Fort Sage Unified: english

The shaded band is this district's normal range. If nothing about how it works changes, nearly every future year should land inside it. Zero means the typical student just meets the state standard. The small numbers under the years are how many students were tested.

Step 1 · Each year's result

For each grade tested, take the average (mean) scale score from the California Department of Education's results file, and subtract the lowest score that counts as "Standard Met" for that grade. That is the grade's distance from standard. Weight each grade by its share of the students tested, then add the grades up. Grades where the state hides the average because ten or fewer students tested are left out entirely.

2015 from sb_ca2015_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	20,046	2378.3	− 2432	−53.7	× 19 / 139	−7.3
4	20,048	2427.4	− 2473	−45.6	× 11 / 139	−3.6
5	20,050	2400.2	− 2502	−101.8	× 15 / 139	−11
6	20,052	2471.1	− 2531	−59.9	× 13 / 139	−5.6
7	20,053	2480.4	− 2552	−71.6	× 20 / 139	−10.3
8	20,055	2521.5	− 2567	−45.5	× 23 / 139	−7.5
11	20,057	2542.0	− 2583	−41	× 38 / 139	−11.2
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−57

2016 from sb_ca2016_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	19,024	2382.2	− 2432	−49.8	× 13 / 153	−4.2
4	19,026	2416.6	− 2473	−56.4	× 16 / 153	−5.9
5	19,028	2434.5	− 2502	−67.5	× 15 / 153	−6.6
6	19,029	2452.9	− 2531	−78.1	× 22 / 153	−11.2
7	19,031	2512.8	− 2552	−39.2	× 21 / 153	−5.4
8	19,034	2494.0	− 2567	−73	× 26 / 153	−12.4
11	19,035	2522.6	− 2583	−60.4	× 40 / 153	−15.8
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−62

2017 from sb_ca2017_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	19,354	2376.2	− 2432	−55.8	× 17 / 138	−6.9
4	19,356	2394.1	− 2473	−78.9	× 14 / 138	−8
5	19,359	2453.9	− 2502	−48.1	× 22 / 138	−7.7
6	19,361	2496.2	− 2531	−34.8	× 14 / 138	−3.5
7	19,363	2526.3	− 2552	−25.7	× 21 / 138	−3.9
8	19,365	2506.0	− 2567	−61	× 21 / 138	−9.3
11	19,367	2565.3	− 2583	−17.7	× 29 / 138	−3.7
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−43

2018 from sb_ca2018_1_csv_v3.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	19,340	2401.5	− 2432	−30.5	× 15 / 139	−3.3
4	19,343	2429.2	− 2473	−43.8	× 22 / 139	−6.9
5	19,344	2479.2	− 2502	−22.8	× 12 / 139	−2
6	19,347	2503.3	− 2531	−27.7	× 24 / 139	−4.8
7	19,348	2487.6	− 2552	−64.4	× 17 / 139	−7.9
8	19,351	2517.0	− 2567	−50	× 30 / 139	−10.8
11	19,352	2593.3	− 2583	10.3	× 19 / 139	1.4
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−34

2019 from sb_ca2019_1_csv_v4.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	19,481	2367.6	− 2432	−64.4	× 20 / 126	−10.2
4	19,482	2435.4	− 2473	−37.6	× 11 / 126	−3.3
5	19,483	2470.0	− 2502	−32	× 22 / 126	−5.6
6	19,484	2511.1	− 2531	−19.9	× 13 / 126	−2.1
7	19,485	2506.3	− 2552	−45.7	× 26 / 126	−9.4
8	19,486	2506.6	− 2567	−60.4	× 20 / 126	−9.6
11	19,487	2557.7	− 2583	−25.3	× 14 / 126	−2.8
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−43

2021 from sb_ca2021_1_csv_v2.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	18,994	2384.5	− 2432	−47.5	× 11 / 104	−5
5	18,996	2460.9	− 2502	−41.1	× 21 / 104	−8.3
6	18,997	2493.9	− 2531	−37.1	× 11 / 104	−3.9
7	18,998	2463.9	− 2552	−88.1	× 21 / 104	−17.8
8	18,999	2515.3	− 2567	−51.7	× 18 / 104	−8.9
11	19,000	2535.3	− 2583	−47.7	× 22 / 104	−10.1
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−54

