Furgeson (Venn W.) Elementary: english

The shaded band is this school's normal range. If nothing about how it works changes, nearly every future year should land inside it. Zero means the typical student just meets the state standard. The small numbers under the years are how many students were tested.

Step 1 · Each year's result

For each grade tested, take the average (mean) scale score from the California Department of Education's results file, and subtract the lowest score that counts as "Standard Met" for that grade. That is the grade's distance from standard. Weight each grade by its share of the students tested, then add the grades up. Grades where the state hides the average because ten or fewer students tested are left out entirely.

2015 from sb_ca2015_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	20,527	2382.3	− 2432	−49.7	× 59 / 202	−14.5
4	20,530	2433.7	− 2473	−39.3	× 52 / 202	−10.1
5	20,531	2476.3	− 2502	−25.7	× 43 / 202	−5.5
6	20,534	2520.6	− 2531	−10.4	× 48 / 202	−2.5
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−33

2016 from sb_ca2016_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	19,486	2419.1	− 2432	−12.9	× 64 / 210	−3.9
4	19,488	2448.3	− 2473	−24.7	× 54 / 210	−6.4
5	19,491	2503.5	− 2502	1.5	× 52 / 210	0.4
6	19,493	2499.1	− 2531	−31.9	× 40 / 210	−6.1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−16

2017 from sb_ca2017_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	19,781	2399.9	− 2432	−32.1	× 53 / 216	−7.9
4	19,782	2463.2	− 2473	−9.8	× 58 / 216	−2.6
5	19,785	2493.2	− 2502	−8.8	× 57 / 216	−2.3
6	19,786	2526.1	− 2531	−4.9	× 48 / 216	−1.1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−14

2018 from sb_ca2018_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	19,780	2423.9	− 2432	−8.1	× 55 / 213	−2.1
4	19,782	2462.0	− 2473	−11	× 50 / 213	−2.6
5	19,784	2515.3	− 2502	13.3	× 56 / 213	3.5
6	19,786	2519.5	− 2531	−11.5	× 52 / 213	−2.8
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−4

2019 from sb_ca2019_1_csv_v4.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	19,959	2427.2	− 2432	−4.8	× 51 / 205	−1.2
4	19,960	2468.0	− 2473	−5	× 57 / 205	−1.4
5	19,961	2516.9	− 2502	14.9	× 43 / 205	3.1
6	19,962	2536.9	− 2531	5.9	× 54 / 205	1.6
Sum, rounded to a whole point						2

2022 from sb_ca2022_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	19,982	2346.2	− 2432	−85.8	× 44 / 170	−22.2
4	19,983	2418.7	− 2473	−54.3	× 34 / 170	−10.9
5	19,984	2482.9	− 2502	−19.1	× 49 / 170	−5.5
6	19,985	2548.8	− 2531	17.8	× 43 / 170	4.5
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−34

2023 from sb_ca2023_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	19,957	2373.8	− 2432	−58.2	× 38 / 163	−13.6
4	19,958	2432.5	− 2473	−40.5	× 42 / 163	−10.4
5	19,959	2483.9	− 2502	−18.1	× 37 / 163	−4.1
6	19,960	2488.8	− 2531	−42.2	× 46 / 163	−11.9
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−40

2024 from sb_ca2024_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	19,893	2346.9	− 2432	−85.1	× 37 / 145	−21.7
4	19,894	2449.9	− 2473	−23.1	× 34 / 145	−5.4
5	19,895	2476.5	− 2502	−25.5	× 40 / 145	−7
6	19,896	2493.2	− 2531	−37.8	× 34 / 145	−8.9
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−43

2025 from sb_ca2025_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	19,830	2394.3	− 2432	−37.7	× 35 / 141	−9.4
4	19,831	2406.3	− 2473	−66.7	× 31 / 141	−14.7
5	19,832	2480.9	− 2502	−21.1	× 36 / 141	−5.4
6	19,833	2458.8	− 2531	−72.2	× 39 / 141	−20
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−49

Step 2 · The average and the normal range

Average: add the yearly results and divide by how many there are. −33, −16, −14, −4, 2, −34, −40, −43, −49 → −25.7
Typical year-to-year change: how far the result moved from each year to the next, ignoring up or down. 2015→2016: 17 · 2016→2017: 2 · 2017→2018: 10 · 2018→2019: 6 · 2019→2022: 36 · 2022→2023: 6 · 2023→2024: 3 · 2024→2025: 6 → average 10.8
Normal range: multiply the typical change by 2.66, then add it to the average and subtract it. 10.8 × 2.66 = 28.7. Upper limit 3, lower limit −54.4.

Why 2.66? It is the standard factor from quality control, the work of Walter Shewhart and W. Edwards Deming. It turns "how much the result typically changes in a year" into "how far it can wander by chance alone".

Years with no result (no state tests were given in spring 2020) are skipped: the year-to-year change runs from the last year with a result to the next one.

Step 3 · Free or reduced-price meals

The share of enrolled students eligible for free or reduced-price meals. From 2014–15, 2015–16, 2016–17, 2017–18, 2018–19, 2020–21, 2021–22, 2022–23, 2023–24, 2024–25, 2025–26.