Edwards Deming. It turns "how much the result typically changes in a year" into "how far it can wander by chance alone".

Years with no result (no state tests were given in spring 2020) are skipped: the year-to-year change runs from the last year with a result to the next one.

Step 3 · Free or reduced-price meals

The share of enrolled students eligible for free or reduced-price meals. From 2014–15, 2015–16, 2016–17, 2017–18, 2018–19, 2020–21, 2021–22, 2022–23, 2023–24, 2024–25, 2025–26.