2022 from sb_ca2022_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	19,528	2305.6	− 2432	−126.4	× 19 / 117	−20.5
4	19,529	2359.7	− 2473	−113.3	× 13 / 117	−12.6
6	19,531	2435.3	− 2531	−95.7	× 27 / 117	−22.1
7	19,532	2455.6	− 2552	−96.4	× 17 / 117	−14
8	19,533	2508.0	− 2567	−59	× 23 / 117	−11.6
11	19,534	2585.7	− 2583	2.7	× 18 / 117	0.4
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−80

2023 from sb_ca2023_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	19,475	2345.4	− 2432	−86.6	× 14 / 120	−10.1
4	19,476	2368.2	− 2473	−104.8	× 19 / 120	−16.6
5	19,477	2417.1	− 2502	−84.9	× 12 / 120	−8.5
6	19,478	2449.6	− 2531	−81.4	× 13 / 120	−8.8
7	19,479	2469.7	− 2552	−82.3	× 28 / 120	−19.2
8	19,480	2461.8	− 2567	−105.2	× 13 / 120	−11.4
11	19,481	2533.8	− 2583	−49.2	× 21 / 120	−8.6
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−83

2024 from sb_ca2024_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	19,415	2332.5	− 2432	−99.5	× 15 / 108	−13.8
4	19,416	2344.3	− 2473	−128.7	× 16 / 108	−19.1
5	19,417	2359.6	− 2502	−142.4	× 19 / 108	−25.1
7	19,419	2475.8	− 2552	−76.2	× 15 / 108	−10.6
8	19,420	2499.9	− 2567	−67.1	× 20 / 108	−12.4
11	19,421	2542.3	− 2583	−40.7	× 23 / 108	−8.7
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−90

2025 from sb_ca2025_1_csv_v1.zip

Grade	Line in file	Average score	Standard Met	Distance	Students	Weighted
3	19,376	2313.8	− 2432	−118.2	× 12 / 110	−12.9
4	19,377	2369.4	− 2473	−103.6	× 12 / 110	−11.3
5	19,378	2367.2	− 2502	−134.8	× 18 / 110	−22.1
6	19,379	2381.5	− 2531	−149.5	× 19 / 110	−25.8
7	19,380	2462.2	− 2552	−89.8	× 11 / 110	−9
8	19,381	2524.0	− 2567	−43	× 13 / 110	−5.1
11	19,382	2491.8	− 2583	−91.2	× 25 / 110	−20.7
Sum, rounded to a whole point						−107

Step 2 · The average and the normal range

Average: add the yearly results and divide by how many there are. −57, −62, −43, −34, −43, −54, −80, −83, −90, −107 → −65.3
Typical year-to-year change: how far the result moved from each year to the next, ignoring up or down. 2015→2016: 5 · 2016→2017: 19 · 2017→2018: 9 · 2018→2019: 9 · 2019→2021: 11 · 2021→2022: 26 · 2022→2023: 3 · 2023→2024: 7 · 2024→2025: 17 → average 11.8
Normal range: multiply the typical change by 2.66, then add it to the average and subtract it. 11.8 × 2.66 = 31.4. Upper limit −33.9, lower limit −96.7.

Why 2.66? It is the standard factor from quality control, the work of Walter Shewhart and W. Edwards Deming. It turns "how much the result typically changes in a year" into "how far it can wander by chance alone".

Years with no result (no state tests were given in spring 2020) are skipped: the year-to-year change runs from the last year with a result to the next one.

Step 3 · Free or reduced-price meals

The share of enrolled students eligible for free or reduced-price meals — for a district, the total across its schools. From 2014–15, 2015–16, 2016–17, 2017–18, 2018–19, 2020–21, 2021–22, 2022–23, 2023–24, 2024–25, 2025–26.